Brownie19 Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Thought exercise... What would Revere fetch as a FA on the open market? Span just got 3 year $10M aav didn't he?
glory Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Wow this trade actually happened. We just discussed this today in another thread. I don't mind trading Revere, but this really limits the depth on this team. Saunders and Lake is probably the platoon in left unless Saunders is hurt. Jays need to add another OF now. Storen in the pen is an upgrade though. It will be interesting to see what they do with Sanchez and Osuna. I think this probably signals Sanchez being stretched out, at the very least.
KingKat Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Dunno. Osuna *could* make the starting rotation out of ST Innings are a concern. They need to be ramped up. This will have to be some sort of tweener year. Maybe ramp up his bullpen usage with longer outings and transition him that way or bite the bullet and just send him to the minors. Either is more probable now with the presence of Storen.
intentional wok Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 I completely forgot about Junior Lake. Shapatkins really have picked up lots of little pieces, haven't they?
GD Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Revere is a 2 WAR outfielder and Storen is a 1 WAR closer. Revere makes 6.7M and has 2 years of control, Storen makes 8.8M and has 1 year of control. Needs to be quite a bit of money coming back to be worth it honestly... ehhhh
KingKat Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Span just got 3 year $10M aav didn't he? Yeah that was a mistake post. I meant to ask about Storen because there were some complaints that he was expensive.
TheHurl Site Manager Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Revere is a 2 WAR outfielder and Storen is a 1 WAR closer. Revere makes 6.7M and has 2 years of control, Storen makes 8.8M and has 1 year of control. Needs to be quite a bit of money coming back to be worth it honestly... Revere was a 2 WAR OF. That does not mean he will be this year. All his value is in his legs and he's less versatile than Pompey. It's removed the one area of depth on the team...but it filled a hole and by projections improved the team short term. If Saunders can just get a blade put on after his amputation, the depth is back.
KingKat Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 There had better be a viable OF added before the season starts. Venable?
GD Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Yeah that was a mistake post. I meant to ask about Storen because there were some complaints that he was expensive. You must be thrilled this week is over.
flafson Verified Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 ehhhh Check his last 2 years vs Storen's last 2 years. It's 2 WAR vs 1 WAR.
GD Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Check his last 2 years vs Storen's last 2 years. It's 2 WAR vs 1 WAR. Yeah but the steamerbible doesn't really like revere at this point + FIP war might underrate relievers It's basically a wash, honestly
glory Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 If Saunders is healthy, then this move is great. What are the chances of that being reality, though? He has a f***ed up knee and missed an entire season. Betting on him in LF is a huge risk.
Angrioter Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Author Posted January 9, 2016 Reliever WAR is s***.
Abomination Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Yeah but the steamerbible doesn't really like revere at this point + FIP war might underrate relievers It's basically a wash, honestly I think the better argument is that Storen is a badly needed bullpen upgrade, and Pompey's defense can almost certainly provide the same kind of WAR that Revere did, even if the bat lags behind.
BTS Community Moderator Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Venable? Someone better would be preferable. As things stand their everyday LF is completely unproven at the major league level, their 4th OF just missed the entire season because he got his meniscus removed, and there isn't a 5th OF in the org you'd expect to be better than replacement. Storen is good, and the pen looks better now, obviously, but as things stand the OF needs to be addressed.
GD Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 I think the better argument is that Storen is a badly needed bullpen upgrade, and Pompey's defense can almost certainly provide the same kind of WAR that Revere did, even if the bat lags behind. Sure but he's just comparing their WAR and I'm saying their WAR figures might not be accurate your stuff too, gold star
Angrioter Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Author Posted January 9, 2016 Now we can play with only 2 OFers. Pompey LCF and Pillar RCF; Bautista between 1B and 2B, Smoak 1B
Grant77 Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 While the fit is obvious, I don't like this deal from a value perspective. I expected Shapiro to bring a different mentality to the team, where we didn't give up value in trades. This may well be an anomaly, but I don't like pulling the trigger on this deal right now. We aren't desperate for a reliever with closer experience and there are other options available. We're trading away a likely 2 WAR outfielder for a reliever that has exceeded 1 WAR only once in 6 full seasons and makes up to 2 million more. Does Storen really have that much value at 9 mil? Traditional $/WAR calculations say he probably has negative value, though I understand relievers are starting to be valued differently by GM's.
BTS Community Moderator Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 While the fit is obvious, I don't like this deal from a value perspective. I expected Shapiro to bring a different mentality to the team, where we didn't give up value in trades. This may well be an anomaly, but I don't like pulling the trigger on this deal right now. We aren't desperate for a reliever with closer experience and there are other options available. We're trading away a likely 2 WAR outfielder for a reliever that has exceeded 1 WAR only once in 6 full seasons and makes up to 2 million more. Does Storen really have that much value at 9 mil? Traditional $/WAR calculations say he probably has negative value, though I understand relievers are starting to be valued differently by GM's. Value in a vacuum is probably a wash. One year left for each, equal salary, both will project to be worth the same +/- a few runs.
glory Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 I think it's likely a wash as well, with a slight edge to Revere in terms of overall value, but it's not a huge difference. The real key is what happens in LF. Saunders can make this whole thing moot if he's back to his pre-injury days. More likely, Pompey will be getting the bulk of time, and while that has upside, it's not the safest approach to take in an "all in" season.
Inklink Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Good luck Reverend. Nice guy, going to miss his indiscernible interviews. I don't know how good he actually was in LF, but looked fking elite because he wasn't Colabello.
TheHurl Site Manager Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Value in a vacuum is probably a wash. One year left for each, equal salary, both will project to be worth the same +/- a few runs. Revere has 2 years left he was a Super 2.
Grant77 Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Value in a vacuum is probably a wash. One year left for each, equal salary, both will project to be worth the same +/- a few runs. Revere has had a very stable career, so it really comes down to how you weigh WAR vs WPA for relievers. I'm of the opinion that relievers are currently being overvalued (see Madson, Kimbrel deals), but that can be debated. Also, the projected 2.1 million difference in salaries has some significance. We could have possibly gotten a Joe Blanton type for those dollars.
BTS Community Moderator Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Revere has had a very stable career, so it really comes down to how you weigh WAR vs WPA for relievers. I'm of the opinion that relievers are currently being overvalued (see Madson, Kimbrel deals), but that can be debated. Also, the projected 2.1 million difference in salaries has some significance. We could have possibly gotten a Joe Blanton type for those dollars. Washington is covering the difference in salary.
SAAviour Verified Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Wow this trade actually happened. We just discussed this today in another thread. That's right, who posted that comment.... Good trade for both teams, fairly even. Helps our team be better balanced and again no prospects lost, it's a new era around here that's for sure.
Abomination Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Revere has had a very stable career, so it really comes down to how you weigh WAR vs WPA for relievers. I'm of the opinion that relievers are currently being overvalued (see Madson, Kimbrel deals), but that can be debated. Also, the projected 2.1 million difference in salaries has some significance. We could have possibly gotten a Joe Blanton type for those dollars. Apparently we're getting cash in the deal equal to the salary difference.
BeastMode Verified Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 Jeff Blair @SNJeffBlair 4m4 minutes ago Not sure the lads are done. Scout tells me Dickey in play. We should never quote SN people simply because they never break anything major. I hate when they say " player x, y z is available" but can never break trades 1st.
Dr. Dinger Old-Timey Member Posted January 9, 2016 Posted January 9, 2016 This really makes me wonder if we might be in on a FA OF. Upton could be approaching good value.
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