The Blue Jays extend José Berríos for 7 years and $131M

[TwistedLogic]

[Krylian]

Neat.

[jimedmonds]

tell me how I'm supposed to feel about this deal?

 

feels like a great deal for a #3 with #2 upside in his 27/28-35 years?

[Spanky99]

Thanks, I just mentioned this news needed it's own thread. 7/140 is a pretty good deal for both sides, I love it.

[gruber92]

Good job Shatkins

[z3r0s]

That doesn't seem like enough money and that takes him to ~35. That's a pretty solid sounding deal on its face

[Spanky99]

Shi Davidi says 131M

 

[glory]

The extension using MLBTR's arb projection is essentially ~6/130 (he had a $10.9m arb projection). That's around what I thought it would take to get him extended, give or take.

 

Edit: Davidi saying it's 7/131, so 6/120 as the extension using the above example. Seems fair for a SP like him who had to be convinced to forgo free agency. Jays really couldn't afford to lose him after 2022. It had to get done.

[Brownie19]

tell me how I'm supposed to feel about this deal?

 

feels like a great deal for a #3 with #2 upside in his 27/28-35 years?

 

He was the 18th most valuable pitcher in baseball last year and has been the 13th most valuable pitcher in baseball since 2018. Please do not refer to him as a #3 pitcher.

[Brownie19]

This is a HUGE piece of our offseason. This deal had to get done and they've done it nice and early in the offseason. Well done.

[TwistedLogic]

The deal is $131M/7.

 

$11M for his last arb season and then $120M for 6 years of free agency, going through his age-34 season.

 

Excellent contract.

[Stangstag]

Holy crappo, unexpected. I guess the trade hurts a bit less now? Lets hope Berrios gives us plenty of solid playoff starts over the duration of this contract!

[Krylian]

He was the 18th most valuable pitcher in baseball last year and has been the 13th most valuable pitcher in baseball since 2018. Please do not refer to him as a #3 pitcher.

 

If things go well, he'll be the #3 in Toronto.

[Spanky99]

That doesn't seem like enough money and that takes him to ~35. That's a pretty solid sounding deal on its face

 

It is, bro.

[The Iceman]

If things go well, he'll be the #3 in Toronto.

 

As it stands now he is our #1

And he is a legit lower half #1 MLB SP

[BTS]

Berrios is very good and this extension is good and important.

[Sammy225]

My first thought would be I would be shocked if there were no opt outs in it

[Spanky99]

If things go well, he'll be the #3 in Toronto.

 

So two more elite starters?

[z3r0s]

He can be pretty reliably expected to pitch for 3 WAR a year, so that's only $6.66M/WAR. Just seems so low. Obviously he's likely to beat 3 some years (was 4 the last 2 seasons) and be lower some others (especially at the end), but damn.

[Jonn]

I never thought I would see the day where the Blue Jays would give a pitcher a 7-year contract. This is a big commitment. But if you go year by year he will probably be worth it.

[Virgil_Hiltz]

Making the Jays more attractive to free agents especially those betting on themselves. A great contract now....even better 4 yrs from now.

[L54]

Awesome news. Shapiro and Atkins rarely disappoint. Give up two of your top five prospects for a guy with 1.5 years of control and then get him extended a month into the offseason. Great work.

[Dr. Dinger]

This is an excellent price for a critical rotation piece in his prime.

[jerb]

 

Jayson Stark

@jaysonst

 

Jose Berrios has combined great stuff with underappreciated durability. #BlueJays are betting on both.

 

Most starts last 4 years:

Nola 111

Berrios 108

Corbin 108

Castillo 109

 

Most batters faced:

Nola 2721

Wheeler 2709

Berrios 2691

[Spanky99]

He can be pretty reliably expected to pitch for 3 WAR a year, so that's only $6.66M/WAR. Just seems so low. Obviously he's likely to beat 3 some years (was 4 the last 2 seasons) and be lower some others (especially at the end), but damn.

 

Huh? Where's that 6.66M/WAR number from? He's a stud, 27 with plenty upside. I've got a chubby!

[AdamGreenwood]

This should make it even easier to lock up Rodon.

[TwistedLogic]

Back-to-back offseasons:

 

- The Blue Jays sign Hyun-Jin Ryu for $80M over four years.

- The Blue Jays sign George Springer for $150M over six years.

- The Blue Jays extend Jose Berrios for $131M over seven years.

 

Those are the #1, #2 and #5 largest contracts in franchise history (Wells and Martin fall between Berrios and Ryu).

 

This front office is not afraid of spending.

[RobinThicc]

Love it.

[z3r0s]

Huh? Where's that 6.66M/WAR number from? He's a stud, 27 with plenty upside. I've got a chubby!

 

20M yearly / 3 WAR = 6.66M/WAR. I expect we'll get more than 3 WAR on a bunch of those years, but even if its only an average of 3 per year it seems like a steal. That's what I was getting at.

[Spanky99]

20M yearly / 3 WAR = 6.66M/WAR. I expect we'll get more than 3 WAR on a bunch of those years, but even if its only an average of 3 per year it seems like a steal. That's what I was getting at.

 

I get that, but that's not how WAR works in value?

 

Oh, I see what you mean, lol. My Bad.