Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

Recommended Posts

Community Moderator
Posted

Wild changes with the Mets rotation in recent weeks

They call up McLean and Tong, who look amazing. 
They are calling up Brandon Sproat to make his MLB debut Sunday. 

They just optioned Kodai Senga with his 3.02 ERA. 

That is a viciously aggressive youth movement for this time of year! 

Posted
2 hours ago, Brownie19 said:

Can someone help me figure out Colson Montgomery?

2023 (age 21 season) in A and AA - 155 wRC+ with a 1:1 BB/K ratio (both at 19%)

2024 (age 22 season) in AAA - 81 wRC+, BB% of 12, K% of 29

2025 (age 23 season) in AAA - 78 wRC+ BB% of 8 and K% of 33

called up to the majors

123 wRC+, 17 HRs in 50 games with a .220 BABIP

 

That is one wild ride.  Obviously it seems unsustainable and it looks like he might be a bust after dominating the lower minors...

it's not a satisfying answer but the answer is that it's only been 200 PAs.

free swinging pulled flyball guys that whiff a lot tend to naturally have a lot more variance in their game (think of how PCA has dropped off over the last 2 months). the denominator of total batted balls is just going to be smaller b/c of the whiffs, & the batted balls they do hit (flyballs) are naturally going to XBHs or outs. if they're having a bad month, they'll be outs, if they're having a good month, they'll be off the wall or over the fence.

the best pulled flyball hitters like lindor & jose ramirez are the best at what they do because they're able to have high pulled flyball rates while also making a ton of contact. guys like montgomery / PCA / matt wallner (my montgomery comp) will usually rate out as above average hitters over a large sample, but it'll come with a lot more variance

Posted
6 hours ago, sliderguy35 said:

it's not a satisfying answer but the answer is that it's only been 200 PAs.

free swinging pulled flyball guys that whiff a lot tend to naturally have a lot more variance in their game (think of how PCA has dropped off over the last 2 months). the denominator of total batted balls is just going to be smaller b/c of the whiffs, & the batted balls they do hit (flyballs) are naturally going to XBHs or outs. if they're having a bad month, they'll be outs, if they're having a good month, they'll be off the wall or over the fence.

the best pulled flyball hitters like lindor & jose ramirez are the best at what they do because they're able to have high pulled flyball rates while also making a ton of contact. guys like montgomery / PCA / matt wallner (my montgomery comp) will usually rate out as above average hitters over a large sample, but it'll come with a lot more variance

Ditto for Varsho in your list of fly ball/higher whiff guys

Posted
2 hours ago, hanton said:

"So we cannot win unless Yoshi throws a no hitter. Got it."

from the reddit game chat, team has approached a new low

What's really crazy is that home run by Jackson was catchable. Was it Pages? He pulls up early on a ball that barely cleared the wall. That's like a 7-8-ft wall? If he runs through and jumps he absolutely gets glove on it. 

Not the kind of effort you expect with a no-hitter on the line. Especially painful given how it ended.

Posted
12 minutes ago, Masterbather said:

What's really crazy is that home run by Jackson was catchable. Was it Pages? He pulls up early on a ball that barely cleared the wall. That's like a 7-8-ft wall? If he runs through and jumps he absolutely gets glove on it. 

Not the kind of effort you expect with a no-hitter on the line. Especially painful given how it ended.

yea Pages, his dee has come along way but he's never been one to go up and catch a ball against or over the wall,

Community Moderator
Posted

Any Jays OF would run through the wall to try and catch that HR off Yamamoto 

Maybe that's why the Dodgers are underperforming? Bit of a divided clubhouse, top many individuals not as much of a team unit 

Posted
2 hours ago, Laika said:

Any Jays OF would run through the wall to try and catch that HR off Yamamoto 

Maybe that's why the Dodgers are underperforming? Bit of a divided clubhouse, top many individuals not as much of a team unit 

way too many pitching injuries and the Scott signing has been a disaster  

Posted
17 hours ago, hanton said:

way too many pitching injuries and the Scott signing has been a disaster  

It's wild.  Scott has always been essentially unhittable - it was walks that would get him in trouble.  But this year, he's got the lowest BB% of his career, but is now serving up home runs like Hoffman.  He went from <0.4 HR/9 rates in 2023 and 2024 to 1.82 this year.

Posted
1 minute ago, Brownie19 said:

It's wild.  Scott has always been essentially unhittable - it was walks that would get him in trouble.  But this year, he's got the lowest BB% of his career, but is now serving up home runs like Hoffman.  He went from <0.4 HR/9 rates in 2023 and 2024 to 1.82 this year.

yep he should be unhittable

image.png.d410a7d72a79988fffef8630c97f860c.png

Posted
1 minute ago, Laika said:

Heat map seems to indicate he is more middle-middle in general 

Career he tended to be more bottom corner

Interesting article from April:

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/tanner-scott-or-an-impostor-whos-stolen-his-identity-is-throwing-a-ton-of-strikes/

Scott 2025.png

Scott Career.png

the dodgers love the fastball, I bet he's throwing more fastballs, less breaking balls.  could explain the above(?)   

He was lights out last season

Posted
4 minutes ago, Terminator said:

Ohtani made a mistake in not signing here

That one still stings. I think Ohtani's presence alone last season could have been sufficient to push the team close to contending for a wild card spot.

Posted
22 hours ago, Laika said:

Any Jays OF would run through the wall to try and catch that HR off Yamamoto 

Maybe that's why the Dodgers are underperforming? Bit of a divided clubhouse, top many individuals not as much of a team unit 

You have to wonder if they have too many individuals in the Front Office as well

They have 100s of people working in Baseball Ops. At a certain point you would have to wonder if their top voices aren't always cutting through what could be a bloated and bureaucratic mess of a front office.

Posted

The next few weeks should be fun, exactly what a baseball fan asks for... also have I ever mentioned how much I love Wednesday's all day baseball marathon, hah! Just love it.

I only see, Texas as the biggest threat to steal the last WC spot, maybe KC as well as those 2 ball-clubs have been playing really well.

Posted
On 9/8/2025 at 5:01 PM, jaysblue said:

Would be nice if the Blue Jays could beat the Dodgers in the World Series this year. Stick it to him!

I missed this, that would be so damn sweet man.

Posted

With 2 HRs last night, Teo raises his season wRC+ to 94.  It will be interesting to see if he can turn it around next year.  Sad - love me some Teo, but I think there were signs a dropoff could happen in his early 30's.

Posted
20 minutes ago, Brownie19 said:

With 2 HRs last night, Teo raises his season wRC+ to 94.  It will be interesting to see if he can turn it around next year.  Sad - love me some Teo, but I think there were signs a dropoff could happen in his early 30's.

Wait am I confused or does it say 100. 

https://www.fangraphs.com/players/teoscar-hernandez/13066/stats?position=OF

You may have looked at just before they finally updated the player pages today. They were slow on it. 

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
The Jays Centre Caretaker Fund
The Jays Centre Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Blue Jays community on the internet.

×
×
  • Create New...