Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)

[Jays24]

8 minutes ago, Terminator said:

I'm actually encouraged by stuff like this. We are playing like absolute dogshit and it's about as bad of a start to the season that you could imagine.

Yet we're only 2.5 games behind the Yankees who are two Jordan Romano appearances away from a 9 game losing steak.

Thing can only go up from here.

Majority of our errors have been from our pitchers and catchers it feels like.  They cannot be that bad going forward.  

[jaysblue]

Blue Jays are 19 to 1 right now to win the World Series. Not much of a difference between what they were previously (17 and 15 to 1), so Vegas still thinks they should be in it. 

[John_Havok]

4 minutes ago, Brownie19 said:

Sean Casey's son!!!

He's already ahead of them by a level, but thats close enough lol

[jaysblue]

Jays can't be any worse than the Leafs were this season 😂

[Spanky__99]

58 minutes ago, John_Havok said:

Wouldn't that be nice?

Who would be their version of Craig Biggio's son? It really was about all 3 of them in the minors until Biggio shat the bed in the bigs by never swinging the bat.

 

Piasentin?

[Spanky__99]

49 minutes ago, jaysblue said:

Blue Jays are 19 to 1 right now to win the World Series. Not much of a difference between what they were previously (17 and 15 to 1), so Vegas still thinks they should be in it. 

Thanks Tips!

[Spanky__99]

Damn, I need to log off and digress, the copious amount of mind numbing f*ckin" stupidity out of people on here, leave me numb, yeah(timeout), that's appropriate in times like these... it's like every post is a steaming pile of... 



 

[Laika]

 

 

[Laika]

Perry is a dude if he can stay healthy. You can tell this fastball has plus traits. Looks like lots of jump and rise 

 

 

[jaysblue]

9 hours ago, Laika said:

 

 

Saving up my waiver for him in the LOD. 

[Laika]

The MLB offense can't flip a grilled cheese right now but I kind of like what the Jays are cooking in the minors so far in 2026. 

Daniel Guerra was nasty yesterday and seems to have a fastball with good characteristics 

https://www.milb.com/vancouver/video/daniel-guerra-s-11-strikeouts

Last year his fastball sat 93,8 with an 18.8 IVB. Any kind of velo spike and the 6'6" righty will be very interesting.

Nolan Perry (video above) has gained a tick from last year and is now 94+ with similar IVB to Guerra. See image.

Stanifer had a good outing and has a decent K-BB and good K rate. Ignore the earned runs so far. Noise. 

[Laika]

More generally:

• Dunedin is #1 in the FSL in OPS. 13 team homers is five more than the second best team. 
• Dunedin arms are #1 in the FSL in K/BB rate. This is skewed perhaps by three major leaguers (Yesavage, Berrios, Corbin) rehabbing there but Perry and Karson Ligon are names to watch. Troy Guthrie is there too, I think I saw him on a sleeper list. 
• The Vancouver rotation with Daniel Guerra, Johnny King, Austin Cates, and Landen Maroudis is interesting for sure. 
• The Fisher Cats lead the Eastern League in OPS. Keys, Bohrofen, are mashing. Mechiletti, Goodwin, and Hornung are doing very well. 
• The Fisher Cats have the youngest pitching staff in the EL. Stanifer is the main prospect. Javen Coleman is older but apparently a legit LH relief prospect. Fernando Perez young. 

Buffalo sucks 

[Brownie19]

Just a quick note that Nolan Perry didn't play last year.  TJS late 2024.  But good to see a velo uptick upon his return.

I for one LOVE discussions and updates on prospects.  I know there's a prospect thread under the "other" section of this site, but could there be consideration to just adding it here - where everyone lives/posts?

[Olerud363.354]

17 hours ago, jaysblue said:

Blue Jays are 19 to 1 right now to win the World Series. Not much of a difference between what they were previously (17 and 15 to 1), so Vegas still thinks they should be in it. 

According to fangraphs they are at 2% to win world series, 9% for division and 32% for playoffs.

That is 49-1.  So Vegas odds reflect that "the crowd" I guess thinks it better than that.  Fair enough.  

Complain if you want about Fangraphs models, but Jays are now ranked 19th out of 30 teams according to playoff chance.  

They are all of a sudden a sub-average team in terms of "expected happiness provided to fans" in 2026.  At least according to fangraphs.  

[Terminator]

This guy's predictions on the pitching staff seem wrong and there could be another injury by then (hopefully something minor!) but reinforcements are coming. Kirk will be back 2-4 weeks after this.

[Jimcanuck]

17 hours ago, Spanky__99 said:

Damn, I need to log off and digress, the copious amount of mind numbing f*ckin" stupidity out of people on here, leave me numb, yeah(timeout), that's appropriate in times like these... it's like every post is a steaming pile of... 



 

See ya in a few days, ya Bucs loving bum

[Spanky__99]

3 hours ago, Jimcanuck said:

See ya in a few days, ya Bucs loving bum

Jimmyc mouth-breather extraordinaire. 🙄🖕

[Olerud363.354]

6 hours ago, Laika said:

The Fisher Cats lead the Eastern League in OPS. Keys, Bohrofen, are mashing. Mechiletti, Goodwin, and Hornung are doing very well. 

Heard Vancouver park factor is bad for hitters maybe because of same climate as Seattle, which knocks down scoring by 10%.

New Hampshire is good especially for lefties.  So maybe I exaggerate but I think Sean Keys might go .220 .350 .400, in Vancouver, .300 .400 .600 in New Hampshire (exciting), then .270 .370 .450 in Buffalo.

I'm making up numbers point is guys may not put up sexy numbers in Vancouver then too sexy in New Hampshire.  Someone with a BA subscription can let us know the Park Factors.

[John_Havok]

On 4/17/2026 at 2:40 PM, Olerud363.354 said:

Heard Vancouver park factor is bad for hitters maybe because of same climate as Seattle, which knocks down scoring by 10%.

New Hampshire is good especially for lefties.  So maybe I exaggerate but I think Sean Keys might go .220 .350 .400, in Vancouver, .300 .400 .600 in New Hampshire (exciting), then .270 .370 .450 in Buffalo.

I'm making up numbers point is guys may not put up sexy numbers in Vancouver then too sexy in New Hampshire.  Someone with a BA subscription can let us know the Park Factors.

Van is just humid and hot in the summer, ball doesnt fly as well. 

New Hampshire RF porch is 306 and only 353 to right centre. To say its lefty power friendly is an understatement. To put that in perspective, that's 8 feet shorter in RF and 43 feet shorter than Yankee Stadium's joke dimensions in the same spots. 

[HomeRunHomer]

Yikes.

[Slade]

10 minutes ago, HomeRunHomer said:

Yikes.

Good on Scneider, definitely above Lauers pay grade. Pitch better and maybe they won't have to do that.  

[Laika]

You can't make this stuff up!

Also, malpractice to continue to hit him leadoff and second in the lineup while knowing he was f***ed up. I understand keeping him on the active roster but cmon.

 

 

[HomeRunHomer]

It really makes no sense to have him battle through that.

[hanton]

Fangraphs ETA is 2030.  No way

 

 

[Slade]

Thrilled Shane Farrell has left this organization. 

[Jays24]

[jaysblue]

4 hours ago, hanton said:

Fangraphs ETA is 2030.  No way

 

 

We could use him now! 

[jaysblue]

1 hour ago, Jays24 said:

It's just bad luck and randomness. 

[Spanky__99]

3 hours ago, jaysblue said:

It's just bad luck and randomness. 

 

[Olerud363.354]

10 hours ago, hanton said:

Fangraphs ETA is 2030.  No way

ETA could realistically be any where between late next year or sometime 2028 IF he has as good as we hope.  Like 2030 would mean a full year at each level, and that doesn't happen unless there is a bump in the road.  If things are going good he'll do two levels a year.