Laika

Welp

I kind of think it has to...

The guy's legs collapse on every hard swing and his GB% has been insane lately. Like it or not he does not a ton of time off to maintain playing health.

Damn.

Oh did you talk to George? You know how he is feeling? You've looked at the advanced data to see how he might be holding up?

Yeah I mean this The Cito pull dat ball stuff is mostly a meme. I don't think anyone should take it that far. But to put it more broadly... hitters should at the early stages of their career and perhaps in ruts go through "offensive approach design" phases in the offseasons to figure out the optimal approach FOR THEM based on their power, swing speed, swing mechanics, and talents. This is basically my point. Earlier this year I saw a lot of Blue Jays who were employing what I would call obviously sub-optimal offensive approaches. This is one of the things that ruined Brett Lawrie's career by the way. He became obsessed early on with trying to hit line drives and groundballs up the middle. OOOOF!

Moreno is maybe another good example. One to watch over the years. This could be a 10 HR player if he is a spray hitter trying to hit .350 all the time or he could be a 25 HR hitter if he understands the value of pulling it in the air more often

Yeah of course But lots of natural talent and bat speed on Toronto There is no doubt in my mind that a few players could for sure pull the ball a bit more if they wanted I mean data says they are already doing this last few weeks

f***, if they can't bring in some shutdown relievers.... I bet Tiedemann could slay in the pen right now haha

I swear I typed Tiedemann

I am not too concerned about SP depth in 2023 onward although I am sure they will look to add an MLB SP or two in the offseason. But in 2023 a lot of the exciting names will not be tooooooo far off to jump up to MLB if there is a need. 2022 is basically one year too early for them. But the following dudes could all be in AA or AAA next year: Palmer Zulueta Murray Kloff Dallas Juenger Robberse Van Eyk (TJS recovery though so won't see him) Santos and Frasso probably A+ I guess

Well it's not pull dat ball over all else But if a player keeps hitting opposite field fly balls that are landing in gloves... It's just way easier to turn raw power into home runs when you pull the ball here is non-Blue Jays example of a player who needs to pull the ball more https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-vaughn/26197/stats#batted-ball

cram it up yer cramhole connnor

These are pulled from Eno's spreadsheet he keeps running for stuff+ You can find a link if you just google eno sarris stuff+ it will be buried in all of his articles

Zero interest in Quintana. I'm surprised he's still in MLB but his numbers are a bit better than I expected, he must have figured something out to stay alive. But I can't see how he would really help a playoff team like Toronto unless they lose multiple SPs to injury and they just need a live arm to eat innings...

Play him more!

immediately it is already projected

Yeah that's stuff+, not pitching+ Pithing+ also factors in command+ Basically, once you get a big enough sample it's better to look at pitching+ I posted all the numbers above Stuff+ / Command+ / Pitching+ 100.1 103.7 106 COBB 120.2 101.3 107 DARVISH

xSTATS will be a bit f***y until half way through the year when they are readjusted for the new offensive environment. I have heard.

I just text Eno he tells me

Cobb's stuff+ is way up and his command+ is better than Yu's. Their pitching+ (total measure) is very close. Stuff+ / Command+ / Pitching+ 100.1 103.7 106 120.2 101.3 107 I think all these numbers are pretty stable now for 2022 And Cobb is a year younger and has been better by DIPS since the beginning of 2021.

Stuff+ baby His stuff is different

I think Cobb actually might be... should be... better than Yu Darvish. In any league.

Since May 27th wRC+ 163 (#1 in MLB) Pull% 42.8 (#5 in MLB) Oppo% 22.9% (#23 in MLB) GB% 43.4 (#14 in MLB) Hard hit% 36.7 (#3 in MLB) babip .359 (#1 in MLB) So they have been pulling the ball more, going oppo less, and hitting the ball on the ground a bit less. They are hitting the ball even harder, relatively speaking. HR/FB (16.7%) is 4th in MLB in that span whereas before it was 10th in MLB (11.7%). Still hitting grounders too much IMO and probably getting a bit lucky during this stretch with BABIP. Conclusions: 1. Pulling dat ball is working at turning some of the flyball outs into dingers 2. Keep mashing - try to murder the baseball almost all the time 3. The offense could be even better if we could get Vlad to stop hitting groundballs Since May 27th the only hitters with groundball problems are Vlad (54.7%) and Springer (54%). I am not concerned about Springer there because that's way above his career mark and it's a small sample, but maybe he is a bit tired and cold use a few off days... Springer also has the highest pull% on the team since May 27th which might be why you haven't noticed the groundballs as a bad thing; he has been pulling hard grounders for hits and doubles often enough. You really notice groundball issues when guys are hitting into double plays up the middle like Vlad always does. Kirk and his 248 wRC+ in that stretch has the lowest GB% on the team. He also has a good pull% since May 27th at 44.2% and four pulled homeruns. It is safe to say that the difference between Kirk as a good hitter and Kirk as a great hitter is probably as simple as him figuring out when to get sluggy and pull a ball in the air with authority. I mean he can poke things up the middle and the other way in his sleep but that doesn't get chicks.

in 2018 and 2019 he had a 16% walk rate with a .190 ISO and he hit 24 HR in 159 combined games this year he has an 18% walk rate but a .113 ISO with no homers in 27 games I am very skeptical that he will be able to maintain an elite walk rate if he keeps failing to demonstrate the ability to hit for power. Teams will challenge him more and more. I think he might have to sell out a bit for some pop, basically. Just a tiny bit. No huge changes. Like the triple last night - first pitch of the PA. How often does CB swing at pitch #1?