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Posted
Honestly I dont think anyone is ever that triggered by the actual baseball content you post, it's more so that your posts are dressed up like f***in Dr. Suess stories and flooded with hyperbole

 

The hilarious thing is most of what I post is pretty realistic, it's just that most people have no clue what is realistic in life or baseball.

 

Like the Bo thing that triggered people. I said Bo was "good for age" but not great over all and that he had hit a couple of mini slumps. For some reason that triggered people.

 

I said Vlad isn't going to be Pujuls or play 160 games a year. I literally said he'll be like Frank Thomas in his 30s, some amazing hitting, some unexplained absences, some down years where he's playing a little bit injured.

 

It's hilarious, that an opinion, that is actually quite realistic, gets you all triggered.

 

In another of my posts I came up with a fake career for Vlad, in which he struggles with injuries, and eventually Toronto gives up on him and trades him to Oakland. That depressing fake career was still 100 times better than the real floor, which is Jesus Montero.

 

The real issue here isn't me. It's the fact that in order to compete in the next five years, most people are counting on Vlad and Bo to be the Jays version of Betts and Benetendi. Any time someone brings up realistic scenarios, in which Bo and Vlad don't become super stars it triggers depression and aggressiveness in most of you, because it closes your only perceived hope for a competitive Jays team.

 

No one knows what the future will bring. I certainly don't. However I'm not pencilling in Vlad and Bo for hall of fame, or even all star careers just yet. There is to much that can still go wrong, and probably will. The real avenue for success (which the Jays are doing a good job at) is to collect as many young players as possible and let them sort it out.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Was the first strikeout on a changeup?

 

I believe so. He's got a nice CU, along with a SL, CV and great 4SM.

Posted

 

Love seeing this :)

 

Going through the Eastern League stats.... Biggio and Davis are at or near the top of many categories. How come they are not getting the love that Bo and Vladdy receive.

Posted
Going through the Eastern League stats.... Biggio and Davis are at or near the top of many categories. How come they are not getting the love that Bo and Vladdy receive.

 

Age and prospect pedigree.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Biggio and Smith both homered today. Biggio added a double, a single, and a walk, while Smith walked as well.
Old-Timey Member
Posted
Going through the Eastern League stats.... Biggio and Davis are at or near the top of many categories. How come they are not getting the love that Bo and Vladdy receive.

 

 

Davis is 26 years old repeating AA, he could still be useful but he isn't going to make any top prospect list anymore. I think mlb pipeline had him as our 30th best prospect to start the year.

 

Biggio had an ok year last year, nothing that would blow people away and his defense at 2B is questionable. They've been trying him at 3B and 1B this year as well. I don't think anyone expected this kind of power from him, he's definitely going to be in our top 10 now.

Posted
I've never regarded Biggio as anything, in terms of future with the BJs. Do you think he has a shot to play in the majors? And be impactful?
Posted
I've never regarded Biggio as anything, in terms of future with the BJs. Do you think he has a shot to play in the majors? And be impactful?

 

If his bat keeps progressing, definitely. I don't know if that will be at 2nd, but if he hits they'll find somewhere to play him. He's leading the league in homers, has an 18% walk rate, and with a .320 babip really isn't even getting lucky.

Posted
Biggio should be getting 3B reps. Haven't see any positive reports on Vlad's 3B skills, he's a 1B/DH

 

Pretty sure guys that have been 2b exclusively since college don't translate well to 3b. I doubt he has the arm for it

Posted
Biggio should be getting 3B reps. Haven't see any positive reports on Vlad's 3B skills, he's a 1B/DH

 

I just read the other day that he has years at 3rd and will eventually move to 1st?

 

-Longenhagen in his chat. Amongst others Badler, Sickel, Jays FO... Jim know's best.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

[h=3]First Year Player Draft Ranks (2018 MLB Draft and July 2nd)[/h]1. Alec Bohm, 3B Phillies | Round 1, 3rd overall – The best combination of hit and power in the draft. Advanced college hitters in the top ten have a strong track record. The bat speed, understanding of the strike-zone, and easy power allow his bat to play even if he’s moved to first base long term. ETA: 2020

2. Jonathan India, 3B Reds | Round 1, 5th overall – Elite bat speed, good feel to hit, improving power and approach, India took a huge leap forward in 2018. Neck and neck with Bohm for the first spot, no one else was in consideration. There’s a better shot India sticks on the left-side of the infield, but Bohm’s potential offensive ceiling is just slightly higher. ETA: 2020

3. Nick Madrigal, 2B White Sox | Round 1, 4th overall – A spark-plug player, with high energy, an aggressive hack, speed, and gap power. Madrigal should hit near the top of an MLB lineup in the not-too-distant-future. Played second at Oregon, but might get a shot at short in the pros. ETA: 2020

4. Casey Mize, RHP Tigers | Round 1, 1st overall – I’ve moved Mize all over my ranks, everywhere from third to twelfth, but ultimately I believe Mize will be the rare, fast-rising, high-impact college arm. They’re few and far between, but armed with four above-average to plus pitches, velocity, and swing and miss stuff, Mize has that upside. A top 10 pitching prospect in the game from the jump. ETA: 2019

5. Trevor Larnach, OF Twins | Round 1, 20th Overall – A beautiful combination of plate discipline and power, Larnach had one of the biggest hits in Oregon State history just a few weeks ago. This was another moment in the outfielder’s storybook 2018. His breakout dates back to last summer when he hit .308 on the Cape, and he carried that momentum into the spring slashing .348/.463/.652 with 19 homers and 77 RBI in 68 games for the Beavers. A 15.8% Bb% over the course of the season was nothing new for Larnach, but the .175 point jump in ISO, pushed him into another stratosphere. Lefty power from a prototypical 6’4 220 lbs frame, the Twins first rounder is one of my favorite players in this year’s class. ETA: 2020

6. Nolan Gorman, 3B Cardinals | Round 1, 19th Overall – My top prep player in 2018 first year player drafts is known for his prodigious power, and famously quick hands. There’s some swing and miss concerns, due to some holes in his swing, but nothing that can’t be ironed out. He was up and down this spring, and there are concerns he sticks at third, but the power is special. ETA: 2022

7. Victor “Victor” Mesa, OF Unsigned | International Free Agent 2018 Class – Still yet to sign, and unlikely for at least a few months, Victor Victor is one of the top young talents to leave Cuba over the last few seasons. The son of Cuban legend Victor Mesa, Victor Victor is a similar player to his father, who led the Serie Nacional in stolen bases 14 times, while hitting 270+ homers. That combination of speed, up the middle defense, and above average power makes Victor Victor a potential fantasy stud. Baseball America’s Ben Badler compared him to Victor Robles. There’s always risk with Cuban players, but the track record is strong with Mesa. ETA: 2020

8. Jarred Kelenic, OF Mets | Round 1, 6th Overall – A cold- weather outfielder, with a quick lefty stroke, and five tool potential. Kelenic’s feel to hit might be as good as anyone in the class, with great barrel control and strike-zone awareness. There’s some questions regarding just how much power and speed he’ll develop, but they’re easy to project to average or better grades. ETA: 2022

9. Jordan Groshans, 3B Blue Jays | Round 1, 12th Overall – A player with natural feel for the barrel, and raw power driven by an extra quick bat. This Spring, Groshans quieted his lower half, toning down his leg kick and adjusting his hands. The results have been harder contact, a more direct path to the ball, and better plate coverage. At 6’4, 200 LBS he has a good build, and the athleticism to stick on the left-side of the infield. The Jayshave had an eye for talent of late, and Groshans is just the latest addition to a system already stacked with infield depth. ETA: 2022

10. Kyler Murray, OF/QB Athletics | Round 1, 9th Overall – The coolest story in the 2018 draft, Murray will lead Oklahoma’s football team this fall, before joining he Athletics. There’s a lot of projection to be done with Murray as he’s never been a full time baseball player. He did improve his pitch recognition in 2018, laying off breaking balls that used to give him fits. Possibly the highest fantasy ceiling if everything clicks, but these types are always an adventure (i.e. Anthony Alford). ETA: 2022

11. Jordyn Adams, OF Angels | Round 1, 17th Overall – Another two sport star, the Angels lured Adams away from a commitment to play football and baseball at UNC. Side-note: His father is defensive line coach for the Tarheels. On the diamond Adams is a dynamic talent with 80 grade speed, average power and improving strike-zone awareness. If the Angels can sharpen his skills, Adams can develop into an elite leadoff hitter. ETA: 2022

12. Travis Swaggerty, OF Pirates | Round 1, 10th Overall – There’s some who would place the former South Alabama Star well within their Top 10. Personally I prefer the upside of the high school bats, and Kyler Murray. That speaks to the depth of this class more than anything else. Swaggerty sports an 80 grade name, and a bag of fantasy relevant tools. A lefty bat with sneaky pop, and a polished approach. He can get on base and can use his speed to push for extra bases, as well as leg out hard grounders. The speed should play in that sense, but he’s more of an above average base-stealer than a burner. In other words I wouldn’t expect any 20/20 seasons in his future. He fits the leadoff profile, but he’ll need to cut down on some of his swing and miss. Overall I see Swaggerty as a .270/.350/.450 hitter with 18-22 homers and 8-12 steals. ETA: 2020

13. Joey Bart, C Giants | Round 1, 2nd Overall – One of the best catching prospects in years, Bart is a sure thing to stick behind the dish. His plus power, strike-zone awareness, and feel to hit make him a possible elite hitting catcher. I’m not one to bet on catchers, but if Bart fell to me here I’d take him. I think as high as fifth you have a legitimate argument, but any higher is a gamble on a catching prospect. I know, I know, I ranked like a gillion prep bats just now. ETA: 2020

14. Greyson Jenista, OF Braves | Round 2, 49th Overall – The MVP of the 2017 Cape Cod League, Jenista is a lefty bat, with on base ability, power, and sneaky athleticism. There’s some swing and miss concerns due to breaking ball woes, but he can square a fastball with the best of them. College teammates with Alec Bohm at Wichita State, where he slashed .309/.446/.475 with 9 homers and 12 steals in 2018, while walking (19.1%) more than he struckout (15.7%). There’s a nice all around skillset, and debatable plus-plus raw power. That’s a fantasy stud in the making if it all translates. Lessens the blow on Braves fans after missing out on Stewart. ETA: 2020

15. Seth Beer, 1B/OF Astros | Round 1, 28th Overall – After starting his college career when he could have been a senior in high school. Beer slashed .369/.535/.700 with 18 homers, winning Baseball America’s Freshman of the year award. He’s never quite matched the batting average he flashed that season but he’s hit 38 homers over the last two campaigns. He’s wasted no time getting acclimated to pro-ball, destroying the New York-Penn League, before seeing promotion to full season Quad-City, where he’s presently slashing .379/.471/.448 through 9 contests. We’ve known of Beer for a long time, and if you’re in an open universe league, he was likely owned years ago. ETA: 2019

16. Brady Singer, RHP Royals | Round 1, 18th Overall – Singer has a lengthy college track record, two plus pitches, and a pitchers build. It’s somewhat puzzling that he dropped to 18, but outside the top 5 few teams were willing to meet his demands. The righthander’s ceiling really depends on the development of his changeup. If he’s able to develop that third pitch to his already deadly combo he can be a top of the rotation type. ETA: 2020

17. Nico Hoerner, SS Cubs | Round 1, 24th overall – A floor pick in some ways, Hoerner has a good track record of success, not only at Stanford but in the 2017 Cape League where he hit .308 with 6 homers. There’s untapped power, and a good combination of contact and approach. He’s an average runner, but he’s not a big base stealing threat. Should likely move off short, and slide over to second. ETA: 2020

18. Jeremy Eierman, SS Athletics | Round 2, 70th Overall – A steal for the A’s at 70, where they scooped him and paid him $1.3m, well above the pick slot. His track record at Missouri State was very good on both sides of the ball. He made some adjustments to his swing this year, adopting more of a crouch, but it resulted in less power, which was not the desired outcome. He’s a good base-stealer with 38 steals-on-43 attempts the last two seasons. The questions still surround his bat after poor showings on the Cape in consecutive years. An excellent defender and should stick at the shortstop position. ETA: 2020

19. Xavier Edwards, SS Padres | Competitive Balance Round, 38th Overall – A switch-hitter with a contact focused approach that fits his greatest asset; top-of-the-scale speed. He’s never going to be a home run hitter, but he might grow into a little more power. In all likelihood he’ll end up a table setter with a good average and tons of steals like a Dee Gordon. I really like Edwards, and would be willing to gamble on him. ETA: 2022

20. Noah Naylor, C Indians | Round 1, 29th Overall – The younger brother of the Padres Josh Naylor, Noah is a different body type and hitting style. He’s more of an elite contact guy, than elite power, though some scouts put his hit tool tops in the draft. He’ll likely move off catcher, and slide to third base, but his bat should play enough to stick there, particularly if his power ticks up to plus. A great gamble to take outside the top 15 players in first year player drafts. ETA: 2022

21. Cole Winn, RHP Rangers | Round 1, 15th Overall – The best prep arm in the draft emerged from the California prep ranks, dazzling with a low-mid 90’s fastball, a plus 12-6 curveball, and a slider he’s showing improved feel and shape on. High school righthanders are a tough bet this early with lots of college arms left, but I really believe in Winn’s upside. ETA: 2022

22. Matthew Liberatore, LHP Rays | Round 1 16th Overall – A lefty with a advanced understanding of pitching and a real competitive fire, Liberatore was the top lefty and prep arm on many lists. His four-pitch mix is led by a plus low-70s curveball, and plus mid-80’s changeup. His fastball sits low 90’s but has shown 96 in flashes. He added a slider this spring, it’s a work in progress, but Liberatore’s pitchability gives me confidence he can develop it. Overall a good stash for deep dynasty leagues where pitching is scarce. ETA: 2022

23. Marco Luciano, SS Giants | International Free Agent: $2.6 Million Bonus –When I spoke with Ben Badler of Baseball America a few weeks ago on the Baseball Show(shameless plug: You should be watching this!) he was raving about Luciano’s offensive upside. He described his power as effortless, from a compact yet explosive swing. His power has shown in games, and he uses the whole field driving balls the opposite way with authority. He has slightly above average speed, and should stick at short for now, though the move to third is reportedly eventual. There’s some swing and miss concerns, but the reports of late have noted noticeable improvement in that area. ETA: 2023

24. Tristan Casas, 1B/3B Red Sox | Round 1, 26th Overall – An elite power bat likely headed to first base at one point, but not until he gets some surgery on his thumb. The injury will keep him out for the rest of 2018, but what Sox fans have to look forward to is a plus-plus power bat with the ability to grind-out at-bats. He’s big at 6’4 240, but works hard to maintain his weight. ETA: 2022

25. Shane McClanahan, LHP Rays | Round 1 Compensation, 31st Overall – Lefties that hit 100 consistently on the gun are few and far between, and that’s exactly what McClanahan is. His command leaves a lot to be desired, as do his secondaries, though they can flash plus. He mixes a changeup and slider with his heater, with the changeup widely considered the better of the two. He’s already missed a season due to Tommy John, and isn’t the biggest guy in the world, so there are reasonable durability issues. If it all comes together he could be up there with Mize for the best pitcher in the class, but there’s a wide range of outcomes. At worst he could develop into an elite bullpen option for the relief-happy Rays. ETA: 2020

26. Jeremiah Jackson, SS Angels | Round 2, 57th Overall – Explosive bat speed, good feel to hit and above-average raw power make Jackson’s hit-first middle infielder profile a good bet in fantasy. He’ll likely move to second long term. ETA: 2022

27. Connor Scott, OF Marlins | Round 1, 11th Overall – An exciting all-around player, with speed, athleticism, developing power, and the ability to stick in the middle of the field. Scott is a grade A specimen, and a product of the same high school that produced Kyle Tucker and numerous others. He gets Tucker comps due to the athleticism and bat path, but his swing is rawer than Tucker’s coming out of Plant High, and it’s noticeable how little of his lower half he uses. If he improves at the plate and reaches he maximum potential this could be a great pick for the Marlins. That’s an unlikely outcome as there is inherent risk. ETA: 2022

28. Logan Gilbert, RHP Mariners | Round 1, 14th Overall – A big righty that lit up the radar guns last summer during his Cape League tenure, Gilbert did not have the same velocity in 2018. His secondaries are iffy, with two breaking balls, neither of which are very sharp, and an under used changeup. There’s some projection and a big 6’6 frame to dream on, if his Cape League stuff returns he can develop into a frontline guy. ETA: 2020

29. Steele Walker, OF White Sox | Round 2, 46th Overall – The former Oklahoma standout has a great track record hitting with wood bats, and a nice floor as a hit tool corner outfielder. His power is likely average, with below average foot-speed that might stick him in left. He has the bat, and elite hand-eye coordination to hit for a high average year after year. A safe pick after the top names are gone. ETA: 2020

30. Tristan Pompey, OF Marlins | Round 3, 89th Overall – A switch-hitter with power from both sides of the plate. Pompey is yet to tap into his tape-measure batting practice raw, but he rips line-drives all over the field. He’s not an elite runner but he will pick his spots. Might really out perform his draft slot, with great rewards for his fantasy owners. ETA: 2020

 

The Rest Of My Top 50

31. Nick Schnell, OF Rays | Round 1 Compensation, 32nd Overall

32. Alek Thomas, OF Diamondbacks | Round 2, 63rd Overall

33. Griffin Conine, OF Blue Jays | Round 2, 52nd Overall

34. Jackson Kowar, RHP Royals | Round 1 Compensation, 33rd Overall

35. Joe Gray, OF Brewers | Round 2, 60th Overall

36. Parker Meadows, OF Tigers | Round 2, 44th Overall

37. Brice Turang, SS Brewers | Round 1, 21st Overall

38. Noelvi Marte, Mariners | International Signing

39. Orelvis Martinez, Blue Jays | International Signing

40. Jameson Hannah, OF Athletics | Round 2, 50th Overall

41. Juan Guerrero, SS Rockies | International Signing

42. Jairo Pomares, Giants | International Signing

43. Mike Siani, OF Reds | Round 4, 109th Overall

44. Josh Stowers, OF Mariners | Round 2, 54th Overall

45. Grant LaVigne, 1B Rockies | Competative Balance Round, 42nd Overall

46. Ryan Weathers, LHP Padres | Round 1, 7th Overall

47. Jake McCarthy, OF Diamondbacks | Competative Balance Round, 39th Overall

48. Ethan Hankins, RHP Indians | Round 1 Compensation, 35th Overall

49. Anthony Seigler, C Yankees | Round 1, 23rd Overall

50. Brennan Davis, OF Cubs | Round 2, 62nd Overall

 

https://razzball.com/2018-first-year-player-draft-rankings-edition-one/

Old-Timey Member
Posted
I've never regarded Biggio as anything, in terms of future with the BJs. Do you think he has a shot to play in the majors? And be impactful?

 

Sure he can, he's always been a OBP guy and if the power stays consistent he should be able to stick at any position.

Posted
I've never regarded Biggio as anything, in terms of future with the BJs. Do you think he has a shot to play in the majors? And be impactful?

 

He's a real prospect now. Have you been under a rock these past few months or something?

Posted
I've never regarded Biggio as anything, in terms of future with the BJs. Do you think he has a shot to play in the majors? And be impactful?

 

:confused: Don't forget Smith... lots of guys making big steps man.

Posted
[h=3]First Year Player Draft Ranks (2018 MLB Draft and July 2nd)[/h]1. Alec Bohm, 3B Phillies | Round 1, 3rd overall – The best combination of hit and power in the draft. Advanced college hitters in the top ten have a strong track record. The bat speed, understanding of the strike-zone, and easy power allow his bat to play even if he’s moved to first base long term. ETA: 2020

2. Jonathan India, 3B Reds | Round 1, 5th overall – Elite bat speed, good feel to hit, improving power and approach, India took a huge leap forward in 2018. Neck and neck with Bohm for the first spot, no one else was in consideration. There’s a better shot India sticks on the left-side of the infield, but Bohm’s potential offensive ceiling is just slightly higher. ETA: 2020

3. Nick Madrigal, 2B White Sox | Round 1, 4th overall – A spark-plug player, with high energy, an aggressive hack, speed, and gap power. Madrigal should hit near the top of an MLB lineup in the not-too-distant-future. Played second at Oregon, but might get a shot at short in the pros. ETA: 2020

4. Casey Mize, RHP Tigers | Round 1, 1st overall – I’ve moved Mize all over my ranks, everywhere from third to twelfth, but ultimately I believe Mize will be the rare, fast-rising, high-impact college arm. They’re few and far between, but armed with four above-average to plus pitches, velocity, and swing and miss stuff, Mize has that upside. A top 10 pitching prospect in the game from the jump. ETA: 2019

5. Trevor Larnach, OF Twins | Round 1, 20th Overall – A beautiful combination of plate discipline and power, Larnach had one of the biggest hits in Oregon State history just a few weeks ago. This was another moment in the outfielder’s storybook 2018. His breakout dates back to last summer when he hit .308 on the Cape, and he carried that momentum into the spring slashing .348/.463/.652 with 19 homers and 77 RBI in 68 games for the Beavers. A 15.8% Bb% over the course of the season was nothing new for Larnach, but the .175 point jump in ISO, pushed him into another stratosphere. Lefty power from a prototypical 6’4 220 lbs frame, the Twins first rounder is one of my favorite players in this year’s class. ETA: 2020

6. Nolan Gorman, 3B Cardinals | Round 1, 19th Overall – My top prep player in 2018 first year player drafts is known for his prodigious power, and famously quick hands. There’s some swing and miss concerns, due to some holes in his swing, but nothing that can’t be ironed out. He was up and down this spring, and there are concerns he sticks at third, but the power is special. ETA: 2022

7. Victor “Victor” Mesa, OF Unsigned | International Free Agent 2018 Class – Still yet to sign, and unlikely for at least a few months, Victor Victor is one of the top young talents to leave Cuba over the last few seasons. The son of Cuban legend Victor Mesa, Victor Victor is a similar player to his father, who led the Serie Nacional in stolen bases 14 times, while hitting 270+ homers. That combination of speed, up the middle defense, and above average power makes Victor Victor a potential fantasy stud. Baseball America’s Ben Badler compared him to Victor Robles. There’s always risk with Cuban players, but the track record is strong with Mesa. ETA: 2020

8. Jarred Kelenic, OF Mets | Round 1, 6th Overall – A cold- weather outfielder, with a quick lefty stroke, and five tool potential. Kelenic’s feel to hit might be as good as anyone in the class, with great barrel control and strike-zone awareness. There’s some questions regarding just how much power and speed he’ll develop, but they’re easy to project to average or better grades. ETA: 2022

9. Jordan Groshans, 3B Blue Jays | Round 1, 12th Overall – A player with natural feel for the barrel, and raw power driven by an extra quick bat. This Spring, Groshans quieted his lower half, toning down his leg kick and adjusting his hands. The results have been harder contact, a more direct path to the ball, and better plate coverage. At 6’4, 200 LBS he has a good build, and the athleticism to stick on the left-side of the infield. The Jayshave had an eye for talent of late, and Groshans is just the latest addition to a system already stacked with infield depth. ETA: 2022

10. Kyler Murray, OF/QB Athletics | Round 1, 9th Overall – The coolest story in the 2018 draft, Murray will lead Oklahoma’s football team this fall, before joining he Athletics. There’s a lot of projection to be done with Murray as he’s never been a full time baseball player. He did improve his pitch recognition in 2018, laying off breaking balls that used to give him fits. Possibly the highest fantasy ceiling if everything clicks, but these types are always an adventure (i.e. Anthony Alford). ETA: 2022

11. Jordyn Adams, OF Angels | Round 1, 17th Overall – Another two sport star, the Angels lured Adams away from a commitment to play football and baseball at UNC. Side-note: His father is defensive line coach for the Tarheels. On the diamond Adams is a dynamic talent with 80 grade speed, average power and improving strike-zone awareness. If the Angels can sharpen his skills, Adams can develop into an elite leadoff hitter. ETA: 2022

12. Travis Swaggerty, OF Pirates | Round 1, 10th Overall – There’s some who would place the former South Alabama Star well within their Top 10. Personally I prefer the upside of the high school bats, and Kyler Murray. That speaks to the depth of this class more than anything else. Swaggerty sports an 80 grade name, and a bag of fantasy relevant tools. A lefty bat with sneaky pop, and a polished approach. He can get on base and can use his speed to push for extra bases, as well as leg out hard grounders. The speed should play in that sense, but he’s more of an above average base-stealer than a burner. In other words I wouldn’t expect any 20/20 seasons in his future. He fits the leadoff profile, but he’ll need to cut down on some of his swing and miss. Overall I see Swaggerty as a .270/.350/.450 hitter with 18-22 homers and 8-12 steals. ETA: 2020

13. Joey Bart, C Giants | Round 1, 2nd Overall – One of the best catching prospects in years, Bart is a sure thing to stick behind the dish. His plus power, strike-zone awareness, and feel to hit make him a possible elite hitting catcher. I’m not one to bet on catchers, but if Bart fell to me here I’d take him. I think as high as fifth you have a legitimate argument, but any higher is a gamble on a catching prospect. I know, I know, I ranked like a gillion prep bats just now. ETA: 2020

14. Greyson Jenista, OF Braves | Round 2, 49th Overall – The MVP of the 2017 Cape Cod League, Jenista is a lefty bat, with on base ability, power, and sneaky athleticism. There’s some swing and miss concerns due to breaking ball woes, but he can square a fastball with the best of them. College teammates with Alec Bohm at Wichita State, where he slashed .309/.446/.475 with 9 homers and 12 steals in 2018, while walking (19.1%) more than he struckout (15.7%). There’s a nice all around skillset, and debatable plus-plus raw power. That’s a fantasy stud in the making if it all translates. Lessens the blow on Braves fans after missing out on Stewart. ETA: 2020

15. Seth Beer, 1B/OF Astros | Round 1, 28th Overall – After starting his college career when he could have been a senior in high school. Beer slashed .369/.535/.700 with 18 homers, winning Baseball America’s Freshman of the year award. He’s never quite matched the batting average he flashed that season but he’s hit 38 homers over the last two campaigns. He’s wasted no time getting acclimated to pro-ball, destroying the New York-Penn League, before seeing promotion to full season Quad-City, where he’s presently slashing .379/.471/.448 through 9 contests. We’ve known of Beer for a long time, and if you’re in an open universe league, he was likely owned years ago. ETA: 2019

16. Brady Singer, RHP Royals | Round 1, 18th Overall – Singer has a lengthy college track record, two plus pitches, and a pitchers build. It’s somewhat puzzling that he dropped to 18, but outside the top 5 few teams were willing to meet his demands. The righthander’s ceiling really depends on the development of his changeup. If he’s able to develop that third pitch to his already deadly combo he can be a top of the rotation type. ETA: 2020

17. Nico Hoerner, SS Cubs | Round 1, 24th overall – A floor pick in some ways, Hoerner has a good track record of success, not only at Stanford but in the 2017 Cape League where he hit .308 with 6 homers. There’s untapped power, and a good combination of contact and approach. He’s an average runner, but he’s not a big base stealing threat. Should likely move off short, and slide over to second. ETA: 2020

18. Jeremy Eierman, SS Athletics | Round 2, 70th Overall – A steal for the A’s at 70, where they scooped him and paid him $1.3m, well above the pick slot. His track record at Missouri State was very good on both sides of the ball. He made some adjustments to his swing this year, adopting more of a crouch, but it resulted in less power, which was not the desired outcome. He’s a good base-stealer with 38 steals-on-43 attempts the last two seasons. The questions still surround his bat after poor showings on the Cape in consecutive years. An excellent defender and should stick at the shortstop position. ETA: 2020

19. Xavier Edwards, SS Padres | Competitive Balance Round, 38th Overall – A switch-hitter with a contact focused approach that fits his greatest asset; top-of-the-scale speed. He’s never going to be a home run hitter, but he might grow into a little more power. In all likelihood he’ll end up a table setter with a good average and tons of steals like a Dee Gordon. I really like Edwards, and would be willing to gamble on him. ETA: 2022

20. Noah Naylor, C Indians | Round 1, 29th Overall – The younger brother of the Padres Josh Naylor, Noah is a different body type and hitting style. He’s more of an elite contact guy, than elite power, though some scouts put his hit tool tops in the draft. He’ll likely move off catcher, and slide to third base, but his bat should play enough to stick there, particularly if his power ticks up to plus. A great gamble to take outside the top 15 players in first year player drafts. ETA: 2022

21. Cole Winn, RHP Rangers | Round 1, 15th Overall – The best prep arm in the draft emerged from the California prep ranks, dazzling with a low-mid 90’s fastball, a plus 12-6 curveball, and a slider he’s showing improved feel and shape on. High school righthanders are a tough bet this early with lots of college arms left, but I really believe in Winn’s upside. ETA: 2022

22. Matthew Liberatore, LHP Rays | Round 1 16th Overall – A lefty with a advanced understanding of pitching and a real competitive fire, Liberatore was the top lefty and prep arm on many lists. His four-pitch mix is led by a plus low-70s curveball, and plus mid-80’s changeup. His fastball sits low 90’s but has shown 96 in flashes. He added a slider this spring, it’s a work in progress, but Liberatore’s pitchability gives me confidence he can develop it. Overall a good stash for deep dynasty leagues where pitching is scarce. ETA: 2022

23. Marco Luciano, SS Giants | International Free Agent: $2.6 Million Bonus –When I spoke with Ben Badler of Baseball America a few weeks ago on the Baseball Show(shameless plug: You should be watching this!) he was raving about Luciano’s offensive upside. He described his power as effortless, from a compact yet explosive swing. His power has shown in games, and he uses the whole field driving balls the opposite way with authority. He has slightly above average speed, and should stick at short for now, though the move to third is reportedly eventual. There’s some swing and miss concerns, but the reports of late have noted noticeable improvement in that area. ETA: 2023

24. Tristan Casas, 1B/3B Red Sox | Round 1, 26th Overall – An elite power bat likely headed to first base at one point, but not until he gets some surgery on his thumb. The injury will keep him out for the rest of 2018, but what Sox fans have to look forward to is a plus-plus power bat with the ability to grind-out at-bats. He’s big at 6’4 240, but works hard to maintain his weight. ETA: 2022

25. Shane McClanahan, LHP Rays | Round 1 Compensation, 31st Overall – Lefties that hit 100 consistently on the gun are few and far between, and that’s exactly what McClanahan is. His command leaves a lot to be desired, as do his secondaries, though they can flash plus. He mixes a changeup and slider with his heater, with the changeup widely considered the better of the two. He’s already missed a season due to Tommy John, and isn’t the biggest guy in the world, so there are reasonable durability issues. If it all comes together he could be up there with Mize for the best pitcher in the class, but there’s a wide range of outcomes. At worst he could develop into an elite bullpen option for the relief-happy Rays. ETA: 2020

26. Jeremiah Jackson, SS Angels | Round 2, 57th Overall – Explosive bat speed, good feel to hit and above-average raw power make Jackson’s hit-first middle infielder profile a good bet in fantasy. He’ll likely move to second long term. ETA: 2022

27. Connor Scott, OF Marlins | Round 1, 11th Overall – An exciting all-around player, with speed, athleticism, developing power, and the ability to stick in the middle of the field. Scott is a grade A specimen, and a product of the same high school that produced Kyle Tucker and numerous others. He gets Tucker comps due to the athleticism and bat path, but his swing is rawer than Tucker’s coming out of Plant High, and it’s noticeable how little of his lower half he uses. If he improves at the plate and reaches he maximum potential this could be a great pick for the Marlins. That’s an unlikely outcome as there is inherent risk. ETA: 2022

28. Logan Gilbert, RHP Mariners | Round 1, 14th Overall – A big righty that lit up the radar guns last summer during his Cape League tenure, Gilbert did not have the same velocity in 2018. His secondaries are iffy, with two breaking balls, neither of which are very sharp, and an under used changeup. There’s some projection and a big 6’6 frame to dream on, if his Cape League stuff returns he can develop into a frontline guy. ETA: 2020

29. Steele Walker, OF White Sox | Round 2, 46th Overall – The former Oklahoma standout has a great track record hitting with wood bats, and a nice floor as a hit tool corner outfielder. His power is likely average, with below average foot-speed that might stick him in left. He has the bat, and elite hand-eye coordination to hit for a high average year after year. A safe pick after the top names are gone. ETA: 2020

30. Tristan Pompey, OF Marlins | Round 3, 89th Overall – A switch-hitter with power from both sides of the plate. Pompey is yet to tap into his tape-measure batting practice raw, but he rips line-drives all over the field. He’s not an elite runner but he will pick his spots. Might really out perform his draft slot, with great rewards for his fantasy owners. ETA: 2020

 

The Rest Of My Top 50

31. Nick Schnell, OF Rays | Round 1 Compensation, 32nd Overall

32. Alek Thomas, OF Diamondbacks | Round 2, 63rd Overall

33. Griffin Conine, OF Blue Jays | Round 2, 52nd Overall

34. Jackson Kowar, RHP Royals | Round 1 Compensation, 33rd Overall

35. Joe Gray, OF Brewers | Round 2, 60th Overall

36. Parker Meadows, OF Tigers | Round 2, 44th Overall

37. Brice Turang, SS Brewers | Round 1, 21st Overall

38. Noelvi Marte, Mariners | International Signing

39. Orelvis Martinez, Blue Jays | International Signing

40. Jameson Hannah, OF Athletics | Round 2, 50th Overall

41. Juan Guerrero, SS Rockies | International Signing

42. Jairo Pomares, Giants | International Signing

43. Mike Siani, OF Reds | Round 4, 109th Overall

44. Josh Stowers, OF Mariners | Round 2, 54th Overall

45. Grant LaVigne, 1B Rockies | Competative Balance Round, 42nd Overall

46. Ryan Weathers, LHP Padres | Round 1, 7th Overall

47. Jake McCarthy, OF Diamondbacks | Competative Balance Round, 39th Overall

48. Ethan Hankins, RHP Indians | Round 1 Compensation, 35th Overall

49. Anthony Seigler, C Yankees | Round 1, 23rd Overall

50. Brennan Davis, OF Cubs | Round 2, 62nd Overall

 

https://razzball.com/2018-first-year-player-draft-rankings-edition-one/

 

I'm with you on liking Lifshitz, really enjoy him.

Posted
I just read the other day that he has years at 3rd and will eventually move to 1st?

 

-Longenhagen in his chat. Amongst others Badler, Sickel, Jays FO... Jim know's best.

 

Good to know.

 

Stop being a dickhead.

Posted

Vlad Guerrero Jr. Update - July 9th 2018

 

Olerud Prediction - Unknown return date, unknown future career implications, situation worrisome.

 

BJMB Prediction - Out four weeks, everything will be fine. Will Play July 8th 2018.

 

Reality - All we know now is no Vlad on July 8th. Whispers are he hasn't run yet.

 

What to look for week of July 9th -

 

Positive Indicators - Concrete news that he is running pain free and a concrete return date (At this point the soonest he will return is about July 18th)

 

Negative Indicators - No news or vague "positive" reports from Wilner that Vlad is doing agility exercises.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

BA hot sheet.

 

Team: Double-A New Hampshire (Eastern)

Age: 23

Why He’s Here: .286/.500/.762 (6-for-21), 8 R, 1 2B, 3 HR, 6 RBIs, 9 BB, 9 SO, 2-for-2 SB

 

The Scoop: After a monster two-month stretch to open the season, Biggio’s performance cooled in June, but he’s off to a great start to July. An offseason adjustment to lower his hand setup has helped his bat stay through the hitting zone longer, with Biggio transforming from a longshot prospect to one of the better players in Toronto’s talented farm system. (BB)

Posted
Vlad Guerrero Jr. Update - July 9th 2018

 

Olerud Prediction - Unknown return date, unknown future career implications, situation worrisome.

 

BJMB Prediction - Out four weeks, everything will be fine. Will Play July 8th 2018.

 

Reality - All we know now is no Vlad on July 8th. Whispers are he hasn't run yet.

 

What to look for week of July 9th -

 

Positive Indicators - Concrete news that he is running pain free and a concrete return date (At this point the soonest he will return is about July 18th)

 

Negative Indicators - No news or vague "positive" reports from Wilner that Vlad is doing agility exercises.

 

Good job dude! It only took you 5 years to finally be right about something. You're improving!

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Vlad Guerrero Jr. Update - July 9th 2018

 

Olerud Prediction - Unknown return date, unknown future career implications, situation worrisome.

 

BJMB Prediction - Out four weeks, everything will be fine. Will Play July 8th 2018.

 

Reality - All we know now is no Vlad on July 8th. Whispers are he hasn't run yet.

 

What to look for week of July 9th -

 

Positive Indicators - Concrete news that he is running pain free and a concrete return date (At this point the soonest he will return is about July 18th)

 

Negative Indicators - No news or vague "positive" reports from Wilner that Vlad is doing agility exercises.

 

I'll echo Dinger

 

You need to get laid

Posted
Good job dude! It only took you 5 years to finally be right about something. You're improving!

 

I wish I wasn't right on this one. Yes it will probably be the first time I'm right on anything. Not that I'm right yet... I mean we'll see. At this point hopefully he's back in a week or two.

 

I can't really think of things I've been right on. I was wrong on Travis Snider, Dalton Pompey, and every year I've always thought Kevin Pillar had an all star season in him (based on minor stats and defense).

 

I wish I was right on these ones.

Posted
I'll echo Dinger

 

You need to get laid

 

Easy enough to say for you corporate bros, the same skills that help you climb the corporate ladder, help you pick up women. The same skills that help me annoy all of you, annoy women.

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