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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Really can't see Kikuchi having any value. He's no longer looking like a bad contract but still a far cry from an asset
  2. Laika
    lmao at the idea of Brown and Joyce Lewis being close in value Lewis is 24 going on 40 dude has had five knee replacements, is bald, probably has cataracts...
  3. Laika
    Maybe just bringing in an old flyball daddy to show Vlad how to train to hit homers
  4. Laika
    Will they be fine? They still need to win in the playoffs. They better hope McClanahan, Glasnow, and Bradley remain healthy and effective until then. If they lose two of them, then they need Eflin to be an Ace and they need to win bullpen games in the postseason. Go Rays Go! This happens all the time with their glass cannon SP corps.
  5. Laika
    Gross
  6. Laika
    For specific players or in general? In general, yes. That's literally what the positional adjustments in WAR are based on. Actual data from players who played multiple positions or moved positions. For specific players you would use that value adjustment as your starting point / assumption but it might not be true based on player characteristics. Like, a 2B should in theory be just as good at 3B but if they don't have the arm or the reflexes they might not be.
  7. Laika
    the replacement level C who can catch at an MLB level are like, 60 wRC+ hitters the replacement level 1B who can play 1B at an MLB level is like, a 100 wRC+ hitter
  8. Laika
    No, because competent defensive catchers are scarce. Competent defensive 1B are not scarce.
  9. Laika
    The most important part of this is recognizing that it's an economic question, haha.
  10. Laika
    Why not though? Players can hit .300 in a season and .250 the next year. Defense might be subject to similar year to year variations as other skills. The league changes, peers change, team positioning changes... players get slower...
  11. Laika
    It's an economic question. connorp doesn't get it and never will but that's okay because he works in hospitality, and not economics or finance. Hopefully LetTheBallFly works with his hands or is going into nursing or something overly practical.
  12. Laika
    And there you have it. Straight from the Tiger's mouth. If you think WAR is unfair to Vlad you can go ahead and add 0.2 WAR or so to his seasonal total, if you want. But it doesn't make sense to disregard the entire institution of defensive metrics. Don't throw the baby out with the bath water.
  13. Laika
    I think his question is something like: Has any attempt been made to quantify and value the small but repetitive contributions that are particular to 1B defense? Things like picks and scoops, catch radius (some are "bigger targets"), success rate on the complex plays involving pitcher coverage, and so forth. Related question: Is it possible that first baseman in general are undervalued because defensive statistics may ignore some of the above because the numbers are hard to figure out? Related question: Is it possible that GOOD defensive first baseman in particular are undervalued for this reason?
  14. Laika
    Cards will try to move: Montgomery, Flaherty, Stratton, Hicks, DeJong Cards may try to move the contracts of, or get big value for, these higher $ players: Mikolas, Gallegos, Matz, Contreras, Arenado, Goldschmidt Not likely to move Arenado and Goldschmidt, though.
  15. Laika
    I don't think they move him. Under control for 2024 and won't be expensive. They are trying to re-tool for 2024 and not do a full rebuild.
  16. Laika
    shhhhh don't ask
  17. Laika
    Spanky summoned Tom Tango.
  18. Laika
    This chart with the video links is great. Is it only available for OF at the moment? I tried to click through and find it for a couple of infielders but it looks like the same chart defaults to their batted balls, as opposed to fielded balls.
  19. Laika
    The real Tom Tango has come here and started a thread to answer questions about fielding runs / positional adjustments, and none of the people who are so adamant that the whole field is a scam have come forward to articulate their position. lol
  20. Laika
    There is a poll up about some roster or stat changes for 2024. Vote. It's just to feel out sentiment.
  21. Laika
    A double dick tuck!
  22. Laika
    Hi Tom Is there any merit to the idea that the assumptions in positional adjustments only apply to players who are bad/fringe at the position? I've read this as some sort of critique of positional adjustments. Something like "the sample is mostly based on players who are bad at a given position because the good ones don't get moved off the position". I can think of anecdotes of good defensive players who moved down the spectrum and did not see measured performance boosts. e.g. Marcus Semien was a consistent +5 SS before moving to 2B and he is a +4 or so 2B by UZR rather than the +10 you'd expect. Daulton Varsho is a +12 CF moved to LF and is a +10 instead of the expected +22 LF. Obviously these are just anecdotes and there could be particular explanations.
  23. Laika
    Ah, a dick tuck
  24. Laika
    Just put your best foot forward and see what happens It's the internet, nobody can hurt you If you're right then Tom Tango might thank you Let's see what you've got, brave and smart guy!
  25. Laika
    Positional Adjustment Truthers: please post your anti WAR arguments in the new thread, lol
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