General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2024)

[Spanky99]

You’re unhinged. Sit on a couch.

 

Dude, you're a complete DA... that quits fantasy teams 5 times and still talks s***, you're a terrible human being, along with a terrible rapport. I feel for you dude, I do.

[connorp]

Dude, you're a complete DA... that quits fantasy teams 5 times and still talks s***, you're a terrible human being, along with a terrible rapport. I feel for you dude, I do.

 

You should get those pillboxes, with days of the week and stuff, to make sure you don’t miss any meds.

[Laika]

Vlad is now seventh in 1B fWAR

 

Not even on pace for 20 HR but the defense is much better per the fancy stats

 

Feeling better about him. I'm sure he'll go on a homer binge at some point.

[AMS528]

Vlad is now seventh in 1B fWAR

 

Not even on pace for 20 HR but the defense is much better per the fancy stats

 

Feeling better about him. I'm sure he'll go on a homer binge at some point.

 

He's pivoting to becoming Keith Hernandez instead of Prince Fielder.

[jaysblue]

lol... what a dingleberry. You and jaysblue, two peas in a pod, a couple of Handi-Man's to the rescue!

 

lol

[BCZ]

Going to be an exciting year watching vlad hit many hard hit groundballs!! Can’t wait!!

[Terminator]

Lol of course it was Term with the terrible take

 

^President of my fan club. Guy can’t go two hours without mentioning me by name.

[Olerud363]

Vlad is hitting .285

 

But his slugging is only .385

 

ISO of .110 lol

 

For comparison's sake, Joe Panik has a career ISO of .108

 

He also is on track for 3X as much fWAR as last year.... If he keeps it up I think it actually works out that he's worth his contract. A .280 hitting no power first basemen with walks and OK defense (for a first basement) works out as an OK player.

 

On the other hand Spencer Horwitz may be able to do this for 20 million less.

[Sorrow]

He also is on track for 3X as much fWAR as last year.... If he keeps it up I think it actually works out that he's worth his contract. A .280 hitting no power first basemen with walks and OK defense (for a first basement) works out as an OK player.

 

On the other hand Spencer Horwitz may be able to do this for 20 million less.

 

I'm one of the biggest Vladdy doubters out there and I think what he's doing now is basically a mechanical reset and I wouldn't be surprised if by mid June he goes on a heater and hits 5-6 home runs in 8 games. His swing, load, bat path all look a lot better than they have since April of 2022.

[harvey16]

This 10 game stretch to end the month of May is gonna be huge! We need to go 8-2 I believe that have any hope of getting back into the playoff picture and have any hope of making the post season. If we're not back to at least .500 by the end of May we need to seriously look at unloading some of our assets and starting a rebuild. Anything less then 3 series wins against the White Sox and Tigers won't do.

[Brownie19]

I'm one of the biggest Vladdy doubters out there and I think what he's doing now is basically a mechanical reset and I wouldn't be surprised if by mid June he goes on a heater and hits 5-6 home runs in 8 games. His swing, load, bat path all look a lot better than they have since April of 2022.

 

Optimism, interesting strategy!

[hanton]

Going to be an exciting year watching vlad hit many hard hit groundballs!! Can’t wait!!

 

he's also top 10 (amongst all 1B) in most offensive categories - outside the power/slugging stats

[hanton]

I'm one of the biggest Vladdy doubters out there and I think what he's doing now is basically a mechanical reset and I wouldn't be surprised if by mid June he goes on a heater and hits 5-6 home runs in 8 games. His swing, load, bat path all look a lot better than they have since April of 2022.

 

it is 100% a mechanical issue, Jays should hire JD as hitting instructor

[jaysblue]

This 10 game stretch to end the month of May is gonna be huge! We need to go 8-2 I believe that have any hope of getting back into the playoff picture and have any hope of making the post season. If we're not back to at least .500 by the end of May we need to seriously look at unloading some of our assets and starting a rebuild. Anything less then 3 series wins against the White Sox and Tigers won't do.

 

Would definitely be nice to finish May at .500 or better. Gotta go on a winning streak of 6 or 7 games. Especially during this stretch of the schedule against the White Sox and Tigers.

[Sorrow]

I know he doesn't have the plate appearances to qualify but Jansen's Savant page is beautiful.

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/danny-jansen-643376?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb

 

Davis Schneider also has a wonderful one

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/davis-schneider-676914?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb

[glory]

This 10 game stretch to end the month of May is gonna be huge! We need to go 8-2 I believe that have any hope of getting back into the playoff picture and have any hope of making the post season. If we're not back to at least .500 by the end of May we need to seriously look at unloading some of our assets and starting a rebuild. Anything less then 3 series wins against the White Sox and Tigers won't do.

 

6 vs CWS, 4 vs DET, 3 vs PIT. The Jays have to pull off something like 10-3 in this stretch, or 9-4 at worst (which would put them at .500 before their series with BAL). The Tigers are decent now and the Pirates games could involve Skenes/Jones, so I wouldn’t count on it, but they need some type of run to make up ground. Luckily the Wild Card field looks weaker than normal with the Astros having a down year and the Rays looking human due to injuries but still going to be a massive uphill battle.

[Brownie19]

6 vs CWS, 4 vs DET, 3 vs PIT. The Jays have to pull off something like 10-3 in this stretch, or 9-4 at worst (which would put them at .500 before their series with BAL). The Tigers are decent now and the Pirates games could involve Skenes/Jones, so I wouldn’t count on it, but they need some type of run to make up ground. Luckily the Wild Card field looks weaker than normal with the Astros having a down year and the Rays looking human due to injuries but still going to be a massive uphill battle.

 

Nice to see some optimism, but it's a major long shot IMO. The team s*** the bed and the season was essentially over by the end of April. Sad but true.

[max silver]

Nice to see some optimism, but it's a major long shot IMO. The team s*** the bed and the season was essentially over by the end of April. Sad but true.

 

I'll agree that the team has essentially no shot to win the division but there is a pretty decent shot at a wildcard spot. The margin of error is much smaller now though.

[glory]

Nice to see some optimism, but it's a major long shot IMO. The team s*** the bed and the season was essentially over by the end of April. Sad but true.

 

Based on what I’m seeing on the field, I think it’s over too. This team is not good by any objective metric. I’m just saying WC3 field looks pretty weak this year so if they want to make up ground then they are going to have to win the games against bad/average teams coming up.

[Omar]

Vladdy is morphing into the Dominican Ichiro

 

[AMS528]

I know it's early but this Jays offence could be one of the worst in the majors.

 

Saddest prophecy.

[Brownie19]

I'll agree that the team has essentially no shot to win the division but there is a pretty decent shot at a wildcard spot. The margin of error is much smaller now though.

 

We're 4th last in the AL and have probably been lucky to date - we probably should be 2nd last. We currently project to finish as the 4th worst team in the AL. Yes, only 3.5 games back of the last wildcard spot, but there are several much better teams ahead of us (TB, Rangers, Houston). I'd suggest our chances to make the wildcard is at like 8% right now (Fangraphs says 18% fwiw).

 

We have just under 4 1/2 months of "going through the motions" unfortunately.

 

Reasons to watch:

 

- Can Vlad and/or Bo figure it out

- Davis Schneider

- Varsho

- Danny Jansen

- Is Manoah back?

- Kikucci/Gausman (just good pitchers - but trade them both please)

- Can Nate Pearson figure it out?

- minor leaguers - Horwitz, Orelvis, Barger and hopefully some bullpen arms - can they be part of the future

 

Going to be a long year.

[glory]

I think best case for this season is to figure out how to get Horowitz, Barger, Martinez, and Jimenez into the roster, and let them get their feet wet in the 2nd half playing regularly. Not sure how they do that when the FO is not likely to rebuild but that’s the only way this season would feel like it accomplished anything. Tiedemann too but no chance I'm going to count on a pitcher staying healthy.

[Terminator]

6 vs CWS, 4 vs DET, 3 vs PIT. The Jays have to pull off something like 10-3 in this stretch, or 9-4 at worst (which would put them at .500 before their series with BAL). The Tigers are decent now and the Pirates games could involve Skenes/Jones, so I wouldn’t count on it, but they need some type of run to make up ground. Luckily the Wild Card field looks weaker than normal with the Astros having a down year and the Rays looking human due to injuries but still going to be a massive uphill battle.

 

If we go 10-3 we could already be back in the lead for WC3 and will at least be very close to it.

[max silver]

We're 4th last in the AL and have probably been lucky to date - we probably should be 2nd last. We currently project to finish as the 4th worst team in the AL. Yes, only 3.5 games back of the last wildcard spot, but there are several much better teams ahead of us (TB, Rangers, Houston). I'd suggest our chances to make the wildcard is at like 8% right now (Fangraphs says 18% fwiw).

 

We have just under 4 1/2 months of "going through the motions" unfortunately.

 

Reasons to watch:

 

- Can Vlad and/or Bo figure it out

- Davis Schneider

- Varsho

- Danny Jansen

- Is Manoah back?

- Kikucci/Gausman (just good pitchers - but trade them both please)

- Can Nate Pearson figure it out?

- minor leaguers - Horwitz, Orelvis, Barger and hopefully some bullpen arms - can they be part of the future

 

Going to be a long year.

 

I think the team's record is probably right about where it should be. I don't think the massive negative run differential is particularly representative of what to expect of the team moving forward as that includes a lot of blow out losses which occurred when the rotation was in a bit of shambles as Gausman worked his way into shape, Manoah was out due to injury, and Bassitt had a bit of a slow start. Compounding the issue was the lack of a longman in the bullpen to cover innings as both Francis and Rodriguez went down due to injury. With all of Green, Rodriguez and Francis potentially nearing their respective returns I expect the pitching will likely be much improved moving forward. I also expect the offense to eventually improve on the early results as well, but it remains to be seen if the team can score enough runs to go on a run of sustained success to grind their way back up the standing.

[spats]

Saddest prophecy.

 

I got ridiculed for that comment. Is it still too early? I've been going down to Dunedin for the last 15 years of spring training.Sometimes the eye test really works.

[BCZ]

he's also top 10 (amongst all 1B) in most offensive categories - outside the power/slugging stats

 

As I was saying... Going to be an exciting year watching vlad hit many hard hit groundballs!! Can’t wait!!

[hanton]

Top ten among 1B excluding power/slugging LOL...

 

well actually he is top 10 - the other comment is an aside (by fwar on the far right)

 

https://i.imgur.com/dfIrdHj.png[/img]"]

[BCZ]

If we go 10-3 we could already be back in the lead for WC3 and will at least be very close to it.

 

Perennial WC3 contenders!! Exciting!!

[hanton]

Mentioned this before....he's a Miggy. I swear get him the right hitting coach and balls will be flying over the fence