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Posted

Alright, so now the Jays visit the Bronx. What are your expectations for this series?

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  WED THU FRI SAT SUN TOT
Yariel Rodríguez 0 0 0 0 14 14
Tyler Rogers 14 0 0 11 20 45
Spencer Miles 0 0 0 56 0 56
Mason Fluharty 2 0 0 0 0 2
Louis Varland 23 0 0 26 0 49
Joe Mantiply 0 0 14 0 21 35
Jeff Hoffman 18 0 23 0 0 41
Braydon Fisher 0 0 10 20 0 30
Posted
12 minutes ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

What are your expectations for this series?

We have the team with the most homers and the most walks in the AL, against the team with the least walks. 

This is a mis-match on paper.  

Some may argue the Jays are the 2014/2015/ Kansas City Royals.  If so they are doing it in reverse, last year they were the 2015 Kansas City Royals and just missed.

This year they are the 2014 Kansas City Royals.  A scrappy team with no walks and no power and no probable path to anything, the only road open right now is the Royals 2014 path.   They make the playoffs with 83 wins or something and a bunch of fluky things happen. 

Predictions from the different modeling approaches.  

Jays Center Hive Mind - Jays win series 3-1 on their way to Kansas City 2014 style World Series appearance.

Olerud363 - Bill James is not dumb.  Walks and power are important.  Yankees win series 3-1. 

Michael Kay - Justice will be served, In the end the righteous come out on top.  Yankees sweep with 44 - 9 run differential.

Fangraphs - Yankees are better team.   Likely win series 3-1.  

 

 

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