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GDT: Blue Jays vs. Rays (3/3) 12:37PM - Estrada (8-8 3.68 ERA) vs Cobb (0-0 4.09 ERA)


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Posted
In all likelihood it would be 1-0. The expected runs for a runner at 2nd and 0 outs is 1.1 runs.

 

Except we've been probably the worst offensive team this month.

Posted
Except we've been probably the worst offensive team this month.

 

These guys totally fail to understand that there is a human element to the game. Not everything can be solely quantified with numbers.

Posted
In all likelihood it would be 1-0. The expected runs for a runner at 2nd and 0 outs is 1.1 runs.

Fangraphs.com guy

Posted
So Saunders, Edwin, Bautista is below average?

 

Saunders second half: 75 wRC+

Sept: -10 wRC+

 

Bautista second half: 101 wRC+

Sept: 85 wRC+

 

Saunders is struggling so hard that a sac bunt he'd probably take as a worse case scenario bunting against the shift...

Posted
Saunders second half: 75 wRC+

Sept: -10 wRC+

 

Bautista second half: 101 wRC+

Sept: 85 wRC+

 

Saunders is struggling so hard that a sac bunt he'd probably take as a worse case scenario bunting against the shift...

 

True talent level

Posted
True talent level

 

If Saunders feels his best chance of getting on base right now is bunting against the shift because his confidence level is at a -10 f***in' do it.

Posted
So Saunders, Edwin, Bautista is below average?

 

Not the other two. Saunders has been dogshit with runners on. I don't know why this is a talking point, this season he's owned a .636 OPS with runners in scoring position a beautiful wRC+ of 64. 2nd half in general? .673 OPS and 75 wRC+. No problems with this right now given the situation, especially since they were shifting against him and he dropped it against that shift with the intention of getting on

Posted
Exactly. In all likelihood, the game would be 0-0 right now without that bunt.

 

Math called. It awards you no points and asks that you delete your account.

 

With a runner on 2nd and 0 out, we have a 61.4% chance of scoring at least 1 run in that inning. So...uh yeah "in all likelihood" = Fail. It struck me that the Internet has really ruined things for people who got a little too comfortable with pulling numbers out of their butts. You know we can fact-check you now, right?

Posted
Math called. It awards you no points and asks that you delete your account.

 

With a runner on 2nd and 0 out, we have a 61.4% chance of scoring at least 1 run in that inning. So...uh yeah "in all likelihood" = Fail. It struck me that the Internet has really ruined things for people who got a little too comfortable with pulling numbers out of their butts. You know we can fact-check you now, right?

 

 

Why does everyone assume Saunders bunt was a sac bunt? Because MLB Game Day said so? That was the fallback / worse case scenario.

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