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Posted

We have an entire subforum for MiLB content:
 

https://jayscentre.com/forums/forum/42-blue-jays-minor-league-talk/


... but this thread will just be for highlights and stuff.

For the people that don't care about how many innings Austin Cates threw last night, but might care about how far JoJo Parker's dingers are going these days. 

 

 

Posted
1 hour ago, John_Havok said:

Nimmala went oppo taco yesterday for his 3rd HR. 

Avridge not so hot but the power still there

If his defense will play at SS and he swings a power bat that'll work just fine. 

Posted

Thank you for making this thread, I missed having a place to just casually note a performance or ask a question. 

On that note, Charles McAdoo seems to have had a great start to his season great power, reasonable strikeout numbers, solid patience etc. Be nice to have a reasonable option for callup if we have ongoing injury issues.  

Posted
1 hour ago, AMS528 said:

Thank you for making this thread, I missed having a place to just casually note a performance or ask a question. 

On that note, Charles McAdoo seems to have had a great start to his season great power, reasonable strikeout numbers, solid patience etc. Be nice to have a reasonable option for callup if we have ongoing injury issues.  

I was looking into McAdoo today as well and I don't know what to make of him.

His average exit velo is really bad: https://prospectsavant.com/player/807727

Posted
55 minutes ago, Terminator said:

I was looking into McAdoo today as well and I don't know what to make of him.

His average exit velo is really bad: https://prospectsavant.com/player/807727

Average EV is a pretty bad stat 

His MaxEV and other stuff show that his pop is at least average

 

Damn, just noticed that Pinango has a 115.4 mph MaxEV this year. 4th best in AAA and it would be 11th best in MLB. 

uhhhhh boys 

 

Also JoJo Parker is the best hitter in A ball according to that website's little metric 

Posted
2 hours ago, Terminator said:

Agreed, although they are both getting BABIP'd a little bit. Especially Schreck.

Am I the only one that thinks of this when somebody says his name?OIP.jpg.1dd3e12b40197b9c3cd08e223ec85fa3.jpg

Posted
4 hours ago, The_DH said:

Am I the only one that thinks of this when somebody says his name?OIP.jpg.1dd3e12b40197b9c3cd08e223ec85fa3.jpg

I'm fairly certain that's what everyone thinks actually. 

Posted

Nimmala with another nice game so far. 12-1 in the 5th inning for Vancouver. 

He is 2/3 with a double and a walk. OPS is up to .851, four doubles and three homeruns so he is hitting for plenty of power. 

Landen Maroudis is alive. 3.2 innings, 4ks and most importantly 0 walks given up. Had no control after coming back from injury last year, 2.13 ERA so far this year. 

Also Tucker Toman out there showing signs of life. 

Posted

Another Nimmala double... .250 / .890 now

On fire. 8 for his last 14 with two homers and two doubles 

Posted

Some guys I haven't thought much about before on absolute heaters to start. 
 

Sean Keys, 6 HRs, 200wrc+, still 22 in double A. I know its doubtful he plays third so he is a tough fit, but encouraging. 

Ditto on Bohrofen with 6 homers but 24 in double A. Not sure if he can actually project in cf

Cunningham, Williams and Toman all white hot as well in vancouver. 

 

Posted

Arjun Nimmala is now up to a 138 wRC+

There are only 4 players in the NWL who are younger than him (and it is only by mere months) and two other 20 year olds older than him. Of those seven 20 year old players, he's the only one hitting that well and 5 of them have a wRC+ in the 60s or 70s. 

He spent all of 2025 in A+ so he's New Hampshire bound before summer, I think. 

 

Posted
On 4/22/2026 at 11:48 AM, Laika said:

Arjun Nimmala is now up to a 138 wRC+

There are only 4 players in the NWL who are younger than him (and it is only by mere months) and two other 20 year olds older than him. Of those seven 20 year old players, he's the only one hitting that well and 5 of them have a wRC+ in the 60s or 70s. 

He spent all of 2025 in A+ so he's New Hampshire bound before summer, I think. 

 

People were quick to write him off after uhh...having a 92 wRC+ in A+ at 19 years old while vastly improving his K rate? But if he keeps this up he's easily in AA at 20 years old by the end of the year, which is very much still top prospect territory.

None of the prospect publications have even written him off, he's firmly top 100 in all of them, averaging out around the 75 mark. Even more encouragingly, they all seem to think he'll be able to stick at SS.

Willy Adames here we come.

Posted
2 hours ago, Orgfiller said:

None of the prospect publications have even written him off, he's firmly top 100 in all of them, averaging out around the 75 mark. Even more encouragingly, they all seem to think he'll be able to stick at SS.

Willy Adames here we come.

Guys tend to lose some off their minor league batting average but gain power in the majors. 

Wiley Adames hit .270 .365 .414 in the minors, and .244 .320 .440 in the majors.

Paul DeJong hit .270 in the minors.  Randal Grichuk hit .270 in the minors.   Bradley Zimmer .260 in the minors.  Miles Straw hit .290 in the minors.

Steamer has Nimala hitting .188 right now.  Sounds about right given minor league numbers.  Very hard to believe someone with a .228 minor league average can succeed. 

Argument for success

1.  Very young.  Will improve to a better average in his later minor league years.

2.  Only 200 games the .228 average is random.

3.  Injured last year.

4.  Dunedin and Vancouver bad hitter parks.

5.  Will hit .350 .450 .700 in New Hampshire hitting 2nd in front of Keys (.350 .450 .700 too).

OK.  Might as well send him to New Hampshire tomorrow to get his confidence up. 

Posted

Same concern with Brandon Valenzuela... who is not a 20 year old, and it seems hit .299 as a 20 year old but his average fell apart in the upper minors and at 25 through almost 600 minor league games stands at .240

Kirk is .320 minors .267 majors, Heineman .278 minors, .238 majors...  if I trained an AI off just those two it would predict Valenzuela would hit .200.

Steamer is an AI trained off of all... it predicts Valenzuela will hit .203

Posted
2 hours ago, Olerud363.354 said:

Guys tend to lose some off their minor league batting average but gain power in the majors. 

Wiley Adames hit .270 .365 .414 in the minors, and .244 .320 .440 in the majors.

Paul DeJong hit .270 in the minors.  Randal Grichuk hit .270 in the minors.   Bradley Zimmer .260 in the minors.  Miles Straw hit .290 in the minors.

Steamer has Nimala hitting .188 right now.  Sounds about right given minor league numbers.  Very hard to believe someone with a .228 minor league average can succeed. 

Argument for success

1.  Very young.  Will improve to a better average in his later minor league years.

2.  Only 200 games the .228 average is random.

3.  Injured last year.

4.  Dunedin and Vancouver bad hitter parks.

5.  Will hit .350 .450 .700 in New Hampshire hitting 2nd in front of Keys (.350 .450 .700 too).

OK.  Might as well send him to New Hampshire tomorrow to get his confidence up. 

Number 1 is the biggest one. I think if you isolated out 20 year olds in high A you'd find better comparisons. 

Posted
57 minutes ago, jmomcc said:

Number 1 is the biggest one. I think if you isolated out 20 year olds in high A you'd find better comparisons. 

A lot of players that are everyday players in some form, and didn't go to College are 20 year olds in high A.

Randal Grichuk was 20 in high A and hit .298.

Trent Grisham was 20 in high A and hit .220.  He hits .215 in the majors.   Which could work for Nimmala if he has defense and base running.  Trent has 14 WAR.

Everyone if they didn't go to College and are destined to make the majors are 20 in high A...  OK maybe not everyone.  Anyway send Nimmala to that band-box in New Hampshire so we can find out if he is capable of padding stats in a hitters environment. 

Posted

It's early in the season, but Emmanuel Bonilla showing possible signs of life in low A. Has his 2nd homer this season tonight, and the OPS is up to .859 now.

Nothing earth shattering, but for a guy who had a sub .600 OPS the last two seasons in rookie ball it's something I guess.

Posted
10 hours ago, jmomcc said:

Sean Keys is absolutely f***ing red hot right now. Two more home runs already tonight. 

Still 22. Is he a guy? Feels like it might be a breakout 

I like to keep an eye on career minor league stats.  He's .242 .376 .456.  That will slowly go up if he keeps on demolishing the upper minors.

People have good things to say about him I think.  Like he hit the ball hard last year. 

Posted

I was expecting Sean Keys to be leading AA in wRC+ but he is surprisingly not. 

Franklin Arias might be a problem. 20 years old, destroying AA with godly contact rates. 

Several Jays farmhands are in the top 12 for all of the affiliated minor leagues, by qualified wRC+

Peyton Williams must be rehabbing? Cunningham and him need to be in AA tomorrow. Geezers. 

What got into Tucker Toman? Did something click last year for him and nobody noticed after 2+ years of futility? He had a 125 wRC+ from June 1st on, in 2025. 139 wRC+ from June 1 2025 to present. He is still not ancient, but on the edge of relevance for age vs. level as far as actual prospects go. AA bound as well? 

# Name Team Level Age PA BB% K% BB/K AVG OBP SLG OPS ISO Spd BABIP wSB wRC wRAA wOBA wRC+
1 Franklin Arias BOS AA 20 54 9.3% 7.4% 1.25 .444 .519 .933 1.452 .489 3.1 .389 -0.5 19 11.6 .598 251
2 Ben Ross MIN AA 25 72 16.7% 13.9% 1.20 .424 .528 .797 1.324 .373 5.7 .455 0.7 23 13.7 .571 236
3 Bennett Thompson CLE A+ 23 52 38.5% 21.2% 1.82 .344 .596 .750 1.346 .406 1.1 .444 -0.3 18 10.2 .586 235
4 Danny Serretti ARI AA 26 60 25.0% 13.3% 1.88 .386 .550 .818 1.368 .432 6.1 .406 -0.4 20 11.6 .576 226
5 Victor Figueroa BAL A+ 22 56 10.7% 19.6% 0.55 .380 .446 .820 1.266 .440 5.5 .394 -0.4 17 9.3 .535 218
6 Carter Cunningham TOR A+ 25 87 13.8% 25.3% 0.55 .338 .471 .721 1.192 .382 6.4 .415 -0.7 24 12.6 .520 213
7 Sean Keys TOR AA 23 69 13.0% 21.7% 0.60 .351 .464 .825 1.288 .474 5.1 .353 0.0 21 10.9 .533 213
8 Colby Shelton CHW A+ 23 71 12.7% 16.9% 0.75 .400 .493 .717 1.210 .317 8.1 .455 0.4 21 11.1 .524 212
9 Josh Adamczewski MIL A+ 21 51 21.6% 17.6% 1.22 .333 .490 .769 1.259 .436 4.5 .320 0.0 15 8.0 .541 206
10 Peyton Williams TOR A,A+ 25 56 19.6% 17.9% 1.10 .415 .518 .610 1.128 .195 4.3 .485 -0.2 15 7.6 .512 204
11 Tucker Toman TOR A+ 22 57 19.3% 22.8% 0.85 .372 .509 .605 1.113 .233 4.5 .483 -0.1 15 7.6 .504 204
                                         

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