Cory Sparks
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Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Jesus Sanchez only has eight home runs this year, and on the surface, some may not see him as a power hitter. Look under the hood, and you'll see someone with a spectacular bat speed, barrel percentage, hard-hit rate, and more. In this video, we use the bat speed king, Junior Caminero, for a case study comparison to explain what Sanchez needs to do to unlock his true potential. View full video
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Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Jesus Sanchez only has eight home runs this year, and on the surface, some may not see him as a power hitter. Look under the hood, and you'll see someone with a spectacular bat speed, barrel percentage, hard-hit rate, and more. In this video, we use the bat speed king, Junior Caminero, for a case study comparison to explain what Sanchez needs to do to unlock his true potential.
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Jesús Sánchez is one of the most interesting players in baseball because he’s quietly one of the most violent hitters in the game. The Toronto Blue Jays’ outfielder checks off a lot of boxes, and with the right adjustments, he could turn from a promising talent into one of the best power hitters in MLB. Stats updated prior to first pitch on August 7. Jesús Sánchez’s Background Sánchez is a seven-year MLB veteran, and up until 2025, he spent every one of those seasons with the Miami Marlins. The 28-year-old outfielder has gained a reputation as a slugger, being someone who is willing to sacrifice his walk and strikeout numbers for more power. This is his first season with the Jays, and so far, the corner fielder is slashing .268/.310/.434 with eight homers and 32 runs batted in. Sánchez has only played in 78 games, yet he finds himself fourth on the team in long balls behind only Kazuma Okamoto (24), George Springer (12) and Ernie Clement (9). Toronto could desperately use a power surge from someone, and Sánchez has the profile to play that role. A Model of Consistency For one, he’s been consistent. Between 2021 and '25, Sánchez hit anywhere from 13 to 18 home runs each season. This includes a 13-homer season with the Marlins in which he played just 98 games; he was on pace for 21 long balls over 162 games that year (this would’ve been a career best). The real question is this: Does Sánchez have what it takes to take that next step? His advanced analytics certainly imply that he can be the bruiser in a lineup. Violent Underlying Metrics Looking under the hood at his 2026 stats, this is someone who can lay into a baseball. The veteran outfielder has a 46.3 percent hard-hit rate, putting him in the 79th percentile among all major leaguers. This is a remarkable sign for a team that is watching Vladimir Guerrero Jr. struggle mightily with just six homers in 108 contests. He’s also barrelling the ball up at an extremely high rate of 11.4 percent, good enough for the 74th percentile. His 73.7 mph bat speed is also well above the league average. Yet, through just about half a season’s worth of games, Sánchez has left the ballpark only eight times. Why is that? Let’s bring in one of the best bashers in the game, Junior Caminero, for a case study comparison. Caminero is the bat speed king, sending his barrel across the plate at a rapid 79.8 miles per hour (100th percentile). His 50.7 percent hard-hit rate (92nd percentile) is also one of the best in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays’ third baseman has some marginal advantages on Sánchez, but are they enough to give him a 25 home run advantage over the Jays outfielder? Not on their own. What Needs To Change? What does Sánchez need to do to be closer to Caminero’s side of the home run spectrum? It’s not a launch angle issue, as Caminero is actually hitting the ball lower on average (9.4) than the Jays outfielder (10.7). The sea parts in the plate discipline category. Sánchez strikes out 22.2 percent of the time, while Caminero’s mark is just 18.3 percent. Sánchez only walks in 4.4 percent of plate appearances, while Caminero draws a free pass 12.2 percent of the time. While pitchers may respect Caminero’s power more, and therefore are more careful around the zone, it’s a symbiotic relationship. The Rays’ slugger simply gets into more hitter-friendly counts, meaning he’s more likely to see a ball over the plate. Sánchez is ultra aggressive, and with that being in his scouting report, opposing pitchers can stay away from his bat more. Even when he makes contact, it may not be on the quality of pitches that Caminero, the more patient between the two hitters, sees. Sánchez's out-of-zone swing percentage is 38.5 percent (9th percentile), so pitchers have no real incentive to lay a ball over the plate. If he can become more selective at the plate, he’ll have a better chance to put that violent swing to work. View full article
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Jesús Sánchez is one of the most interesting players in baseball because he’s quietly one of the most violent hitters in the game. The Toronto Blue Jays’ outfielder checks off a lot of boxes, and with the right adjustments, he could turn from a promising talent into one of the best power hitters in MLB. Stats updated prior to first pitch on August 7. Jesús Sánchez’s Background Sánchez is a seven-year MLB veteran, and up until 2025, he spent every one of those seasons with the Miami Marlins. The 28-year-old outfielder has gained a reputation as a slugger, being someone who is willing to sacrifice his walk and strikeout numbers for more power. This is his first season with the Jays, and so far, the corner fielder is slashing .268/.310/.434 with eight homers and 32 runs batted in. Sánchez has only played in 78 games, yet he finds himself fourth on the team in long balls behind only Kazuma Okamoto (24), George Springer (12) and Ernie Clement (9). Toronto could desperately use a power surge from someone, and Sánchez has the profile to play that role. A Model of Consistency For one, he’s been consistent. Between 2021 and '25, Sánchez hit anywhere from 13 to 18 home runs each season. This includes a 13-homer season with the Marlins in which he played just 98 games; he was on pace for 21 long balls over 162 games that year (this would’ve been a career best). The real question is this: Does Sánchez have what it takes to take that next step? His advanced analytics certainly imply that he can be the bruiser in a lineup. Violent Underlying Metrics Looking under the hood at his 2026 stats, this is someone who can lay into a baseball. The veteran outfielder has a 46.3 percent hard-hit rate, putting him in the 79th percentile among all major leaguers. This is a remarkable sign for a team that is watching Vladimir Guerrero Jr. struggle mightily with just six homers in 108 contests. He’s also barrelling the ball up at an extremely high rate of 11.4 percent, good enough for the 74th percentile. His 73.7 mph bat speed is also well above the league average. Yet, through just about half a season’s worth of games, Sánchez has left the ballpark only eight times. Why is that? Let’s bring in one of the best bashers in the game, Junior Caminero, for a case study comparison. Caminero is the bat speed king, sending his barrel across the plate at a rapid 79.8 miles per hour (100th percentile). His 50.7 percent hard-hit rate (92nd percentile) is also one of the best in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays’ third baseman has some marginal advantages on Sánchez, but are they enough to give him a 25 home run advantage over the Jays outfielder? Not on their own. What Needs To Change? What does Sánchez need to do to be closer to Caminero’s side of the home run spectrum? It’s not a launch angle issue, as Caminero is actually hitting the ball lower on average (9.4) than the Jays outfielder (10.7). The sea parts in the plate discipline category. Sánchez strikes out 22.2 percent of the time, while Caminero’s mark is just 18.3 percent. Sánchez only walks in 4.4 percent of plate appearances, while Caminero draws a free pass 12.2 percent of the time. While pitchers may respect Caminero’s power more, and therefore are more careful around the zone, it’s a symbiotic relationship. The Rays’ slugger simply gets into more hitter-friendly counts, meaning he’s more likely to see a ball over the plate. Sánchez is ultra aggressive, and with that being in his scouting report, opposing pitchers can stay away from his bat more. Even when he makes contact, it may not be on the quality of pitches that Caminero, the more patient between the two hitters, sees. Sánchez's out-of-zone swing percentage is 38.5 percent (9th percentile), so pitchers have no real incentive to lay a ball over the plate. If he can become more selective at the plate, he’ll have a better chance to put that violent swing to work.
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Cory Sparks started following Jesús Sánchez Is One Adjustment Away From Breaking Out
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Cory Sparks started following Jesús Sánchez Is One Adjustment Away From Breaking Out
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The Toronto Blue Jays were swinging deals at the deadline, and one of those was trading Kevin Gausman out of Canada in exchange for some Chicago Cubs farmhands. The Jays got prospects Ty Southisene (the Cubs' former No. 13 prospect, per MLB Pipeline) and Brett Bateman (No. 21) in the trade. Let’s take a closer look at what those two bring to the table and why the Jays wanted them in exchange for a 14-year MLB veteran like Gausman. Who Is Ty Southisene? Ty Southisene is arguably the headliner of the Jays’ return package, nestling in as their No. 17 prospect, per MLB Pipeline. The 21-year-old shortstop prospect is on the smaller side, holding a 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. He was originally a fourth-round pick in the 2024 MLB Draft, as the Cubs selected him for his high baseball IQ and ability to flash a promising hit tool with plenty of speed. Southisene got to work in 2025, playing 90 of his 91 games with the Single-A Myrtle Beach Pelicans. For someone who has to make up for a 20-grade power tool, Southisene found ways to do just about everything else. He logged 36 runs batted in and managed to accumulate eight extra-base hits (six doubles, two triples) in his first year of professional baseball. A Closer Look Taking a closer look at Southisene, he simply possesses elite hand-eye coordination. The middle infielder’s 21.2 percent whiff rate at High-A with the Cubs this year was in the 86th percentile, and he was striking out only 12.7 percent of the time (97th percentile), per Prospect Savant. He’s more of a one- or two-tool player, but if those tools (hit, run) are elite, he could glide up the Jays’ minor league ladder. Maturity and Blistering Speed Southisene is starting with the High-A Vancouver Canadians, and he’ll bring a remarkable sense of plate discipline with him. The rising shortstop tallied 63 walks to 59 punchouts in 2025, and his 41 walks to 37 punchouts this year in the Cubs' system show that Southisene is one of the stingiest swingers in the lower levels of affiliate ball. Toronto’s newest prospect slashed .305/.425/.372 (.797 OPS) in 66 contests this year between Single and High A, and his speed has been on full display from day one. On one hand, his quickness allows him to be one of the more rangey prospects out there. On the other hand, he logged 12 errors and had just a .937 fielding percentage through 57 games at the shortstop position. His run tool, listed at a 55-grade, may be due for an upgrade soon. The speedy middle infielder had 72 stolen bases in 157 professional games with Chicago. Fellow speedsters like Chandler Simpson have shown that there’s still an everyday starting spot for someone who can rely on quickness, but Southisene has a long way to go before those big league conversations can formulate. Welcome, Brett Bateman! Brett Bateman is slightly below Southisene on MLB Pipeline's ranking, but he is the more polished of the two prospects. The 24-year-old outfielder is 5-foot-10 and weighs 170 pounds. The lefty was an eighth-round pick in the 2023 MLB Draft, as the Cubs selected him out of the University of Minnesota. Bateman is another speed-first prospect, earning a 70-grade run tool, but his power is a bit more prevalent than the aforementioned Southisene's. Bateman has 83 stolen bags in 315 games in the Cubs' org, but his career-high .851 OPS this season at Triple-A Iowa shows that he can be more than just a runner. The Gophers alum has developed “doubles power” this year, peppering the gaps with a career-best 18 doubles across 82 contests. He notched a pair of triples and had three home runs for the Iowa Cubs before this trade took place. Diving Deeper Above all else, this is someone who can also make for a stingy at-bat. Similar to Southisene, Bateman walks a ton (17.5%, 92nd percentile per Prospect Savant). He’s earned 60 walks to just 66 strikeouts this year, and his 218 free passes to 253 punchouts have held around that ratio for all four years of his professional career. Bateman also has a remarkable sense for the strike zone, with a zone contact percentage of 85.71 percent. He ranks below the league average in 90th percentile exit velocity, barrel percentage and hard-hit rate, but much like Southisene, the chase rate (20.8 percent, 86th percentile) and whiff rate (16.4 percent, 89th percentile) are impossible to ignore for someone who is on the doorstep of the major leagues this year. Speed for the Future The Blue Jays have landed two players with similar profiles, but they play different positions. Southisene is a minor league speedster who could break into the big leagues in a couple of years, while Bateman’s plate discipline and raw speed could get him into the show by the end of this year.
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The Los Angeles Angels traded José Soriano to the Toronto Blue Jays in exchange for prospects Arjun Nimmala, Eddie Micheletti Jr. and Angel Rivero. The news broke around the same time that the baseball community learned Kevin Gausman would be heading to the Chicago Cubs in exchange for a pair of the North Siders’ prospects. Let’s break down both sides of the Soriano deal and ultimately conclude with who came out on top. José Soriano’s Dominant Year Soriano was in a league of his own to start the year. The former Angels ace logged a 5-1 record with a minuscule 0.84 earned run average across six starts in March and April. The righty also managed to allow just one earned run over his first 37.2 innings of the season, immediately making him a trade candidate to watch, in the likely scenario that Kurt Suzuki’s squad failed to compete this year. His fastball played remarkably through the first two-thirds of the season, riding in at an average of 97 miles per hour with opposing batters hitting .242 against it. Soriano has used it to set up the rest of a five-pitch mix that includes a sinker, curveball, splitter and slider. The 27-year-old has excelled in two key categories: swing-and-miss stuff and groundball rate. Soriano’s whiff rate of 31.4 percent has been one of the best marks in the league, putting him in the 89th percentile. His 24.9 percent strikeout rate (67th percentile) and 52.3 percent groundball rate (90th percentile) have been excellent. The Jays will have a superb second option behind their ace, Dylan Cease. Money Talks Soriano has a couple years of arbitration left before becoming eligible for free agency ahead of the 2029 season. So, the Jays will now inherit the rest of a one-year, $2.9 million deal this year before negotiating again in 2027. The right-handed pitcher is on pace for a career year, currently operating with a 9-6 record, 3.29 earned run average and 127 strikeouts in 123 innings. Depending on how he rounds out this season, his desired number for 2027 should be substantially higher than what he earned this season. Arjun Nimmala’s Climb To Double A Arjun Nimmala headlines the return package for Soriano. Nimmala was the No. 3 prospect in Toronto’s pipeline (per Jays Centre) before the deal, and he was raking for Double-A New Hampshire. The 20-year-old shortstop was slashing .279/.355/.451 (.806 OPS) through his first 26 contests at the Double-A level, and he may get even better as he gains more experience. Nimmala’s 60-grade power tool and 60-grade arm are the highest of any of his attributes, and with a 2028 ETA, he could join the Angels' big league ball club in a year and a half, if not sooner. Toronto is struggling mightily on offense, and Nimmala wasn’t going to be able to help this year’s team put up a fight before a potential lockout in 2027. Micheletti’s Pop, Rivero’s Early Impression Eddie Micheletti Jr. isn’t a top-30 prospect, but there’s an argument he should be. The 24-year-old is a former eighth-round pick from the 2024 draft, and he slashed .251/.347/.454 (.801 OPS) across 93 Double-A ballgames in the Jays' organization this year. Micheletti has already tied his career-high of 14 homers in 13 fewer games, with 45 runs driven in and a walk rate north of 10%. Angel Rivero, on the other hand, is still very green. The 19-year-old Venezuela native has shown promise early, logging a 2.36 earned run average and earning 52 punchouts in 42 innings in rookie ball. Who Won the Trade? The grand question is this: Who won the trade? While Soriano has been extremely impressive for Los Angeles this year, he’s due for a steep arbitration raise and is playing above his mean. Nimmala playing a premium position like shortstop, and already hitting above average as a 20-year-old in Double-A, is valuable. Micheletti also has pop and could serve as a depth piece on a big league ball club. The combined value of those two alone, for what could be a couple of years of Jose Soriano, was a high price to pay. The Jays didn’t make enough supplementary moves to keep their window open in 2026. If anything, the team that represented the AL in the World Series last year was in sell mode, considering they dealt Gausman and Dalton Varsho, among others. The Angels get a B+ in this trade, while the Blue Jays get a C+.
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The Toronto Blue Jays are swinging deals, and one of those was trading Kevin Gausman out of Canada in exchange for some Chicago Cubs farmhands. The Jays got prospects Ty Southisene (the Cubs' former No. 13 prospect, per MLB Pipeline) and Brett Bateman (No. 21). Let’s take a closer look at what those two bring to the table in exchange for a 14-year MLB veteran in Gausman. Who Is Ty Southisene? Ty Southisene is the headliner of the Jays’ return package, nestling in as their No. 16 prospect, per MLB Pipeline. The 21-year-old shortstop prospect is on the smaller side, holding a 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. He was originally a fourth-round pick in the 2024 MLB draft, as the Cubs selected him for his high baseball IQ and ability to flash a promising hit tool with plenty of speed. Southisene got to work in 2025, playing 90 of his 91 games with the Low-A Myrtle Beach Pelicans. For someone who has to make up for a 20-grade power tool, Southisene found ways to do just about everything else. He logged 36 runs batted in and managed to accumulate eight extra-base hits (six doubles, two triples) in his first year of professional baseball. A Closer Look Taking a closer look at Southisene, he simply possesses elite hand-eye coordination. The middle-infielder’s 21.2 percent whiff rate is in the 86th percentile, and he’s striking out only 12.7 percent of the time (97th percentile), per prospect savant. He’s more of a one- or two-tool player, but if those tools (hit, run) are elite, he could glide up the Jays’ minor league ladder. Maturity and Blistering Speed Southisene is expected to start with the High-A Vancouver Canadians, and he’ll bring a remarkable sense of plate discipline with him. The rising shortstop tallied 63 walks to 59 punchouts in 2025, and his 41 walks to 37 punchouts this year show that even as he rises up the minor league ladder, Southisene is one of the stingiest hitters in the lower levels of affiliate ball. Toronto’s newest prospect is slashing .305/.425/.372 (.797 OPS) in 66 contests this year, and his speed has been on full display from day one. On one hand, his quickness allows him to be one of the more rangey prospects out there. On the other hand, he’s logged 12 errors and had just a .937 fielding percentage through 57 games at the shortstop position. His run-tool, listed at a 55-grade, may be due for an upgrade soon. The speedy middle infielder has 72 stolen bases in 157 professional games. Fellow speedsters like Chandler Simpson have shown that there’s still an everyday starting spot for someone who can rely on quickness, but Southisene has a long way to go before those big league conversations can formulate. Welcome, Brett Bateman! Brett Bateman, while he’s ranked slightly below Southisene, is the more polished of the two prospects. The 24-year-old outfielder is 5-foot-10 and weighs 170 pounds. The lefty was an eighth-round pick in the 2023 MLB Draft, as the Cubs selected him out of the University of Minnesota. Bateman is another speed-first prospect, earning a 70-grade run tool, but his power is a bit more prevalent than the aforementioned Southisene. Bateman has 83 stolen bags in 315 games, but his career-high .851 OPS this season shows that he can be more than just a runner. The Gophers alum has developed “doubles power” this year, peppering the gaps with a career-best 18 doubles across 82 contests. He notched a pair of triples and had three home runs for the Triple-A Iowa Cubs before this trade took place. Diving Deeper Above all else, this is someone who can also make for a stingy at-bat. Similar to Southisene, Bateman walks a ton (17.5%, 92nd percentile per prospect savant). He’s earned 60 walks to just 66 strikeouts this year, and his 218 free passes to 253 punchouts have held around that ratio for all four years of his professional career. Batmena also has a remarkable sense for the strike zone, with a Z-Contract percentage of 85.71 percent. He ranks below the league average in 90th percentile exit velocity, barrel percentage and hard-hit rate, but much like Southisene, the chase rate (20.8 percent, 86th percentile) and whiff rate (16.4 percent, 89th percentile) are impossible to ignore for someone who was on the doorstep of the major leagues this year. Speed for the Future The Blue Jays have landed two players with similar profiles, but they play different positions. Southisene is a minor league speedster who could break into the big leagues in a couple of years, while Bateman’s plate discipline and raw speed could net him into the show by the end of this year. View full article
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The Los Angeles Angels have traded José Soriano to the Toronto Blue Jays in exchange for Arjun Nimmala, Eddie Micheletti Jr. and right-hander Angel Rivero. The news broke around the same time that the baseball community learned Kevin Gausman would be heading to the Chicago Cubs in exchange for a pair of the Northsiders’ prospects. Let’s break down both sides of this deal and ultimately conclude with who came out on top. José Soriano’s Dominant Year Soriano was in a league of his own to start the year. The former Angels’ ace logged a 3-1 record with a minuscule 1.17 earned run average across four starts in the month of April. The righty also managed to allow just one earned run over the first 37.2 innings of the season, immediately putting him on the team’s radar, in case Kurt Suzuki’s squad failed to compete this year. His fastball played remarkably through the first two-thirds of the season, riding in at an average of 97 miles per hour with opposing batters hitting .242 against it. Soriano used it to set up the rest of a five-pitch mix that includes a sinker, curveball, splitter and slider. The 27-year-old excelled in two key categories: swing-and-miss stuff and ground ball rate. Soriano’s whiff rate of 31.4 percent has been one of the best marks in the league, putting him in the 89th percentile. His 24.9 percent strikeout rate (67th percentile) and 52.3 percent ground ball rate (90th percentile) have been spectacular, as the Jays will have a superb second option behind their ace in Dylan Cease. Money Talks Soriano has a couple years of arbitration left before becoming eligible for free agency in 2029, so the Jays will now inherit the rest of a one-year, $2.9 million deal this year before negotiating again in 2027. The right-handed pitcher is on pace for a career year, currently operating with a 9-6 record, 3.29 earned run average and 127 strikeouts in 123 innings. Depending on how he rounds out this season, the desired number for 2027 should be higher than what he earned this season. Arjun Nimmala’s Climb To Double A Arjun Nimmala headlines the return package for Soriano. Nimmala was the No. 3 prospect in Toronto’s pipeline (per Jays Centre) before the deal, and he was raking in Double-A New Hampshire. The 20-year-old shortstop was slashing .279/.355/.451 (.806 OPS) through his first 26 contests at the Double-A level, and he may get even better as he gains more experience. Nimmala’s 60-grade power tool and 60-grade arm tool are the highest of any of his attributes, and with a 2028 ETA, he could join the big league ball club in a year and a half, if not sooner. Toronto is struggling mightily on offense, and Nimmala wasn’t going to be able to help this year’s team put up a fight before a potential lockout. Micheletti’s Pop, Rivero’s Early Impression Eddie Micheletti Jr. isn’t a top 30 prospect, but there’s an argument he should be. The 24-year-old is a former eighth-round pick from the 2024 MLB Draft, and he’s slashing .251/.347/.454 (.801 OPS) across 93 Double-A ball games this year. Micheletti has already tied his career-high of 14 homers in 13 fewer games, has 45 runs driven in and is rocking a walk rate north of 10%. Angel Rivero, on the other hand, is still very green. The 19-year-old Venezuela native has shown promise early, logging an 0-1 record, 2.36 earned run average and earning 52 punchouts in 42 innings in rookie ball. Who Won the Trade? The grand question is this: Who won the trade? While Soriano has been extremely impressive for Los Angeles this year, he’s due for a steeper arbitration hit and is playing above his mean. Nimmala playing a premium position like shortstop, and already playing above average as a 20-year-old in Double-A, is valuable. Micheletti Jr. also has pop and could serve as a depth piece on a big league ball club. The value of those two alone, for what could be a couple of years of Jose Soriano, is steep. The Jays didn’t make enough supplementary moves to keep their window open. If anything, a team that made the World Series last year is in sell mode, considering they dealt right-handed pitcher Kevin Gausman and outfielder Dalton Varsho, among others. The Angels get a B+ in this trade, while the Blue Jays get a C+. View full article
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The Toronto Blue Jays did some retooling at this year's MLB trade deadline, saying goodbye to names like right-handed pitcher Kevin Gausman and outfielder Daulton Varsho. Gausman's contract was expiring, so the Jays went out and traded their no. 2 prospect as part of a package for right-handed pitcher Jose Soriano. Who won the trade? We'll break it all down in this video. View full video
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Did The Blue Jays Win The Jose Soriano Trade?
Cory Sparks posted a video in Toronto Blue Jays Videos
The Toronto Blue Jays did some retooling at this year's MLB trade deadline, saying goodbye to names like right-handed pitcher Kevin Gausman and outfielder Daulton Varsho. Gausman's contract was expiring, so the Jays went out and traded their no. 2 prospect as part of a package for right-handed pitcher Jose Soriano. Who won the trade? We'll break it all down in this video. -
The Toronto Blue Jays dealt Kevin Gausman to the Chicago Cubs ahead of this year's MLB Trade Deadline. In return, they got a pair of top-30 prospects in Ty Southisene and Brett Bateman. In this video, we break down the strengths, weaknesses, and overall projection of the two speedsters and newest members of Toronto's farm system. View full video
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The Toronto Blue Jays dealt Kevin Gausman to the Chicago Cubs ahead of this year's MLB Trade Deadline. In return, they got a pair of top-30 prospects in Ty Southisene and Brett Bateman. In this video, we break down the strengths, weaknesses, and overall projection of the two speedsters and newest members of Toronto's farm system.
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- kevin gausman
- ty southisene
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(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
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Kazuma Okamoto is the only Toronto Blue Jays hitter with 20 or more homers (or 10, for that matter). He's using a variety of components to generate this power and be the team's leader in long balls. In this video, we'll break down everything from his bat speed to an approach that opens up the chance for even better power numbers in future seasons. View full video
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Kazuma Okamoto is the only Toronto Blue Jays hitter with 20 or more homers (or 10, for that matter). He's using a variety of components to generate this power and be the team's leader in long balls. In this video, we'll break down everything from his bat speed to an approach that opens up the chance for even better power numbers in future seasons.
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Kazuma Okamoto is not only the lone Toronto Blue Jay with at least 10 homers this season, but he’s clear of 20 home runs, and he just ripped his first career grand slam in MLB. Let’s break down the science behind his power and how sustainable his pace is in Toronto. Kazuma Okamoto's Background and Skill Set Okamoto is a 30-year-old third baseman who is on pace for nearly 40 homers in his first taste of big league action. He leads the Blue Jays in a variety of slugging-related categories, and his 21 long balls are 12 clear of any other Jays player with a couple of months to go in the season. While having a 6-foot-1, 220-pound frame certainly helps with power generation, there’s plenty more to the Japanese superstar’s power surge. Quality of Contact Unless somebody plays in a very hitter-friendly ballpark, quality of contact is a prerequisite to putting up the stat line Okamoto has through his first 90 MLB games. In his case, everything starts with bat speed. Okamoto’s 73.2 mph average bat speed is well above the league average, slotting him in the 64th percentile among big league hitters (per Baseball Savant). That bat speed has helped Okamoto in a variety of categories, but essentially any stat implying that he’s piecing up a baseball is lighting up for the 30-year-old rookie. Okamoto is thriving partially thanks to a 14.3 percent barrel percentage (87th percentile), 47.5 percent hard-hit rate (82nd percentile) and 91.3 mph average exit velocity (83rd percentile). Exit velocity dictates a ton, and combining that with a 16.6 degree average launch angle has helped the Jays’ third baseman put on a remarkable power display in his first big league season. Pitch Type Tendencies Okamoto has primarily succeeded against the four-seam fastball, logging his best batting average (.298) against any pitch that he’s seen at least 50 times. The cutter, which he’s seen 150 times, has been his kryptonite, as the Japanese corner infielder has managed just one hit over 21 plate appearances ending in a cutter, with a 46.0 percent whiff rate. Changeups and curveballs have also given him fits, as he’s hitting just .182 and .167 against each of those offspeed offerings. Fluctuating Bat-to-Ball Skills While the Jays’ thrasher has had his fair share of extra-base hits (32 through 90 games, to be exact), his plate approach has its holes, to say the very least. His 8.9 percent walk rate (48th percentile) isn’t too poor, and he isn’t chasing very often, just 26.3 percent of the time (70th percentile), yet the 30-year-old has abysmal strikeout numbers. He is punching out 30.9 percent of the time (10th percentile), primarily due to a 33.6 percent whiff rate (8th percentile). The good news is that he isn’t chasing; now it’s just about hitting in-zone offspeed pitches at a higher clip. Is Kazuma Okamoto's Success Sustainable? This is year one, but as opposing teams get more domestic film on Okamoto, the question becomes whether or not he can keep performances like this up. If his plate discipline were poor, it’d be one argument against him, but Okamoto isn’t venturing out of the zone a ton. As he sees more breaking balls in the zone, and attacks them, the hand-eye coordination and muscle memory should soon join an already mature approach at the dish. The bat speed, hard-hit rate and correct habits are all in place for him to be an everyday masher for years to come. View full article

