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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Yeah but "turn it around" probably just means he's a 1 WAR SP.
  2. Laika
    Berrios had a 4.21 xFIP last year and a FIP above replacement level. Not even close. Not the same planet of underperformance.
  3. Laika
    How does this make any sense? The risk is that they throw away another game by letting literally the worst SP in baseball take the mound. When the Jays have gone with Richards and/or Francis for bullpen games IIRC the results have been mostly fine. Much more competitive.
  4. Laika
    absolutely nothing if he gets demoted and the league has MiLB rosters and infinite keepers then maybe a 4th round pick or so
  5. Laika
    Not really. Sometimes players just randomly develop in a way you can't have expected. They traded him in 2017 while he was in A+ and having a mediocre year. STL also got nothing out of him then traded him for the final 66 innings of Jon Lester's career, which were worth exactly 0 WAR. Lester had a 5.43 FIP at the time of the trade and had given Washington 0.1 WAR in 75 innings. So, Thomas was worthless at that time...
  6. Laika
    It's not one bad start. It's a half season of bad starts, and most recently one extra bad one. I don't think you are appreciating how horrible it is for a pitcher to throw 92 pitches and strike nobody out, while giving up 5 walks and a homer. Bad starts happen. Aces can give up 10 earned runs. But last night, Manoah was bad in a very specific way that: 1) demonstrated in a small sample size that he sucks 2) was on trend with his entire season, which demonstrates the same thing This is completely different than a good pitcher just having a random bad start where lots of hits fall in and they don't miss as many bats as usual.
  7. Laika
    It's getting ugly. Varsho is in a complete tailspin this month. Just 5 hits in July. His swing looks broken. It kind of seemed like he had turned a corner in June (.326 wOBA) but I guess not. He is missing SO MANY hittable pitches from RHP. Hilarious that Moreno and Varsho are both flopping and the throw-in piece is defining the early returns for the trade.
  8. Laika
    Toronto tends to trade these guys or let them go, yeah. Smith, Noda, Lane Thomas... ummm... Jonathan Davis, Andy Burns, Samad Taylor.... just thinking of guys in AA/AAA who performed well in the minors but didn't have strong profiles in the age vs. level models in the last few years that the organization has opted to trade or let walk. Surely many others in the last 7 years or so. Christian Lopes, Smith Jr... Rowdy Tellez kind of in this bucket, maybe. They probably WISH they traded Biggio early in his career haha. Probably WISH they traded Espinal after his all star year haha.
  9. Laika
    Everyone DID question the front office decision to bring him back. Detroit is awful. There is bad starts and then there is what Manoah did last night. MLB quality pitchers don't really ever provide an outing with 92 pitches, 3 IP, 5 walks, no strikeouts, and a homer given up. They don't even need a decent replacement because Manoah looks like a sub-replacement level player. I'd feel way better with Bowden Francis on the mound. Throwing Kloffenstein to the sharks is probably better. Heck, Casey f***ing Lawrence might outperform him. I'd just pull the plug now and bullpen game his next turn up. Or spot start Bowden.
  10. Laika
    I would not give Manoah one more start Last night was so bad statistically that you can just make the conclusion
  11. Laika
    Even if Ryu throws 88 and gets rocked at least you know he's not going to walk five and whiff nobody
  12. Laika
    Marry f*** kill Manoah, Brad Keller, Zach Davies
  13. Laika
    Halladay had stuff and a great attitude Manoah has bad stuff and food addiction
  14. Laika
    Yeah but SECOND PERCENTILE jumps? I've never played a single organized sport and I bet I could react better to flyballs. f***, Jordumb Walker has hit enough flyballs in his career to know how the ball moves.
  15. Laika
    I actually think Cody Bellinger having a good year is bad for baseball. The game needs to move on from has-beens like him more quickly. Just better for fan psyche and promotions and whatnot.
  16. Laika
    Yeah but do you think Chapman or Donaldson in their 20s are going to go to a corner outfield spot and be f***ing SECOND PERCENTILE at reading balls? That's the whole point. I can buy that certain players might be just okay/average at reading flyballs but great at reacting to grounders to third, or vice versa. But I have a hard time imagining the brain of a player who is ALMOST THE WORST INSTINCTIVE OUTFIELDER IN BASEBALL being average or better at 3B reactions.
  17. Laika
    But it's just a baseball instincts question. It's sort of the same skill. Not exactly but I bet it's highly correlated.
  18. Laika
    Not compared to prior versions of Cody Bellinger actually has the highest CF% of his career and the lowest Pull% since his rookie season (per the FG batted ball s***. statcast looks a bit different)
  19. Laika
    I know it's a completely different read but if a guy has a 2nd percentile jump in the outfield, I would expect him to have well below average reaction times at 3B. So he might scout okay because the arm is a cannon and the sprint speed is above average, and his hands might be fine, but I'd still expect him to suck at 3B. But, maybe not as bad as in the OF.
  20. Laika
    Yeah the Os could trade 3 of their top 10 prospects, all being bats, and still be mostly fine.
  21. Laika
    They are set up well for a window of contention. Keller controllable through 2025 and Bednar through 2026... everyone else of significance is controllable through 2028 at least. About $35M coming off the books this offseason to re-load on short term free agent veterans.
  22. Laika
    Pairing Manoah with Ryu or Kikuchi in a piggy-back might be effective. You get to switch sides and looks on the other team after 3 or 4 innings... From a RHP with no idea where anything is going to a LHP throwing 87 with pinpoint command. Or from a LHP with no idea where anything is going but good stuff, to a RHP with no idea where anything is going and mediocre stuff.
  23. Laika
    7.9% LD rate is so low. Everything he hit in 2023 was either straight up or straight down, haha. Not sustainable at all but hilarious. 36 GB 34 FB 6 LD 3 IFFB hahahaha tough to watch
  24. Laika
    oof. would be selling way low on him.
  25. Laika
    The season should get really fun now. Every series is like a playoff series. The standings are too competitive to afford more than maybe one mediocre/bad stretch. The division is winnable. Jays are currently 14% chance to win division and 78% to make the playoffs...
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