G-Snarls Community Moderator Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 I think it depends on the team need. Cleveland, for instance, has a strong need for DRS in the outfield, so Pillar would carry more value to them than other teams. I just read an interesting article on jaysjournal about potential trade proposals to acquire Carrasco/Salazar, and, although they undervalued them, they made an interesting point about us taking on the $17.5M contract of Chris Johnson as well, to lower the cost of the deal. I think taking on Johnson's 2-yr deal which projects to be $9M/yr of dead money could actually help us land Carrasco for cheaper. How weird would it be if the Jays first move was a trade with Cleveland before Shapiro even gets a new general manager. I bet MLB wouldn't like that very much.
THANOS Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 How weird would it be if the Jays first move was a trade with Cleveland before Shapiro even gets a new general manager. I bet MLB wouldn't like that very much. It would be weird for sure, but I think it would be a fair deal, especially since Antonetti would not want to disrespect Shapiro and vice versa. Cleveland has a need for controllable young players at DH/1st (with Santana coming off the books after 2016), OF (they were awful in DRS there), and 3rd. Their payroll was also their highest since 2001, so cutting or spreading their resources better may be their goal. I think Pillar, Colabello, and Urena (switch him to 3rd) for Carrasco and Johnson ($17.5M of dead money over 2 seasons), could actually get it done.
BTS Community Moderator Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 It would be weird for sure, but I think it would be a fair deal, especially since Antonetti would not want to disrespect Shapiro and vice versa. Cleveland has a need for controllable young players at DH/1st (with Santana coming off the books after 2016), OF (they were awful in DRS there), and 3rd. Their payroll was also their highest since 2001, so cutting or spreading their resources better may be their goal. I think Pillar, Colabello, and Urena for Carrasco and Johnson ($17.5M of dead money over 2 seasons), could actually get it done. Not even close.
THANOS Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Not even close. You don't think taking on Chris Johnson's dead contract wouldn't lower Carrasco's value a lot? Maybe add Tellez.
BTS Community Moderator Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 You don't think taking on Chris Johnson's dead contract wouldn't lower Carrasco's value of lot? Not really. If you're trading an elite player like Carrasco you're not going to significantly water down your return to save $17M or whatever.
THANOS Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Not really. If you're trading an elite player like Carrasco you're not going to significantly water down your return to save $17M or whatever. I think you underestimate the impact that can have on small market penny pinching teams. Johnson projects to have negative WAR by steamer next year at $9M, and to a team that would rather sit around a sub $80M payroll, that could be greatly tying their hands up. If you add in the controllable years of one of Hutch/Sanchez and perhaps Tellez, I think that would certainly be considered.
BTS Community Moderator Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 It's kind of amazing how much Chris Johnson's 2013 looks like Chris Colabello's 2015. What an awful extension that was.
THANOS Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 It's kind of amazing how much Chris Johnson's 2013 looks like Chris Colabello's 2015. What an awful extension that was. It's absolutely putrid and resembles 11% of their payroll, and if the budget is closer to their average the past 10 years, then it could be closer to 15%. That's why I think taking that on could help us get Carrasco for less.
BTS Community Moderator Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 It's absolutely putrid and resembles 11% of their payroll, and if the budget is closer to their average the past 10 years, then it could be closer to 15%. That's why I think taking that on could help us get Carrasco for less. Or they could just eat the cash and trade him for like Puig or something instead of Pillar, some spare parts, and enough cash to sign Mike Pelfrey.
THANOS Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Or they could just eat the cash and trade him for like Puig or something instead of Pillar, some spare parts, and enough cash to sign Mike Pelfrey. True, they could do that, but regardless I think one of Carrasco/Salazar is traded this off-season, I just hope it's to us.
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Pillar, Osuna, Alford might get it done. Who hangs up first?
BTS Community Moderator Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Pillar, Osuna, Alford might get it done. Who hangs up first? That's probably the most fair proposal yet.
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 That's probably the most fair proposal yet. but if i'm shapiro i don't do it
Stangstag Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 I'd offer Goins, Colabello, Revere, and their choice between Kawasaki or Diaz. Not sure if that's an overpay though.
Dr. Dinger Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Pillar, Osuna, Alford might get it done. Who hangs up first? I'm guessing they both hang up at roughly the same time after saying goodbye politely.
Dr. Dinger Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 I really wonder why Cleveland is so eager to trade one of their 3 aces. In any case, clearly their area of need is OF, so I'm guessing they'd ask for Pompey or Alford, and probably both.
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Last season was Alford's 1st real pro season. He carried a 150 wRC across A and A+ after averaging TEN (10) games of pro baseball the previous 3 seasons. He dropped his K rate to 19.2% in A+. This guy has superstar potential. Hope the Jays hang on.
Dr. Dinger Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Last season was Alford's 1st real pro season. He carried a 150 wRC across A and A+ after averaging TEN (10) games of pro baseball the previous 3 seasons. He dropped his K rate to 19.2% in A+. This guy has superstar potential. Hope the Jays hang on. Ok, but to play devil's advocate, he hasn't really shown any power. It would be nice to keep him, sure. He could have Brantley-esque upside. But if he can land us a legit ace on a cheap contract, he's gone.
McDude Verified Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Pillar, Osuna, Alford might get it done. Who hangs up first? Thats a steal for the jays IMO
Krylian Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Alford, Sanchez, SRF, Urena
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Stroman + Pillar + Osuna Not sure I would do Stro straight up for Carrasco, considering their respective ages ie. Carrasco at peak, Stro a few years from his
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Thats a steal for the jays IMO No. Pillar and Osuna likely match Carrasco in WAR over the remaining life of his contract, and Alford profiles as an elite OF, consistent 3 WAR or greater. It's a tough one for the Jays to make IMO.
BTS Community Moderator Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Not sure I would do Stro straight up for Carrasco, considering their respective ages ie. Carrasco at peak, Stro a few years from his Same years of team control though (I think). You can't consider Stroman's free agent years as assets.
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Same years of team control though (I think). You can't consider Stroman's free agent years as assets. I'm not
GD Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 Same years of team control though (I think). You can't consider Stroman's free agent years as assets. Doesn't Stroman have a couple more years of control?
burlingtonbandit Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 I really wonder why Cleveland is so eager to trade one of their 3 aces. In any case, clearly their area of need is OF, so I'm guessing they'd ask for Pompey or Alford, and probably both. They probably think Carrasco is at his peak value. There are real injury concerns with him and if they don't think they will win the division this year maybe they try to be better in 2017. Brantley is out 5-6 months IIRC so maybe they factor that into their decision making.
Dr Negative Verified Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 I think the only way we are getting Carrasco is if incoming Transport Minister Marc Garneau declares the moon Canadian territory, sells it to Rogers, and then Rogers subsequently spin it off in a deal for Carrasco.
GD Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 They probably think Carrasco is at his peak value. There are real injury concerns with him and if they don't think they will win the division this year maybe they try to be better in 2017. Brantley is out 5-6 months IIRC so maybe they factor that into their decision making. As opposed to every other pitcher, ever
dineke Old-Timey Member Posted November 10, 2015 Posted November 10, 2015 I'd be sad if they trade their first great homegrown player since halladay even if it was for carassco.
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