Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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f***, that sounds amazing
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2023)
Laika replied to Krylian's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
probably threw, sat down for a bit, then threw again -
It's a good point. There are certain kinds of hitting talent that take longer to stabilize to the true talent level. This means that players who possess these talents may be unfairly discriminated against when/if they struggle for short periods of time, depending on the stage of their career. These are some commonly used "50% stabilization points" for offensive stats: 80 BIP: GB rate 80 BIP: FB rate 600 BIP: LD rate 820 BIP: BABIP 60 PA: Strikeout rate 120 PA: Walk rate 240 PA: HBP rate 290 PA: Single rate 1610 PA: XBH rate 170 PA: HR rate 910 AB: AVG 460 PA: OBP 320 AB: SLG 160 AB: ISO So to illustrate... in 160 AB you might have a good idea that a certain player can hit for power (ISO) and make contact (K rate), causing a team to give them more leash. But if a player of equal or greater talent does not excel in those areas you might cut him because his skills take longer to give you confidence. Maybe he is an OBP guy... 460 PA. Or worse, a guy who has a knack for hitting Line Drives for AVG with a high BABIP.
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Uh huh
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Well that was a lie
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I dunno if fellating AA makes sense. Harris and Grissom suck, they may have been rushed. The farm is really thin in Atlanta.
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GDT May 30th Game 1/3 Brewers @ Jays - Return of the Rowdy
Laika replied to Stangstag's topic in Game Thread Archive
Basically the first time Pearson has had his breaking balls working -
GDT May 30th Game 1/3 Brewers @ Jays - Return of the Rowdy
Laika replied to Stangstag's topic in Game Thread Archive
None of this is wrong. Lucky hits tonight. But, Kikuchi is probably one of those "effectively wild" types. Even when he's decent it's not gonna be clean. -
If I'm trading Seager I think I'd still want a better centrepiece. Moreno and ASS can complete the package. Cappe and the picks are worthless
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s*** deal
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GDT May 30th Game 1/3 Brewers @ Jays - Return of the Rowdy
Laika replied to Stangstag's topic in Game Thread Archive
Honestly I'll take it. 5 or 6 innings and I'm happy even if he gives up 4 runs a night -
upper minors bullpen prospect depth is suddenly interesting
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Needs a team like Oakland to give him a foot in the door It likely won't come in Toronto unless multiple players get injured. Like Ryan Noda. Not comparing players this time just opportunities. Toronto had no chance for him. LAD had no chance for him. Oakland had a part time role for him and now he is a full time player and he has proven himself to be pretty good. Go Ryan!
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From time to time you see contact oriented 1B players with middling power stick around as MLB starters. Guys like James Loney come to mind. Late career Joe Mauer. Yonder Alonso. But that's a really tough archetype. Horwitz would need to hit like, .280 and/or have an extreme walk rate.
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Hahaha
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Yeah he's like a Ryan Noda type
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And still a ridiculous babip!!!
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Sadly, Buxton seems cooked. Especially if he loses OF eligibility
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positional adjustment is like 2 wins (20 runs) between an average SS and an average 1B. Vlad did win the GG but defensive metrics don't really care. He has 0 DRS for his career and almost 0 UZR. He might be above average but it doesn't make sense to attribute much value to that. Bo is probably something like a minus 5 run defensive SS though. If you assume that and be generous and give Vlad +5 runs for his GG defense, he still needs to make up about 10 runs elsewhere on BO.
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He still hits the ball pretty f***ing hard. Like #4 in baseball. I think he just doesn't like hitting home runs. He likes to run the bases! He's so good at running the bases!!!!!
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nah, Berrios is years younger and has better stuff + similar results this year against much tougher competition Berrios has returned
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Stroman is killing it this year. He's just so consistently good.
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I don't think it's a recency thing. Since they entered the league, Bo has a 130 wRC+ and Vlad has a 133 wRC+. So they are equal offensive talents according to the 2300 and 2000 PA of data we have since they debuted. Bo is a year older but Vlad quite obviously bleeds value at every aspect of baseball that is not hitting, so I don't even think the discussion is particularly close. And then if you want to focus on the "shape" of their careers... 2019 = BO for hitting and value 2020 = BO for hitting and value 2021 = VLAD for hitting and value 2022 = VLAD for hitting (by a hair) but BO for value by a significant amount 2023 = BO for hitting and value So Bo the better player consistently... with Vlad's 2021 the only exception
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Vlad doesn't even hit tanks anymore. He has less dingers than certain platoon players, catchers, and 44 year old Andy McCutcheen. It's kind of embarrassing. Keep hitting the ball directly at the biggest part of the ballpark you f***ing idiot. Then get thrown out at 2nd as often as you can!
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Saber nerds need to put their money where their words are. Buy Orelvis heavily in every dynasty league.
