Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)

[G-Snarls]

11 hours ago, Laika said:

Toronto .300 wOBA (rank 18th in MLB)

Toronto .332 xwOBA (tied for 5th in MLB)

4th in Defensive value. Exactly average in BsR (0.00)

Pitching ERA vs xERA, FIP, xFIP:

4.71

3.37

3.76

3.05

 

That xFIP is #2 in baseball, xERA is 7th best 

#1 in baseball in K% from the pitching staff and #3 in K-BB%

Also a 2.98 SIERA good for 3rd best in baseball 

 

Despite all of this the team is 4-6, with a 3-7 Pyth W-L and a -20 run differential 

what the f*** is going on, dudes? 

The unluckiest team in baseball through 10 games + injuries being piled on for additional insult. 

Mostly can't get any hits with runners on base 

[Spanky__99]

1 hour ago, G-Snarls said:

Mostly can't get any hits with runners on base 

Exactly like last season early on, ughh... and all these injuries aren't helping at all.  

[Spanky__99]

9 hours ago, Stangstag said:

Ponce done for the year

This is what I was trying to tell that guy earlier, an ACL injury is bad news man. 

[mphenhef]

It feels like there has been a sloppy play or two every game at first base so far this year usually involving a pitcher or catcher.  I've been wondering if the team is suffering a bit from so many of them being away from the club for the WBC this spring.  Like are those missing reps in PFP with vlad there causing some early chemistry issues perhaps?

[Stangstag]

5 hours ago, Spanky__99 said:

This is what I was trying to tell that guy earlier, an ACL injury is bad news man. 

Yeah if the team doesn’t immediately say its NOT a torn ACL, it’s usually bad news. Just the way he was carted off I felt he was probably done.

[Stangstag]

6 minutes ago, mphenhef said:

It feels like there has been a sloppy play or two every game at first base so far this year usually involving a pitcher or catcher.  I've been wondering if the team is suffering a bit from so many of them being away from the club for the WBC this spring.  Like are those missing reps in PFP with vlad there causing some early chemistry issues perhaps?

I think they’re all sick lol. The flu thing has probably traveled around the clubhouse more than they’ve let on. We are getting uncharacteristic errors from almost every position, lots of bobbles in the OF too by Varsho and Lukes.

[G-Snarls]

Ranks for Blue Jays:

BA .227 (rank 17/30)

BABIP .264 (rank 22/30)

BA with RISP .231 (rank 16/30)

BA with bases loaded 0.059 (rank 30/30) - CHOKE MASTERS.  Jays are 1/17 with the bases loaded  

Runners left on base per game: 8.09 (rank 26/30)

 

[Spanky__99]

13 minutes ago, G-Snarls said:

Ranks for Blue Jays:

BA .227 (rank 17/30)

BABIP .264 (rank 22/30)

BA with RISP .231 (rank 16/30)

BA with bases loaded 0.059 (rank 30/30) - CHOKE MASTERS.  Jays are 1/17 with the bases loaded  

Runners left on base per game: 8.09 (rank 26/30)

 

This will change dramatically I'd assume.

[Slade]

Damn missed the news that Cody Ponce will indeed miss the rest of the season. That sucks man, I was really excited to see him over all our other accquistions. 

[Stangstag]

20 hours ago, Slade said:

Damn missed the news that Cody Ponce will indeed miss the rest of the season. That sucks man, I was really excited to see him over all our other accquistions. 

Same here. Hopefully he can still be good for us next year as a back-end starter.

Gonna be hard to replicate his KBO success after moving to a more difficult league AND missing a year AND coming back from knee surgery.

[Jonn]

22 hours ago, Slade said:

Damn missed the news that Cody Ponce will indeed miss the rest of the season. That sucks man, I was really excited to see him over all our other accquistions. 

His timeline would bring him into September. Depending how rehab goes and if he can start a throwing program in August. Wouldn't rule out him being able to come back as a reliever in late September. Obviously he won't have time to build up to start.

[max silver]

24 minutes ago, Jonn said:

His timeline would bring him into September. Depending how rehab goes and if he can start a throwing program in August. Wouldn't rule out him being able to come back as a reliever in late September. Obviously he won't have time to build up to start.

Wasn't it announced that he had a 6 month recovery post surgery?

[Jonn]

8 minutes ago, max silver said:

Wasn't it announced that he had a 6 month recovery post surgery?

Recovery also factors in his ability to return to the field. It could be shorter than that time frame it could be longer. He could shorten the timeline based on how his body bounces back. So if he can get do that I think both him and the team would love to have him available in September if possible. They won’t rush it and the main objective is having him ready for Sprjng 2027. But if the Jays are heading to the playoffs he could be a major boost to the 2026 Bullpen if all works out. And I hope he does.

[Laika]

Ponce is older and heavy. I would guess his recovery will slide longer. 

He's the opposite of a young Marcus Stroman, for reference. 

[max silver]

47 minutes ago, Laika said:

Ponce is older and heavy. I would guess his recovery will slide longer. 

He's the opposite of a young Marcus Stroman, for reference. 

Those are my thoughts as well as his knee would be placed under greater stress while healing due to the fact that he's such a large man.

[Perfect Game]

 

[jaysblue]

Eloy will lead the Jays in HR's this season! 

[Jays24]

11 minutes ago, jaysblue said:

Eloy will lead the Jays in HR's this season! 

God help us all if this is close to being true lol.

[Laika]

Sorta shocked to see Valenzuela get all these starts over Hein 

Even day games after night games

Front office obviously thinks BV is vastly superior 

[Jonn]

1 minute ago, Laika said:

Sorta shocked to see Valenzuela get all these starts over Hein 

Even day games after night games

Front office obviously thinks BV is vastly superior 

Apparently Hein has back spasms. So that’s the main reason. But clearly Valenzuela is the backup of the future.

[jaysblue]

After seeing the way Hein has played, you probably don't want him as a starter. Better to give BV the at-bats and experience. 

Hein is just a backup and that's it. Can't rely on him playing 4-5 times per week. 

[SuperFuzzBigMuff]

I just try to keep reminding myself they were 16-20 on May 7 last year and 25-27 on May 25 after losing to the Rays 13-0 then they turned it around!

[Stangstag]

4 hours ago, SuperFuzzBigMuff said:

I just try to keep reminding myself they were 16-20 on May 7 last year and 25-27 on May 25 after losing to the Rays 13-0 then they turned it around!

.500 at the deadline is normally good enough to still go on a big playoff push

Several teams have done that and gone on to the world series, 2022 Phillies and 2021 Braves off the top of my head. Not really uncommon.

[jaysblue]

8 hours ago, Stangstag said:

.500 at the deadline is normally good enough to still go on a big playoff push

Several teams have done that and gone on to the world series, 2022 Phillies and 2021 Braves off the top of my head. Not really uncommon.

Last season, the Jays were relatively healthy, so the hope is they can avoid having more significant injuries pile up the rest of the way.

The good news is they’re expected to get some guys back over the next couple of weeks.

Still, they can’t afford to be without Kirk, Yesavage, Bieber, Barger, and Springer for extended stretches - let alone lose anyone else on top of that - and expect the same results as last season, especially after the slow start.

[mphenhef]

Does anyone else wish our hitters would punish mistake pitches as much as our opponents seem to?  

[Olerud363.354]

20 hours ago, Jays24 said:

God help us all if this is close to being true lol.

Depends how it is true.  If he hits .220 with 19 homers and Vlad hit .270 with 17 homers that is bad.

If he hits .250 with 32 homers and Vlad hit .320 with 31 homers that is fine.  

2019/2020 Eloy was capable of leading a good team in homers, so if he returns to that awesome, if he is awful but everyone is too, not awesome. 

[G-Snarls]

Blue Jays Re-Sign Josh Fleming On Minor League Deal

April 12th, 2026 at 10:21pm CST • By Nick Deeds

The Blue Jays are re-signing left-hander Josh Fleming on a minor league deal, as Mitch Bannon of The Athletic has reported. Toronto previously signed Fleming to a minor league deal in February and briefly called him up before designating him for assignment last week, at which point he elected free agency.

[Ryu In My House]

Interesting - had a decent 2025. Years of control left.

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/04/blue-jays-acquire-lenyn-sosa.html

[Slade]

[Blue Jays] OFFICIAL: We’ve acquired INF Lenyn Sosa from the White Sox in exchange for Minor League OF Jordan Rich and a player to be named later or cash considerations. To make room, RHP Shane Bieber has been transferred to the 60-day IL.

[Brownie19]

7 minutes ago, Slade said:

[Blue Jays] OFFICIAL: We’ve acquired INF Lenyn Sosa from the White Sox in exchange for Minor League OF Jordan Rich and a player to be named later or cash considerations. To make room, RHP Shane Bieber has been transferred to the 60-day IL.

Interesting.  Rich was a 17th round pick last year.  He's still only 18.

I guess Sosa gives us some MI depth?  Savant page is decent for a 2nd baseman, but looks like he swing at everything and he can't run or play much defense.