saskjayfan

I'm ready to take the contract risk on Yelich. His K rate is trending in the right direction. His statcast page still looks pretty good. Burnes and Yelich for Varsho and Manoah. Sign JD Martinez. Sign one of Soler, Hernandez, Bellinger depending on how much money you want to spend.

I think Chapman and Bellinger are going to be massive overpays and the value just isn't there. Bellinger was better last year but advanced stats suggest there was some luck in those numbers. JD Martinez is the first guy I sign. I'd bring Hicks back, but I think it will cost more. Teo might come at a reasonable price.

John Axford's tweet made me laugh. I prey to the baseball gods that Ohtani signs where ever he signs by Sunday. This is lunacy.

It was a busy day at work. Haven't checked my computer or twitter account all day. What did I miss?

The best thing about the Jays potentially landing Ohtani is that the Dodgers freed a ton of payroll to sign him so if we nab him from the Dodgers they have 100 mil sitting in their pocket. They're going to be angry buying free agents. The Cohen Dodger fight for Yamamoto would be a good one. Realistically the Dodgers need to sign 2 starters and they will be looking at the top of the market blocking the Yankees hopefully.

and where would Morosi get this information? Just pure speculation. It's an educated guess.

You can tell in his face he's lost weight and he looks way stronger. He looks as good as he did in 21 coming into camp, maybe better. Kid's contact rates are ridiculous. If we get the best version of Kirk physically you could be talking about a 2 win upgrade without spending a dollar.

He's an entirely unique player in that a team can make money off him in ways they can't off other players. How much is that? Who knows. You'd think a multi media conglomerate like Rogers would be better positioned to max out that potential revenue. I'm not going to go through mental gymnastics of trying to figure out if he can possible put up enough wins to justify his ridiculous contract. If the Jays somehow signed him, which I still think is a long shot, I'd just pop the champagne and enjoy the moment.

May as well convince Ohtani to play the outfield since he's not going to pitch this year. Sign JD Martinez to a 1 year deal. Springer Ohtani Soto Vlad Bo Martinez Now that's a top 6. The off-season is fun. You put yourself through mental excercises dreaming about s*** that won't happen. Still there's no reason not to dream about Ohtani until he signs somewhere else.

Nah...trade Manoah to the Padres as part of a package for Soto and sign Bauer for 10 cents on the dollar.

4 for 18 for Lind. Lind was 32% better than league average and 43% better than league average in his last 2 years with the Jays. That was not a bad contract. He hit the IL a few times the last couple years but he was very productive. That wasn't a bad contract.

Bo is probably the most serious player the Blue Jays has. He just criticised management and he didn't openly do that either and Atkins has a fragile ego.

Did you actually watch that clip? It's a rather misleading headline. Mattingly said if you focus on elevating the ball in batting practice against 60 mph you get into bad habits with your swing lengthening and then when you get to an actual game and face 95 up in the zone you have no chance. He also said you don't want to just pepper the ball all over the infield and give up your at bat. There's a balance between contact and aggression. He said there's room for a guy who strikes out a lot and hits 40 with some walks, but loading up with too many of those guys isn't ideal either. His answers seem pretty balanced and seems to acknowledge there are different types of hitters in the game.

Steamer is completely statistcally driven and projects his wRC at 94. I'm not sure what your definition of "close to a league avg bat is" but 94 seems close to me. Votto was playing hurt in 2022. That's pretty well documented. He also put up a 39% better than league avg in 2021. Last year coming off injury coming in mid season he put up a .747 OPS for an OPS of 99. That's league average. Coming into camp healthy, I can see him bettering that number. His OPS range is 90 to 120. 1 year 3 mil on that type of player isn't really a bad signing. Throw in all the intangibles and he's not a terrible add. Sure I'd like Martinez but he's 15 to 20 mil. If we go sign a Bellinger and ony have a few mil left in our pocket and can't afford Martinez why not go with the young kids and sign Votto. For years I've heard the nerds say don't spend big on a designated hitter and now you all don't want to go cheap on Votto, you want to spend big on a DH..lol

He didn't want to go anywhere. He stayed in Cincinatti for his whole career. He was just loyal to an organization. It's not like he jumped ship and chose the Yankees over the Jays.

I have conflicting thoughts about this, because it's tough playing through an injury and playing coming back off injury. I honestly think Votto still could put up a season 15 to 20% above league avg with the bat. Worst case he's league avg with the bat. His work throughout his career is legendary. His worked tirelessly in the cage, but he also did so with purpose. Early in his career he was self absorbed and was entirely focused on making himself better. It's been well documented that he's shifted and is much more willing to work with young players. Most players just fall in line and take in whatever is being preached to them. Votto isn't at a point in his career where he's that type of player. I can see him saying well that's f***ing stupid if he doesn't agree with something, but he will challenge hitting processes from the point as one of the most cerebral hitting minds of his generation. He could impart meaningful and useful information to both players and coaches. He can collaborate with coaches to improve the process that benefits all. There's lots of ways to construct the roster this offseason. Votto isn't going to get paid a lot of money. He's a left handed bat. If the Jays go with some young kids, I can see a spot for Votto on the roster for a lot of things he doesn't do on the field as long as he's willing to understand his role and be comfortable with not getting 550 ABs

What do you really know about Don Mattingly and his hitting philosophies in terms of coaching? The only time he's been a hitting coach was with the Yankees and Dodgers more than a decade ago. Is the default assumption that someone who's old is no good?

Yeah, me too. A year ago I would have been a no. Unfortunately Shatkins will be a no. I'd bring back Roberto Osuna too...lol.

The problem is the application of analytics. Analytics carry's you through 162. 1 game is not a sample size and the variance is too high. You can't go into games with pre-determined plans. When a pitcher is on and locating like Berrios was you don't pull him out. They need to develop in game analytics if they are going to go that far. The swinging strike rate plus called strike rate, exit velocity, ground ball percentage etc would have suggested don't pull the pitcher. Anyone who's watched baseball all their life knew that was the wrong decision. Not giving in to Lewis was the right decision. He's the one guy on the twins that you can live with the walk. It was stupid. We wonder if we could have had a scoreless game going into the 10th. We may still have lost, but the bitter taste in our mouth this morning would have been different if the appropriate decisions had been made.

With all the analytics the Blue Jays have, how is it possible Dalton Varsho wasn't pinch hit for in the last AB of the year. Dude has not been able to handle high velocity all year. Would Davis Schneider have gotten a hit or a homer. Probably not, but the numbers suggested he had a better chance than Varsho.

Varsho hasn't handled velocity all year....why not put Schneider in who's a good fastball hitter...dumn.

Why put further stress on an offense that has no confidence...we couldn't afford to give up the first run.

get somebody up in the pen

The baseball gods aren't on our side....Chappy hits it 401 yesterday...he hits it 403 or pulls or pushes it and it's at least 2 runs....today he crushes a ball 2 feet foul that would have at least tied the game.

at a boy espi...come on