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Posted
2 hours ago, max silver said:

I think you aren't giving Nance the recognition he deserves. He doesn't have any remaining options and I believe he would be snatched up immediately if the team tried to send him down. He has nothing to figure out in Buffalo, he simply needs to strand more baserunners when they get on base. Nance had a single tough outing this season against the Dodgers, and was also victimized by Fisher allowing several of his runners to score in an inherited situation the other time he allowed multiple runs to cross the plate. Take a look at Fisher and Nance's respective xERA/FIP and tell me that Nance should be jettisoned from the club:

Nance 3.75 xERA 3.38 FIP

Fisher 3.75 xERA 3.39 FIP

 

Well if you're going to put it that way.. 🤔 

Posted

They have managed to ride out the storm enough to stay afloat.

With key players getting healthy, roles getting defined and some trimming of the fat (Little!) and Okamoto hopefully starting to find his sea legs, things are looking up. 

Oh, and with the weather getting better, let's get the dome opened up some!

I'm optimistic for a strong May. 

Posted
29 minutes ago, Masterbather said:

They have managed to ride out the storm enough to stay afloat.

With key players getting healthy, roles getting defined and some trimming of the fat (Little!) and Okamoto hopefully starting to find his sea legs, things are looking up. 

Oh, and with the weather getting better, let's get the dome opened up some!

I'm optimistic for a strong May. 

I'd love to be a few games over .500 by the end of May. That would go a long way to improving our chances.

Posted
7 hours ago, Jays24 said:

Screenshot_20260429_230833_Reddit.jpg.13de1676e7fd6b11222f2b84efe38c04.jpg

1990s Blue Jays

1.  Devon White (fastest player)

2. Roberto Alomar (bat control and good)

3. Paul Molitor (best all around hitter)

4. Joe Carter (best Power hitter. .300 on base)

5.  John Olerud/JPat Tabler (high on base guy, low on base guy platoon).

6. Candy Maldonado (but technically he didn't overlap with Molitor)

7. Manuel Lee/Tony Fernnandez (bad switch hitter 92, good switch hitter 93)

8. Kelly Gruber/Ed Sprague - third base

9. Pat Borders (catcher)

 

Good teams.  Good lineup construction.  Got 800 runs out of 900 run teams. No foolin around with the crazy s*** they do these days. 

 

Posted
11 hours ago, Masterbather said:

They have managed to ride out the storm enough to stay afloat.

With key players getting healthy, roles getting defined and some trimming of the fat (Little!) and Okamoto hopefully starting to find his sea legs, things are looking up. 

Oh, and with the weather getting better, let's get the dome opened up some!

I'm optimistic for a strong May. 

With how dismal the AL has been so far this year they are only half a game out of the last wild card lol

Posted
25 minutes ago, mphenhef said:

With how dismal the AL has been so far this year they are only half a game out of the last wild card lol

Fangraphs much happier with Jays then just 48 hours ago.  Crazy.  48 hours ago it was 40% chance Red Sox make playoffs, 33% Jays.  Now 40% Jays 25% Sox.  

Is that crazy?  Probably not.  It was a 4 game swing plus I am not sure how they model injuries.  Like Yesavage/Crochet.   Like does the model know Crochet is on the DL now and Yesavage off?  How do they project a guy like Yesavage with limited MLB data (lots of minor league of course).  How do they project 'sore shoulder' when you have no idea if it's 2 weeks or 2 years? 

Community Moderator
Posted
10 minutes ago, Olerud363.354 said:

Fangraphs much happier with Jays then just 48 hours ago.  Crazy.  48 hours ago it was 40% chance Red Sox make playoffs, 33% Jays.  Now 40% Jays 25% Sox.  

Is that crazy?  Probably not.  It was a 4 game swing plus I am not sure how they model injuries.  Like Yesavage/Crochet.   Like does the model know Crochet is on the DL now and Yesavage off?  How do they project a guy like Yesavage with limited MLB data (lots of minor league of course).  How do they project 'sore shoulder' when you have no idea if it's 2 weeks or 2 years? 

Their season projections would change as the Fangraphs Depth Chart projections change 

People are manually adjusting those playing time guesses for injuries so yes Crochet should have just lost some innings 

Posted

Love clicking on MLB.COM and finding this headline...

Clement does it all, Okamoto stays sharp for surging Blue Jays

Jays are 7-3 in their last 10, and have scored over 4 runs(ideal) 7 times, 5 runs 5 times, 8 runs twice and 10 once... the offense has pulled up their pants. Steady now, please. Team's coming around and so are reinforcements, a Twinkie road series win would be sick. 😎

Posted
1 hour ago, Laika said:

People are manually adjusting those playing time guesses for injuries so yes Crochet should have just lost some innings 

I am Aldman.  I have Billions.   I love AI.  AI is awesome.  No jobs for commoners.  All done by AI now. 

Except one job left.   Guy who adjusts Crochets playing time manually.   Who will do that?    Can we teach AI to do that so we have no jobs left at all?  

On a more serious note lots of bias if some guy manually adjusting playing time.  Over a couple of days they could move Yesavage's innings up by 50 and Crochets down by 100.   Not saying that happened but it could. 

Posted
1 minute ago, Olerud363.354 said:

Over a couple of days they could move Yesavage's innings up by 50 and Crochets down by 100.   Not saying that happened but it could. 

If it was me I'd do that for sure.  Yesavage looks fine.  Move him up 50.  Shoulder injuries are ussually a couple of years, but I'll be optimistic for Crochet and have him back in August and ding him just 100 innings.

Community Moderator
Posted
42 minutes ago, Olerud363.354 said:

I am Aldman.  I have Billions.   I love AI.  AI is awesome.  No jobs for commoners.  All done by AI now. 

Except one job left.   Guy who adjusts Crochets playing time manually.   Who will do that?    Can we teach AI to do that so we have no jobs left at all?  

On a more serious note lots of bias if some guy manually adjusting playing time.  Over a couple of days they could move Yesavage's innings up by 50 and Crochets down by 100.   Not saying that happened but it could. 

Yeah

The funny thing about this is that for high level fantasy baseball (big money leagues) a lot of the "skill" left for participants to exercise is just head-projecting playing time, which is impossible to do with high accuracy 

Everybody uses the same projection systems for production and the same auction value calculators, but if you can correctly intuit that Joe Speedy is going to get 550 PA instead of 250 PA for some reason, that can make your entire draft and year and career 

I think the manual part of Fangraphs' Depth Charts is that they work off of the Roster Resource depth charts, which I understand are updated by human beings 

Posted
4 hours ago, Olerud363.354 said:

1990s Blue Jays

1.  Devon White (fastest player)

2. Roberto Alomar (bat control and good)

3. Paul Molitor (best all around hitter)

4. Joe Carter (best Power hitter. .300 on base)

5.  John Olerud/JPat Tabler (high on base guy, low on base guy platoon).

6. Candy Maldonado (but technically he didn't overlap with Molitor)

7. Manuel Lee/Tony Fernnandez (bad switch hitter 92, good switch hitter 93)

8. Kelly Gruber/Ed Sprague - third base

9. Pat Borders (catcher)

 

Good teams.  Good lineup construction.  Got 800 runs out of 900 run teams. No foolin around with the crazy s*** they do these days. 

 

That lineup was a dream - and they all played the same position.   

Posted

Vlad is having a weird season even by his standards. Hitting the ball less hard, but managing to create so much quality contact that his xBA is .332. And on top of that he's rated out as an above average defensive 1B so far this year. 

Having read the board for years, the way his defense has gone is the exact opposite of how 90% of people on here believed it would go. The standard expectation was Vladdy would be a borderline DH by 28 and he has instead just steadily improved year to year. 

Old-Timey Member
Posted
18 minutes ago, AMS528 said:

. The standard expectation was Vladdy would be a borderline DH by 28....

😮

Posted
38 minutes ago, AMS528 said:

Having read the board for years, the way his defense has gone is the exact opposite of how 90% of people on here believed it would go. The standard expectation was Vladdy would be a borderline DH by 28 and he has instead just steadily improved year to year. 

Since showing up at 280 pounds in 2020 after being on lockdown for a couple of months he has stabalized the weight nicely. 

He is now a modern day right handed hitting Mark Grace.  Slender.  Great line drive swing.  Good first base defense.  On pace for 10 homers.  Which is fine given his other skills. 

Posted
4 hours ago, Olerud363.354 said:

Since showing up at 280 pounds in 2020 after being on lockdown for a couple of months he has stabalized the weight nicely. 

He is now a modern day right handed hitting Mark Grace.  Slender.  Great line drive swing.  Good first base defense.  On pace for 10 homers.  Which is fine given his other skills. 

Not sure I would pay Mark Grace $500M haha. 

Vlady's power stroke should start heating up as the weather warms up. His other numbers have been spectacular thus far. If Vladdy could settle in as a guy who consistently hits .300+/.900-1.000 OPS with 30 HR's with 5-6 WAR, I'll take that for the majority of his contract. 

The scary thing is, Vlad oozes of talent and could even be better given his offensive skillset. Like he has the talent to be a 10 WAR type of player. 

Posted
15 minutes ago, jaysblue said:

Not sure I would pay Mark Grace $500M haha. 

Vlady's power stroke should start heating up as the weather warms up. His other numbers have been spectacular thus far. If Vladdy could settle in as a guy who consistently hits .300+/.900-1.000 OPS with 30 HR's with 5-6 WAR, I'll take that for the majority of his contract. 

The scary thing is, Vlad oozes of talent and could even be better given his offensive skillset. Like he has the talent to be a 10 WAR type of player. 

It's crazy to think but Vlad is on a 6.6 FWAR pace so far despite sitting at 2 home runs at the end of April.

Posted
3 minutes ago, max silver said:

It's crazy to think but Vlad is on a 6.6 FWAR pace so far despite sitting at 2 home runs at the end of April.

Yeah crazy! If he has a month where he can hit 10 HR's, watch out! 

Posted
16 minutes ago, jaysblue said:

Yeah crazy! If he has a month where he can hit 10 HR's, watch out! 

He did manage to club 10 home runs in June of 2021 to go along with 1.8 FWAR for the month. He's come a long ways defensively since then so it's possible he could produce something like a 2 win month if he fully locks in the power stroke. 

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