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Olerud363.354

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Olerud363.354 last won the day on July 18

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  1. If he doesn't fit this roster should be able to flip him for the 2b equivalent. When I say 3-4 WAR type obviously I don't mean year after year until he's 40. These types may not be useful off-peak. So the Sean Keys 2b version, some guy who can put up 2-4 WAR a year in his 26-28 window. Brendan Donavan type maybe. Or maybe not. I don't know. Maybe Donavan types are way more valuable.
  2. I think you guys are wrong about Keys. His .220 average in Vancouver was fluky, and his overall minor league numbers weighed down because of it. He'll be a great DH/1B for a few years. Might as well not trade him because we won't get anything from him anyway. Won't be a 8 WAR guy obviously, but kind of Adam Lind like / Josh Naylor useful piece. 3 or 4 WAR for a contender.
  3. Bro. I pointed that out from the beginning. I got another f***ing Claude now using up all my precious tokens on another Sean Keys analysis, the tokens that I should be using to make predictions on the 10 year treasury yield which is behaving like a meme stock lately... but now I am wasting my time and my Claude's time on this (to be fair not all 20 are working on Sean Keys right now)
  4. I didn't claim it as a good list. I said I have many Claude's going and they can show whatever I want. It's great p-hacking these days. Get lots of answer choose the one you like best. Starting point. Despite hitting .300 .420 .600 in the minors, something no other Blue Jays hitting prospect has done except maybe Delgado and Guerrero everyone thinks Keys sucks... so lets give Claude some prompts and prove it.
  5. Something about the analyist just seems off. Guys like Sean Keys. Happen all the time. Like every year a Jays prospect hits .300 .420 .600 in the upper minors with great power and exit velocities. Remember Rowdy Tellez and Spencer Horwitz? I do. And they were a level below in different ways.
  6. Anyway I give up. No one will ever trade us even the next Joe Panik or Cavan Biggio for Keys. Keys is just like Rowdy Tellez except with way better stats but probably even worse. He is just like Cavan Biggio except hits the ball hard. Howevew he will fail in ways Biggio can't imagine. He is just like Ben Rice except like if Ben Rice was a total failure even worse that Cavan Biggio. Release him now and open up a 40 man roster spot for the next Lenyn Sosa who has 5% the walk rate, 90% the hard hit rate of Keys.
  7. But 2b according to data and Claude also suck, so should be a no-brainer to trade him for the 2b equivalent of himself, who ever that is, as long as the other team want the next Jason Giambi so we can get the next Joe Panik,.
  8. I am not even sure what we are arguing bout to be honest. I think the conversation started because people are like flip Sean Keys for a similar guy who has positional fit. But then it's like 'Sean Keys sucks because all 1b prospects suck' Then it's like '2b prospect suck too' OK. So great. Trade Sean Keys for a platoon partner for Ernie Clement. If a fit exists I mean. I don't know if in the year 2026 some team that needs a 1b fill-in has a platoon 2b to give us. Like maybe a match exists maybe it doesn't. I don't know.
  9. Doesn't seem like these guys come up all the time. When was the last time Jays had a guy like this? Josh Phelps? Adam Lind ? Who am I missing? Keys has better secondary skills then both. We can get anything we want with this stuff now. My Claude has Carlos Delgado as a Keys comparable. Laika is the smartest guy on the board no doubt... but in the age of Claude the playing field is more even. Especially for those like me, long term unemployed, who has had time to learn all the tmux keyboard short cuts and have 20 Claude';s going at once and can switch real fast, have all of them approaching the problem from different angles, and choose which one I like best. I like this one. To be fair I actually didn't choose the best Sean keys analysis out of all 20. This is one of the better ones,
  10. Rowdy Tellez hit .270 .340 .450 in the minors in his age 23 season, Keys hit .297 .420 .610. Lifetime Keys has a way higher walk rate and isolated power. Career Rowdy was .274 .351 .452 in the minors, Keys .256 .387 .492. Interestingly both had a minor league season where the hit like .210 or something. Rowdy hit .222 .295 .330 in Buffalo his first try, Keys hit .217 .365 .407 in Vancouver. However I heard on X (formerly known as Twitter) that this was a fluke, because in addition to his awesome walk rate and power his batted ball metrics were good. The narrative on Rowdy Tellez as a minor leaguer is that he's a big guy that hits the ball hard, but not elite walk rate and power in the minors. The narrative on Davis Schneider as a minor leaguer is that he's a smaller guy, with elite walk rate and good power in the minors but not elite batted ball. The narrative on Sean Keys in the minors is that he's a big guy, with elite exit V, elite walk rate, elite power, elite batted ball, and a .250 average that may (or may not) be a fluke weighed down by the .210 in Vancouver.
  11. Weird that he is not worth much. He has good 2026 stats and good exit velocities. The .200 average in Vancouver was a bit of a fluke probably (people were pointing out his good exit Vs before his breakout). On the other hand his lifetime stats are .250 .380 .490 or so... which is the kind of typical aaaa line that doesn't translate well when you knock off the typical 30 points of batting average guys lose off their minor league stats. And I think the career minor league stats are always important. So it kind of depends how you weight his last year.... like if he did this 2 years and a lifetime 1.000 minor league OPS he'd have to be a valuable trade chip.
  12. 13th last it is 12% chance to pick top 3 88 % chance to pick 23 Who will we get? a) the next Chad Jenkins b) the next Mike Trout but we'll trade him for the next Jose Berrios/Jose Soriano which I think is Eury Perez. Pray for the next Chad Jenkins. Would have been useful this year. I do not want this draft pick converted to Eury Perez.
  13. Yep. It is a weird sad world. If Moreno didn't get the thumb injury he probably has twice the trade value, and maybe more insentive to move him to third.
  14. 2028 Angels Attendance 3 million 500 hundreds Trout and Nimala bring the most joy that baseball fans have every experienced. Blue Attendance 700k Rogers ratings nothing - not a single joyful things for 2028 Blue Jays. Rogers out of business.
  15. lol. And Nimilla exploded hitting like a super-prospect. (I still believe career minor league numbers are the way to go... but hell in the season from hell will give up a hall of famer for a scrub, it just has to be!). Nimalalla - .288 50 110 rookie of the year 8.9 WAR breaks Vlad's young player homerun record, the next Mike Trout. Soriano - 8-14 5.33 , then 1-9 7.77 Tommy John, career over.
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