Blue Jays (Corbin) vs Yankees (Weathers): 5/18/26, 7:05pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

Alright, so now the Jays visit the Bronx. What are your expectations for this series?

	WED	THU	FRI	SAT	SUN	TOT
Yariel Rodríguez	0	0	0	0	14	14
Tyler Rogers	14	0	0	11	20	45
Spencer Miles	0	0	0	56	0	56
Mason Fluharty	2	0	0	0	0	2
Louis Varland	23	0	0	26	0	49
Joe Mantiply	0	0	14	0	21	35
Jeff Hoffman	18	0	23	0	0	41
Braydon Fisher	0	0	10	20	0	30

[Olerud363.354]

12 minutes ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

What are your expectations for this series?

We have the team with the most homers and the most walks in the AL, against the team with the least walks. 

This is a mis-match on paper.  

Some may argue the Jays are the 2014/2015/ Kansas City Royals.  If so they are doing it in reverse, last year they were the 2015 Kansas City Royals and just missed.

This year they are the 2014 Kansas City Royals.  A scrappy team with no walks and no power and no probable path to anything, the only road open right now is the Royals 2014 path.   They make the playoffs with 83 wins or something and a bunch of fluky things happen. 

Predictions from the different modeling approaches.  

Jays Center Hive Mind - Jays win series 3-1 on their way to Kansas City 2014 style World Series appearance.

Olerud363 - Bill James is not dumb.  Walks and power are important.  Yankees win series 3-1. 

Michael Kay - Justice will be served, In the end the righteous come out on top.  Yankees sweep with 44 - 9 run differential.

Fangraphs - Yankees are better team.   Likely win series 3-1.  

 

 

[Terminator]

• Corbin vs. Weathers
• Cease vs. Warren
• Yesavage vs. ScHitler
• Miles (PP) vs. Rodon

[Laika]

Jays will sweep

[james jones]

Would be lucky to split the series.

[Terminator]

• Game 1: I’m kind of worried about Corbin tonight. He's got 2 K's through his last two starts combined. But the Yanks have a lot of lefty bats so hopefully that helps him get through 5.
• Game 2 & 3: Solid pitching matchups.
• Game 4: I actually like a Jays bullpen game against Rodon but it will be important for the previous starters to eat some innings to make sure they are fresh for that game.

So tonight is probably our toughest pitching matchup, but we are catching the Yankees at a good time since they’ve lost 7 of their last 9 and the Mets taxed their bullpen pretty hard the last couple games.

On the flip side, our pitching is really starting to settle in. Our bats broke out at about this time last year, so hopefully they follow suit this year and the Jays take 3 of these games.

 

 

[Olerud363.354]

16 minutes ago, Laika said:

Jays will sweep

Updated with new modeling from Jays Center and predicted run differentials

Predictions for Toronto Blue Jays (a.k.a. 2014 Kansas City Royals) vs New York Yankees (a.k.a. 1961 New York Yankees (Judge/Rice > Mantle/Maris)

Jays Center: Jays sweep.  11-5 run differential

Michael Kay: Yankees sweep.  44-5 run differential

Olerud363: Yankees 3-1 25-14 run differential

Fangraphs: Yankees 3-1 21-14 run differential

 

[Olerud363.354]

Toronto Blue Jays a.k.a. 2014 Kansas City Royals

2014 Kansas Royals had Eric Hosmer - 2026 Toronto Blue Jays have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 

Explain the difference???  You can't!

[Laika]

1 hour ago, Terminator said:

• Corbin vs. Weathers
• Cease vs. Warren
• Yesavage vs. ScHitler
• Miles (PP) vs. Rodon

Corbin and Weathers are both left-handed so this is a toss up.

Cease >>>>>>>> Warren 

Schlitter is pitching well but the Jays know how to hit him

Rodon is a fat sweaty mess who just came off the IL and Miles will be a mystery for the Yanks 

[hanton]

Yankees have a slg+ of 111, 2nd overall

TOR 96, 23rd overall

 

what happened to our power Pop (lol)?