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Posted

What was the contract offer? 12/440 ?

 

 

Edit, nvm, it was 15/440, average of 29.3 million per year.

 

I dont get how anyone can turn that down.

Posted
Corbin wouldn't be a bad depth arm to trade for who could eat up innings and has some good K numbers. Even Pete Walker might be able to help string together a solid last two months.
Old-Timey Member
Posted
What was the contract offer? 12/440 ?

 

 

Edit, nvm, it was 15/440, average of 29.3 million per year.

 

I dont get how anyone can turn that down.

 

I know health risk is always there, but I don't blame him for turning it down if he wants to bet on himself. On the open market he'd easily get over $40m AAV two years from now. He's making $17m this season. Two more years of arb he's likely looking at, what, $50m (give or take) over the next two years? So if someone will give him over $400m two years from now, plus the ~$50m he will get in arb over the next two years, then why would he sign that Nats deal? Only reason would be if he was terrified of injury or performance over the next 2 years, and he clearly isn't.

 

I agree it's tough to turn that much guaranteed money down, but if he feels he can get more, possibly much more, then good for him to bet on himself.

Posted
Oh f***, now we're going to have to have endless Soto trade proposals. I was really glad when those stopped.
Posted
I know health risk is always there, but I don't blame him for turning it down if he wants to bet on himself. On the open market he'd easily get over $40m AAV two years from now. He's making $17m this season. Two more years of arb he's likely looking at, what, $50m (give or take) over the next two years? So if someone will give him over $400m two years from now, plus the ~$50m he will get in arb over the next two years, then why would he sign that Nats deal? Only reason would be if he was terrified of injury or performance over the next 2 years, and he clearly isn't.

 

I agree it's tough to turn that much guaranteed money down, but if he feels he can get more, possibly much more, then good for him to bet on himself.

 

I disagree. Most of the recent comparables to Soto are guys a few years older, but they're all (I think) great defenders. Soto is definitely NOT, and it will likely get worse with age. If guys like Trout, Betts, Lindor, Tatis Jr all topped out around 35M a year, IMO Soto at 30M is probably about right. He's potentially a sprinkler away from looking for a new career. It does not seem like a wise gamble to me in terms of risk and reward.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
I disagree. Most of the recent comparables to Soto are guys a few years older, but they're all (I think) great defenders. Soto is definitely NOT, and it will likely get worse with age. If guys like Trout, Betts, Lindor, Tatis Jr all topped out around 35M a year, IMO Soto at 30M is probably about right. He's potentially a sprinkler away from looking for a new career. It does not seem like a wise gamble to me in terms of risk and reward.

 

Soto is a generational hitting talent with probably the best offensive profile in the league, and year 1 of his FA deal will be his age 26 season. I disagree that he wouldn't be able to get $40m AAV, but even if he got a $35m AAV, a 12 year deal at that AAV is $420m + two years of arb before that. If he stays healthy and keeps performing like he has, then I think the only thing stopping him from $40m/yr is the amount of years he'd be looking for. Usually those long deals come at the expense of AAV. But in general, I think he's beating Trout's contract at a minimum, IMO. How much higher it goes depends on performance, health, etc.

Posted
I know health risk is always there, but I don't blame him for turning it down if he wants to bet on himself. On the open market he'd easily get over $40m AAV two years from now. He's making $17m this season. Two more years of arb he's likely looking at, what, $50m (give or take) over the next two years? So if someone will give him over $400m two years from now, plus the ~$50m he will get in arb over the next two years, then why would he sign that Nats deal? Only reason would be if he was terrified of injury or performance over the next 2 years, and he clearly isn't.

 

I agree it's tough to turn that much guaranteed money down, but if he feels he can get more, possibly much more, then good for him to bet on himself.

 

I dont really blame him for wanting a higher AAV. Hell, his next arb contract will likely be 25 million and 30+ for the last one... so settling for less than 30m AAV is indeed settling for below market value AAV. But .... 440million dollars. Part of me hopes he breaks his leg tomorrow and he's out of baseball so he can live the rest of his life knowing he turned down 440 million dollars.

 

But that's mean.... so I hope he gets whatever he wants. This is the exact kind of player that should be earning way more money early in his career rather than playing for peanuts for years 1-3 or 4.

Posted

Got to wonder if part of the reason Soto turned it down is Nats looking at a relatively long rebuild, that and seeing Trout languish for LAA.

 

Maybe he accepts that deal from certain other teams.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Oh f***, now we're going to have to have endless Soto trade proposals. I was really glad when those stopped.

 

He’s like the only guy I’m fine overpaying for. He’s just always going to be good. The fact that he hits for the kind of power he does and still walks way more than he strikes out is insane.

Posted
I agree it's tough to turn that much guaranteed money down, but if he feels he can get more, possibly much more, then good for him to bet on himself.

 

This is a kid who licked his lips and grabbed his crotch against Justin Verlander in the World Series as a teenager. He's probably confident enough to ask for a billion dollars.

Posted (edited)

Carpenter hits a grand-slam for Yankees; 4 - 1

 

Edit: 3-run HR

Edited by Solaxys
Old-Timey Member
Posted
Carpenter hits a grand-slam for Yankees; 4 - 1

 

3-run.. but yeah, he does it again. Yankees can do no wrong. It helps us tho so whatever.

Posted (edited)

Judge hits 32 & 33!

 

Carpenther hits ANOTHER 3-run bomb lol; 2 HRs, 6 RBIs on the night; 13 HRs in 30 games. That porch.

Edited by Solaxys
Community Moderator
Posted
How has Matt Carpenter, at the age of 36, come back as an elite power hitter after hitting for no power at all from 32-35?
Posted
How has Matt Carpenter, at the age of 36, come back as an elite power hitter after hitting for no power at all from 32-35?

 

Brady Anderson says Hi

Community Moderator
Posted

So yeah this though stretch of schedule is not working out well for Boston

 

Wish our easy stretch was working out better....

Community Moderator
Posted
lol Vlad SR almost hit a soft-ball HR in the Celebrity Allstar Game

 

Those balls are so fn hard to hit any distance in the air

Posted
Those balls are so fn hard to hit any distance in the air

 

Hunter Pence went deep 2 or 3 times. Although Papi and Beltre really struggled to drive the ball at all

Posted
How has Matt Carpenter, at the age of 36, come back as an elite power hitter after hitting for no power at all from 32-35?

 

His power numbers were very decent with the Cards. He did hit 36 HR in 2018 and before hit 28, 21 and 23 from 2015 to 2017 before he became a dumpster fire.

 

8 of his 13 home runs have come at Yankee Stadium, so he must love that short RF porch. Also, he's hit 2 HR's at Fenway. He must love hitting in the AL East. Yankee Stadium really suits his bat well.

 

Regardless, I've always loved Matt Carpenter and it's great to see him resurrect his career like he has! Hope he keeps it up!

Posted
His power numbers were very decent with the Cards. He did hit 36 HR in 2018 and before hit 28, 21 and 23 from 2015 to 2017 before he became a dumpster fire.

 

8 of his 13 home runs have come at Yankee Stadium, so he must love that short RF porch. Also, he's hit 2 HR's at Fenway. He must love hitting in the AL East. Yankee Stadium really suits his bat well.

 

Regardless, I've always loved Matt Carpenter and it's great to see him resurrect his career like he has! Hope he keeps it up!

 

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