metafour Verified Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 He projects for a better batting average over a full season; not on a game to game basis you dolt. He makes less contact. He's slow as s***. He hits a ton of balls on the ground that are auto-outs. Teams shift against him which means that even when he does hit it well, its often right at someone and therefore an auto out. That is why Morales is a terrible pick on a one-game basis. The Carrera pick does make sense, absolutely. Doesn't walk. High contact rate. Top of the order so extra at bat. Decent legs so he can gain lucky hits on poor contact. Good pitching matchup against a pitcher who isn't wild and who doesn't rack up a lot of strikeouts. Like I said; go play and pick Trout/Goldschmidt/Zimmerman/whatever every day and see how long your streak lasts; it won't be as long as you expect it to. I don't even gamble on these things but I know that the guys who are good at it do so by making ODD picks, not by making the most obvious picks. There is luck involved, but to be good on sports betting equals being able to make calls beyond rudimentary analysis.
Laika Community Moderator Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 If you want to go so deep it hurts on the Zeke pick, it's extra stupid because he could reasonably have been pinch hit for if a LOOGY came in to face him late in the game.
metafour Verified Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 This doesn't mean anything. Sure you want your picks to make contact often, but that has to translate into good contact if you expect to get anything out of it. You can't expect your guy to hit a couple of bloops and hope they will fall. Luke Maile's strike zone contact is the same as Mike Trout's this year, sure there's an element of speed involved but simply put one guy hits the ball hard and the other doesn't, guess which one hits for a higher average. Carrera has a higher contact rate than Mike Trout, which should tell you all you need to know. Luke Maile has 34 plate appearances bucko. The fact that he has the same contact as Mike Trout doesn't matter because its based off of a virtually nonexistent sample size, not because its all just meaningless random BS. Go look at his contact rates in 2016 when he actually had a worthwhile amount of plate appearances and you'll find that he's nowhere near Trout. Zeke Carrera, even without his obviously flukey hot streak this year, is still a pretty good contact hitter. Even in past years.
Orgfiller Old-Timey Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 I wonder how one manages to project for a better batting average over a full season, which is the rate of hits per at bats, and yet somehow inexplicably also project for a lower batting average on a daily basis. This is, when we're talking about players with similar walk rates.
Laika Community Moderator Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 I wonder how one manages to project for a better batting average over a full season, which is the rate of hits per at bats, and yet somehow inexplicably also project for a lower batting average on a daily basis. This is, when we're talking about players with similar walk rates. Because he's slow and teams shift! Can't you read, bucko?
Dick_Pole Old-Timey Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 Orgfiller is getting HEATED A heated argument and name-calling over which pick is better - a scrub player or a former decent player in decline who essentially is a scrub now - for SOME OTHER GUY to try to win a million dollars or whatever the hell it is. Proof that humans are just the worst and will fight over anything.
TholesWeirdEye Verified Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 A heated argument and name-calling over which pick is better - a scrub player or a former decent player in decline who essentially is a scrub now - for SOME OTHER GUY to try to win a million dollars or whatever the hell it is. Proof that humans are just the worst and will fight over anything. Did you just assume their race?
Orgfiller Old-Timey Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 A heated argument and name-calling over which pick is better - a scrub player or a former decent player in decline who essentially is a scrub now - for SOME OTHER GUY to try to win a million dollars or whatever the hell it is. Proof that humans are just the worst and will fight over anything. Well the matter of the fact is I wouldn't pick Morales or Carrera when Mike Trout and Jose Altuve were playing yesterday. But I certainly would not pick career scrub Ezequiel Carrera.
MunenoriKawasakiMVP Verified Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 Eric Sogard has 2 homeruns in 9 plate appearances this year. Yes you read that right. The guy that had like 9 career homers before this year
MunenoriKawasakiMVP Verified Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 And using projections for BTS is f***ing stupid. Just pick the hottest guys to not walk and have a good average and you're good to go. Picking high walk guys like Votto and Trout in this format isn't the greatest idea in the world
Boxcar Old-Timey Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 Jeter was aloud to pick any day and he chose today for his mother. Making mother's day all about himself eh. There really wasn't a better choice for Jeter, f***ing narcissistic prick.
Spanky__99 Old-Timey Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 Well the matter of the fact is I wouldn't pick Morales or Carrera when Mike Trout and Jose Altuve were playing yesterday. But I certainly would not pick career scrub Ezequiel Carrera. I had Goldy and Trout! Yippy!
Spanky__99 Old-Timey Member Posted May 16, 2017 Posted May 16, 2017 Making mother's day all about himself eh. There really wasn't a better choice for Jeter, f***ing narcissistic prick. lol... the salt is real!!!
Spanky__99 Old-Timey Member Posted May 17, 2017 Posted May 17, 2017 lmao Angels. I want to see Robertson blow this for free, ball.
Spanky__99 Old-Timey Member Posted May 17, 2017 Posted May 17, 2017 He gone, lol. Bunting... lose now ya goofs!!
Spanky__99 Old-Timey Member Posted May 17, 2017 Posted May 17, 2017 Pujols is huge... you guys see that?
Brownie19 Old-Timey Member Posted May 17, 2017 Posted May 17, 2017 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/charlie-mortons-electric-stuff-has-never-been-more-electric/ caution - GIFs in this post are NSFW. I remember thinking the Jays should go after Morton and Nova this offseason, while possibly looking to deal Liriano. Pats self on back (2 days in a row - arm's sore).
TheHurl Site Manager Posted May 17, 2017 Posted May 17, 2017 Wasn't a 1 run game so it doesn't go down as that great of a game ending catch but it's one way to bounce back from a 3 error in a series weekend.
Omar Old-Timey Member Posted May 17, 2017 Posted May 17, 2017 I see the Rangers now at .500 are right back in it. I bet they are hoping the Jays don't make a run because the only team they dont want come October is the Jays. Wouldn't mind a rematch cause those guys are snake-bit when it comes to playing Toronto.......and they know it.
z3r0s Old-Timey Member Posted May 18, 2017 Posted May 18, 2017 well he's never gone on record saying he doesn't.... maybe he's too busy eating children!!!
Orgfiller Old-Timey Member Posted May 18, 2017 Posted May 18, 2017 Someone on their last day of work?
metafour Verified Member Posted May 18, 2017 Posted May 18, 2017 well he's never gone on record saying he doesn't.... maybe he's too busy eating children!!! Is that a Clone High reference...?
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