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TwistedLogic

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Everything posted by TwistedLogic

  1. TwistedLogic
    Oh no. Got called a dork on a sabermetric baseball forum.
  2. TwistedLogic
    Should he be on other websites praising this forum? A place where new people can drop in at any moment and see dirtbag racist s*** like this?
  3. TwistedLogic
  4. TwistedLogic
    The Blue Jays lost a 2nd round draft pick and $500K of their international signing budget when they signed Bassitt. They would have lost their 2nd and 5th round picks and $1M in international FA money if they were a luxury tax team last season. That's pretty much the only bearing the luxury tax has on IFA expenditures. Hope the 500K they lost doesn't hurt their ability to sign Bonilla. Don't think it will but it would be ass if it did.
  5. TwistedLogic
    Oh and FanGraphs is allotting $2.5M for 40-man roster minor leaguers while Cot's and Spotrac allot $2.25M. Both of those numbers are likely high. Unless the Blue Jays really enjoy paying their guys well above minor league minimum, the real spending there will probably come in around $1.6M, creating another ~$900K of space against FanGraphs' estimate.
  6. TwistedLogic
    Not accurate. FanGraphs has 7.2M earmarked for league min players. The Jays only have room on the roster for four league min players (Manoah, Kirk, Moreno and a fourth bench bat like Barger). That's like 3.2M on the high end. I'm guessing FanGraphs is overestimating because when a guy like Springer goes down with injury and you call up Nathan Lukes or whoever, you have to pay him league min for the time he's up. But because that's not remotely predictable, there's no point calculating minutiae like that halfway through the offseason. Whenever they trade Jansen and get rid of Thornton and Richards, they'll have the space for those added league min costs. In other words, consider the Jays under the tax line for now.
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  9. TwistedLogic
    They do. They drafted him in the 16th round of the 2013 draft and he has a 126 wRC+ projection for next year with 5 years of control. Goes by Lars Nootbaar.
  10. TwistedLogic
  11. TwistedLogic
    Updated my payroll estimate chart for another community and thought to cross-post it here in case people might find it useful!
  12. TwistedLogic
    Questioning/defending the Jays moves aside, how about the Twins trading f***ing Christian Encarnacion-Strand++ for Tyler Mahle. CES is going to be a stud and that deal (along with the Castillo trade) has a little Chris Archer to the Pirates aging potential.
  13. TwistedLogic
    I'm okay with beaning him 3-0.
  14. TwistedLogic
    I don't care what others do with their bodies. I made that clear numerous times in my comments.
  15. TwistedLogic
    To be clear, I think anyone who is genuinely anti-vax is a f***ing moron. Like, legitimately bottom rung of the human intellect totem pole. But I have no other feelings beyond that. I don't hate those people for feeling the way they do. I'm not passionate about COVID or vaccines. I don't give a s*** if you've gotten the shot or if you don't like masks. I don't engage in COVID debates because I'm not a doctor and it's a waste of time. It is simply an objective observation of mine that anyone who holds real anti-vax beliefs was simply forgotten by evolution and that's okay. I mean it sucks for them, but it doesn't really affect me one way or another.
  16. TwistedLogic
    Also, it should be noted that it's possible these arguments aren't ageless and become outdated fairly soon. The moment ABS is implemented, we will have a new world of pitching and strike zone analysis. Maybe at that point, elite control guys will be more comparable from a value and projection standpoint to great whiff guys. I'll probably always still lean towards whiffs, but it would be a lot closer between the two forms of strikes at that point for me than it is now. Edit: And to add one last thing, elite whiff tools aren't always bulletproof. There are rare outliers like Kevin Gausman's splitter getting Monstar'd for a bit earlier this year where you're tipping or something and suddenly guys aren't biting on the pitch that butters your bread.
  17. TwistedLogic
    Laika just gave you a great response on this, but yes, I would take the guy getting more whiffs every time. Like Laika said, it's a more reliable and repeatable skill (like plate discipline for hitters).
  18. TwistedLogic
    I don't care about his vax status and I have almost never commented on COVID/vaccines on this forum because I'm not bored enough with my life to waste time debating science with sports fans. So don't f***ing lump me in with the people you're tired of arguing with. I don't care if Whit is vaxed or not and I don't care if it's his choice or not. He can make his choices and I can think he is an absolute moron for them and that can be the extent of it. The guy literally said he would reconsider his stance on vaccines if he was playing for a contender. He is a f***ing moron sportsballer with no conviction. I find that more offensive than his vax status itself.
  19. TwistedLogic
    I can't speak for others but I am mentioning swing-and-miss because that is the exact buzzword that Atkins used all season when describing their issues with the pen. And yes, swing-and-miss is the most valuable trait a pitcher can have because you a) aren't at the mercy of the umpires, aren't at the mercy of your defense and c) it's a skill that is a direct reflection of how dominant you are versus hitters. You can have the best defense in the world and still lose Game 7 of the world series on Chapman fumbling a grounder sniped to third. Elite swing-and-miss relievers are not appreciated enough by this fanbase because this team has such a scarce history of employing them. Roberto Osuna is the last guy I can think of that gave me zero stress when coming into a game. I don't even remember who the last guy was before that.
  20. TwistedLogic
    I agree on both of these points. I think the Merrifield trade was an over-correction to not getting Happ. I also do really like the Marlins deal because I think Groshans is a total bum.
  21. TwistedLogic
    Oh no, I'm back on the Spankster's shitlist because of one comment where I didn't immediately fellate Ross Atkins for having an abysmal trade deadline. What will I ever do now? lmao wow, that lemming really still has a stick up its ass because it was blocked and can't handle it. It's been months loser, learn to cope.
  22. TwistedLogic
  23. TwistedLogic
    I gave them an F. There is a realistic chance that Castillo is just better than White in the exact same role and they traded Castillo for a Bradley Zimmer replacement in an 80 wRC+ anti-vax idiot bench bat and then used one of their best prospects to get White. Realistically, Castillo to White is a lateral-ish move. Worst case scenario, they gave up a better, younger, more controllable swingman right after acquiring White. Atkins spoke all season about how the bullpen was lacking swing and miss and it would be a priority for them to remedy that. His big move was getting Zach Pop, a guy with a 6.30 K/9, and Anthony Bass, who, while he's having an excellent season, has an xERA double his real ERA. He sent out Castillo, who strikes more guys out than White, the guy he brought in. This was the busiest and wildest trade deadline ever and the Blue Jays big acquisition was Anthony Bass. The fact that Atkins said he wanted to add swing and miss all season and then didn't do that means he failed at the deadline. Failing gets an F.
  24. TwistedLogic
    Jays got pillaged.
  25. TwistedLogic
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