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Posted

So with all the arb cases done fangraphs has the Jays LTP estimated at $228,370.427

 

$12 million to be just under the 1st threshold

$32 million to be just under the 2nd threshold 

$52 million to be just under the 3rd threshold

$72 million to be just under the 4th threshold

Posted

Should we look that no extension was worked out as a bad sign or no sign?  Trying to adjust a panic meter for a friend lol

Posted
32 minutes ago, Spanky99 said:

Less than I thought too

Same

I think he could have fought for more through arbitration and won 

But he's likely looking at the big picture and a 12-14 year contract and realizes that makes a couple extra million now meaningless

Posted
13 minutes ago, G-Snarls said:

Same

I think he could have fought for more through arbitration and won 

But he's likely looking at the big picture and a 12-14 year contract and realizes that makes a couple extra million now meaningless

The good thing is they didn't go to an Arb hearing and maybe there's some good faith in an extension, haha. They now have about a month to get it resolved.

 

Posted
12 minutes ago, Eat My Shatkins said:

 

SOURCE: The #BlueJays plan to make a second contract extension offer to Vladimir Guerrero Jr., which will be very close to what the player is looking for.

 

That's Hector Gomez on X

 

Not sure how to embed tweets on here yet

Just paste the link and then press enter to skip a line... link should embed automatically

Posted
11 hours ago, Eat My Shatkins said:

So with all the arb cases done fangraphs has the Jays LTP estimated at $228,370.427

 

$12 million to be just under the 1st threshold

$32 million to be just under the 2nd threshold 

$52 million to be just under the 3rd threshold

$72 million to be just under the 4th threshold

That number includes players on minor league deals with the potential to make the team.  The LTP is actually lower unless you assume the Lauer's of the team are a lock to make the team.  I much prefer spotrac which shows the break down of every player.  They have us at 219. https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/toronto-blue-jays/tax

Posted

What's interesting is that Vlad took a lower than projected 2025 salary, so if by some chance they actually do agree to an extension, then the extension doesn't reflect in the CBT calculation until 2026. I mean it's only like a $1-2M savings for CBT purposes, but still a benefit when it comes to adding to the 2025 team. Vlad could have easily haggled over that amount and gone to arbitration (and probably won) but he settled for less. Whether that's a sign of an extension being possible or whether Vlad just wanted to avoid arbitration again knowing he'll get his money next year regardless is the question. 

Posted
3 hours ago, glory said:

What's interesting is that Vlad took a lower than projected 2025 salary, so if by some chance they actually do agree to an extension, then the extension doesn't reflect in the CBT calculation until 2026. I mean it's only like a $1-2M savings for CBT purposes, but still a benefit when it comes to adding to the 2025 team. Vlad could have easily haggled over that amount and gone to arbitration (and probably won) but he settled for less. Whether that's a sign of an extension being possible or whether Vlad just wanted to avoid arbitration again knowing he'll get his money next year regardless is the question. 

This is why I mentioned the extension last night, it's certainly probable.

 A good sign at minimum.

Posted
19 hours ago, Eat My Shatkins said:

 

SOURCE: The #BlueJays plan to make a second contract extension offer to Vladimir Guerrero Jr., which will be very close to what the player is looking for.

 

That's Hector Gomez on X

 

Not sure how to embed tweets on here yet

Wonder if the Jays will make an offer with a lot of potential bonuses etc to make the deal worth up to what Vladdy is asking for so he can at least say "I got my record breaking contract etc".. but in reality the deal is more or less valued closer to the 350 the Jays were offering before.

 

Having an opt out when Vladdy is 31-32 might not be a bad thing.

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