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Terminator

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Everything posted by Terminator

  1. Terminator
    Not a huge Cameron fan but in his defense writing up FA predictions for all 30 is really difficult and an endeavor which he even admits is pretty much worthless as an actual predictive tool.
  2. Terminator
    I like that plan.
  3. Terminator
    Cameron explains that he thinks a team will pay extra for Kennedy's swing and miss stuff.
  4. Terminator
    I have no problem keeping Revere. We need 4 good OFers and Saunders is completely unreliable.
  5. Terminator
    What if you backload the deals to save 5 to 7 million and non-tender/trade Smoak and Revere? I know it's pushing it but maybe hold off on Jaso (who I'm not even sure can play 1B) or get a little creative with the active roster and it could be done?
  6. Terminator
    Bring me Kuma (3/42), Lackey (2/30), Jaso (2/12), Lowe (2/8) and Davis (1/6).
  7. Terminator
    Heyward is 6-5, 250 - is he really going to be an elite defensive player for that much longer? I'm not saying he won't, but am genuinely asking.
  8. Terminator
    Yeah that makes some sense. Well for 1 year and 6 million wouldn't he be a no brainer?
  9. Terminator
    Lol I know I know! But it's hard for me to forego the eye test AND stats such as xFip to actually advocate the signing of Chris Young who I had always presumed was a piece of s***.
  10. Terminator
    Yeah that's the article I was referencing as evidence. If that is true then for 1 year 6 million for a pitcher who is coming of 2.4 and 3.0 RA9-WAR seasons makes a ton of sense for the #5 SP. This ballpark wouldn't do him any favors though. I might even give him that much money to be our long man and #6 SP which we will certainly need at some point.
  11. Terminator
    Not a fan of Cespedes or Gordon deals. Gallardo deal might be the worst one on there.
  12. Terminator
    Is Chris Young truly an xFIP beater? If he is, and there is evidence that he is, then 1 year 6 million would be a good get.
  13. Terminator
    Well yeah of course. Just because no one ever has accepted it doesn't mean no one ever will. But it does show that players who even should accept it tend not to. Further to that, that wasn't all I said. I laid out how it's not that bad of scenario if he does accept it. So yeah it's not a complete argument but that wasn't even half of the argument I was making.
  14. Terminator
    What other pitchers will be out there on 1 year deals and who, if any, will be better than Estrada? To me I think it's a pretty easy call. He probably won't accept but even if he does it's not really that much of an over payment on a one year deal and we need SP's anyway.
  15. Terminator
    He'll be 33 though instead of 32. If he declines what is his worst case scenario? He probably gets a two year deal for at least 24 mil or so wouldn't he? That's not much worse than 15.8 mil for one year. I bet he declines and goes for a 3 year deal worth about 36 million or so. Keep in mind, no one has ever accepted the QO.
  16. Terminator
    Yeah I agree, so let's offer him the QO and get the pick.
  17. Terminator
    Estrada could be that one year deal guy if he accepts the QO but I don't know that he would accept it. I don't think anyone has accepted the QO since the new CBA took effect.
  18. Terminator
    I wouldn't mind seeing some advanced stats on the Royals in the playoffs, especially BABIP. At one point in the ALCS they had a BABIP of over .400 against the Jays on ground balls - I remember reading that but can't find it now. Great bullpen and defense, but the lineup and rotation left something to be desired. Still, if you are good enough to make the playoffs anything can happen. Just need an uptick in production from your starters and then BABIP your way in to some offense and you can win the 11 games necessary.
  19. Terminator
    I heard it on a podcast, can't remember the name. Jon Morosi kind of backed it up but it sounds like crap really. As long as the Jays have a winning team Tulo will be fine.
  20. Terminator
    Yeah I've been hearing this s*** as well. I suppose anything is possible, especially since Shapiro didn't sign him but I don't trust Goins to be the starting SS at all.
  21. Terminator
    So what would the + be that would somehow swing a Stroman heist for Cleveland "to the other way"? Unloading some bad contracts? I'm confused.
  22. Terminator
    I'm sure it's possible he'd take the job. I don't know how much money influences him. Sounded like he had a pretty sweet deal with the Jays lined up since it included that option but he turned it down.
  23. Terminator
    His moves were fine and he's a very good GM, maybe the best. That said, his skill set is completely overrated and he's hailed as some sort of genius when in reality there are thousands of people out there who could do a similar job to him by diving in to advanced statistics like he has done. There might be people on this board who could do it. Where Friedman rises to the top is because ownership around baseball is bad. The Phillies suck because of Ruben Amaro no doubt, but they also suck because their ownership hired him. Having good ownership is more important than having a good GM. Think about it this way - the Rays can overcome the loss of Friedman but could they overcome the loss of Sternberg? I'm not sure that they could. If the Rays had a bad owner not only would they be consistent cellar dwellers they would likely leave Tampa or just fold altogether. Loria killed the Expos, it wasn't the fault of bad GMs. In summary what I am trying to say is that Beane, Theo, Friedman, etc. are all very smart guys but their skills aren't that exclusive or special.
  24. Terminator
    I don't see AA take a job with the Marlins. AA is clearly very particular about the "fit" and I don't see him fitting in with Loria.
  25. Terminator
    So if we traded a 4 WAR offensive player for a 2.5 WAR pitcher and our runs scored dropped by 80 and our runs prevented improved by 20 you'd like that? To me you evaluate each position individually and improve the positions that are easiest to do so.
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