JAYS PLAYOFF TRACKER

[Jays24]

[SeranthonySantander]

Coach snider just lined up the rotation putting cease in line for game 1 wild card 

[John_Havok]

Im about as non-optimistic as the next guy that they'll make it but... lets look at the math. 

25 games left, gap is 1.5,  being 2 wins better than Cleveland over the last 25 and at least 1 win better than Texas and Baltimore is not a gargantuan task. 

The permutations and possibilities of which team gets in are insane though. Texas and Baltimore are saying the exact same thing about the Jays and each other.

Thing is, Cleveland as 1 more game remaining and both Texas and Baltimore have 2 more games to play than they Jays. That's not insignificant. 

[SeranthonySantander]

The Indians fans wouldn’t even appreciate that spot if they made in it.

100 years of mockery of the eradication of Native American tribes and they put that racist cartoon on their jersey with pride.  
 

i will spit on a Cleveland fan if i ever see one in person 

what those fans did is on par with 9/11.  And even worse than 9/11 now that I think about it, much much worse 

worse than the holocuast.  Ok maybe not that bad, but up there.

[G-Snarls]

36 minutes ago, John_Havok said:

Im about as non-optimistic as the next guy that they'll make it but... lets look at the math. 

25 games left, gap is 1.5,  being 2 wins better than Cleveland over the last 25 and at least 1 win better than Texas and Baltimore is not a gargantuan task. 

The permutations and possibilities of which team gets in are insane though. Texas and Baltimore are saying the exact same thing about the Jays and each other.

Thing is, Cleveland as 1 more game remaining and both Texas and Baltimore have 2 more games to play than they Jays. That's not insignificant. 

We also get to play all those teams too :)

[John_Havok]

49 minutes ago, G-Snarls said:

We also get to play all those teams too :)

Yep, going to be quite the end of the season. Realistically tomorrow's game is must-win for both teams, but moreso for Seattle. Sure would be nice to sweep them at the RC and be the ones that start tapping the nail in their playoff coffin while staying alive at the same time. 

A decent winning streak or winning 8 of 10 or something like that is exactly what they need. 

[SeranthonySantander]

With the Texas rangers loss they have officially bowed out and been eliminated in my mind.

only having 1 team ahead of us even though it’s 1.5 games feels better than the 5 way tie

even if the orioles win tonight, I would still consider them eliminated.  They just don’t have the fight and drive like this team has 

[Forever92]

Losing Yesavage then Bieber down the stretch killed Jays. 

[Olerud363.354]

10 hours ago, John_Havok said:

Im about as non-optimistic as the next guy that they'll make it but... lets look at the math. 

25 games left, gap is 1.5,  being 2 wins better than Cleveland over the last 25 and at least 1 win better than Texas and Baltimore is not a gargantuan task. 

The permutations and possibilities of which team gets in are insane though. Texas and Baltimore are saying the exact same thing about the Jays and each other.

Thing is, Cleveland as 1 more game remaining and both Texas and Baltimore have 2 more games to play than they Jays. That's not insignificant. 

It's pretty simple.  4 teams left within 2 games, So back of napkin is 1/4, 25% chance. Jays are a bit behind those, plus another team could go 20-5, so 20%..  Fangraphs has it at 21.  bbref at 25%.   Jays have slightly better odds then Orioles on fangraphs for some reason. 

The games remaining may favor the Jays because it gives they will likely have to do bullpen games and push Cease, Soriano a little. 

[Olerud363.354]

Too bad they didn't still have 40 man September rosters.  

With Keys, Stanifer, Teideman, an extra catcher, Perry and a few others Jays could have done some crazy stuff.  Bullpen games, lead-off Keys at ss in road games then sit him.  3-3 game, put in Straw for defense until he hits, pinch hit Keys, Schneider for defense.  

Just really seems a team that would have fun to watch with a 40 man. 

Maybe the same could be said about the other teams.

Maybe they still can do some crazy stuff with some roster manipulation.  

[Laika]

Basically, we just need two of Spaghetti, Taillon, and Scherzer to pitch like Aces from here on 

The off days in September don't seem to give much opportunity to skip them many times, just given how they line up now 

Nolan Perry isn't doing well enough in AA to look like a savior 

Stanifer and Guerra would just be bullpen additions 

Luis Robert Jr. is an expensive upgrade on Daz Cameron but maybe worth a shot 

[Olerud363.354]

2 hours ago, Laika said:

Nolan Perry isn't doing well enough in AA to look like a savior

What the common people expect from the stuff experts is to bring it up in cases like this. 

42 year old Max Scherzer 1-7 with an 8 ERA is still a better bet then Perry, 1-1 3.5 12 walks 25 ks in New Hampshire.  Perry's numbers are averigish and the stuff doesn't indicate anything extra is there.  Scherzer's numbers are the worst we've ever seen but the stuff indicates he is still functional and above Perry.

Does the stuff indicate Scherzer is a better choice then Perry?   I mean I guess politically would be a hard move to make.  Or Petty 3 innings in a bullpen game worth it?  Probably not for the roster spot, I can see that. 

[SeranthonySantander]

Well the out of town score boards all going against us today.  Normally I would say the season is over if that happened.  I would be thrrratening suicide.

 

But I guess gaining 2 games over a weekend series isn’t the worst thing in the world.   Playoffs may be on the menu 

I will live to find out if we beat the Indians 

[Olerud363.354]

41 minutes ago, SeranthonySantander said:

I will live to find out if we beat the Indians 

There are other reasons to live.  I got apple TV to watch the Blue Jays and the return of Cody Ponce and Vlad searching for a triple crown and Barger cementing himself as a 30 homer guy, and Jays trying to get 100 wins.  I bought apple for some of Friday nights of that, and when it all went to hell I just used Apple TV to watch dystopian science fiction instead.

So if Jays lose a game in Cleveland watch Silo, Severence or Pluribus.  Don't jump!  Even I don't consider that.  If the Jays fail me, which they probably will Apple TV Dystopian science fiction.  If that fails me I will become a Trumper and watch America One News 24/7 **.

** not political just giving better option for SeranthonySantander. 

[Spanky__99]

You clowns are made for each other.

[SeranthonySantander]

17 minutes ago, Olerud363.354 said:

There are other reasons to live.  I got apple TV to watch the Blue Jays and the return of Cody Ponce and Vlad searching for a triple crown and Barger cementing himself as a 30 homer guy, and Jays trying to get 100 wins.  I bought apple for some of Friday nights of that, and when it all went to hell I just used Apple TV to watch dystopian science fiction instead.

So if Jays lose a game in Cleveland watch Silo, Severence or Pluribus.  Don't jump!  Even I don't consider that.  If the Jays fail me, which they probably will Apple TV Dystopian science fiction.  If that fails me I will become a Trumper and watch America One News 24/7 **.

** not political just giving better option for SeranthonySantander. 

I’m not paying for any content anymore.  I’m not buying Leo dicaprio his 8th beach house.  I’m not enabling Robert Downey juniors drug addiction.

i have good links that have 99% of every movie and every tv episode that exists going back 75 years and i only have to endure 1 pop up to watch an episode 

[SeranthonySantander]

11 minutes ago, Spanky__99 said:

You clowns are made for each other.

You clowns are made for each other.

[Olerud363.354]

1 hour ago, SeranthonySantander said:

I’m not paying for any content anymore.  I’m not buying Leo dicaprio his 8th beach house.  I’m not enabling Robert Downey juniors drug addiction.

How do you watch the Jays on the Friday nights they are on Apple TV ? I guess you are sophisticated enough to know secret links to watch for free. 

I am not sophisticated, I earn 15k a year and have a $7000 dollar streaming bill each year + 20k in other expenses so am going 14k a year in credit card debt with 33% interest.  It adds up to be honest, but thus far they aren't stopping me. 

[SeranthonySantander]

1 minute ago, Olerud363.354 said:

How do you watch the Jays on the Friday nights they are on Apple TV ? I guess you are sophisticated enough to know secret links to watch for free. 

I am not sophisticated, I earn 15k a year and have a $7000 dollar streaming bill each year + 20k in other expenses so am going 14k a year in credit card debt with 33% interest.  It adds up to be honest, but thus far they aren't stopping me. 

I do have sports net on cable that’s one thing I pay for but i stream games for free search for google links.

you should do it too.

[ComeTogether]

Last 10

Cleveland 8-2

1 game back Orioles 7-3

1.5 games back Jays 6-4

Gotta pick up the pace to catch them. 

[SeranthonySantander]

how do we only cash in one there.  The Rockies are handing this game to the orioles.  A complete embarrassment.  Colorado shouldn’t even have a team barely any people live there

[SeranthonySantander]

hunter goodman out after hit by batted ball in Colorado.  MLB doesn't even track this stat it's so rare.

[SeranthonySantander]

We aren’t going to the playoffs

everything went against us today.  Orioles and Rockies refuse to play in rain 

[jaysblue]

[Eat My Shatkins]

The top 3 teams in the AL are from the AL east, and 5 of the top 8.

This fricken divison, man.

[Olerud363.354]

10 hours ago, SeranthonySantander said:

We aren’t going to the playoffs

everything went against us today.  Orioles and Rockies refuse to play in rain 

Looks like the Orioles, led by certified genius Mike Elias are the team of destiny.   In the 2020s Jays lead them in playoff wins 10-0 as of Today September 1st.  As of November 1st the Orioles will be leading 13-10 and pure joy, purer then a shot of the purest fentanyl will hit Orioles Hangout. 

On a semi-serious note just glancing at their stats I can't see that much of anything has worked out for them.  Shane Baz is 4-15 or something,  Holliday, Henderson and Basallo are all hitting .230.

Nevertheless they (to be fair Jays do to) have a chance to flip their narrative.  Honestly all the teams in this wild card chase do.  Texas, Orioles, Jays, Twins, Guardians.  They get in they play the Astros and the Whitesox then have a good 12 days....  the 2020s will be completely awesome for one of those teams. 

If it is the Jays I will be genuinely happy.  If it is the Orioles I will bump all my "Mike Elias certified genius" posts and gain some board cred for my deep understanding of front office quality.   If it is Guardians or Rangers I won't care too much either way. 

[Olerud363.354]

Predictions

Orioles win wild card spot - Orioles hangout joy level - caffeinated 80 grams of sugar bottle of Coke

Orioles over Astros 2-1 0- Orioles hangout joy level -  5 bud lights after mowing lawn 

Orioles over White Sox 3-1 - Orioles hangout joy level - Marijuana 

Orioles over Yankees 4-2 - Orioles hangout joy level - Vodka mixed with 90s style Codeine laced cough syrup

Orioles over Dodgers 4-3 - Orioles hangout joy level - the purest of pure fentanyl.  

[Olerud363.354]

If Jays get behind 2+ again (could happen tonight) this closed and tank thread for 18th pick re-opened. 

If Orioles take wild card lead mods need to start a 'Mike Elias certified genius' thread

If Jays keep within 2 this thread fine to remain open.

Mods need to react to the situation and open/close the appropriate threads. 

[Olerud363.354]

Are Mike Elias (Certified Genius) and Orioles Hangout routing for us tonight so they can take the wild card lead ?

[SeranthonySantander]

Totally agree Olerud.  It wouldn't hurt to be on several bandwagons so you can say you were on the right side of history.  I am getting a dodgers hat just incase.