2015 MLB Season O/U Win Totals

[burlingtonbandit]

Even though there will still be a few moves until ST a Nevada sportsbook set their O/U win totals for the 2015 season. My 5 picks would be:

White Sox Under

Padres Under

Rays Over

Orioles Under

Cubs Over (was leaning towards Mariners Over but you could take either one I think)

 

AL EAST WIN TOTAL

Red Sox 86

Orioles 84.5

Blue Jays 83.5

Yankees 80

Rays 77.5

 

AL CENTRAL WIN TOTAL

Tigers 86.5

Royals 83

White Sox 82

Indians 81

Twins 68.5

 

AL WEST WIN TOTAL

Angels 87.5

Mariners 85

A's 82.5

Rangers 76.5

Astros 73.5

 

NL EAST WIN TOTAL

Nationals 93

Marlins 81.5

Mets 81

Braves 73

Phillies 67

 

NL CENTRAL WIN TOTAL

Cardinals 87.5

Pirates 85.5

Cubs 81.5

Brewers 80

Reds 79

 

NL WEST WIN TOTAL

Dodgers 91

Giants 85

Padres 84

Diamondbacks 72.5

Rockies 70.5

 

http://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/700435

Edited February 13, 2015 by burlingtonbandit

[TheHurl]

did you make up these numbers? I haven't seen anyone post yet.

 

Edit saw the first line now. I'd expect some movement either in the actual numbers or lines involved. The Padres will get huge action at 84, just judging by what the casuals are saying about their off season.

 

My top 5 overs

 

1. Rays

2. A's

3. Braves

4. Indians

5. Reds

 

My top 5 unders

 

1. Padres

2. White Sox

3. Pirates

4. O's

5. Royals

[jaysfan2014]

AL EAST:

Red Sox 86--Under--not convinced on their moves, and Cherington's history with free agents and trades is not good (see Melancon, Bailey, Hanrahan, Peavy, and possibly the Lackey and Lester trades as well.)

Orioles 84.5--Push to Under, depending on pitching and offensive regression.

Blue Jays 83.5 OVER

Yankees 80 Under

Rays 77.5 OVER

 

AL CENTRAL:

Tigers-- UNDER

Royals--Push

White Sox--Push

Indians--Over

Twins--Over

 

AL WEST

Angels--Under

Mariners--Over

A's--Push

Rangers--Push

Astros--Over

 

NL EAST

Nationals--Push

Marlins--Over

Mets--Over

Braves--Push

Phillies--Push

 

NL Central

Cardinals--Push

Pirates--Push

Cubs--Push

Brewers--Under

Reds--Under

 

NL WEST

Dodgers--Under

Giants--Push

Padres--Push

D-Backs--Push

Rockies--slightly Over

[burlingtonbandit]

did you make up these numbers? I haven't seen anyone post yet.

 

Edit saw the first line now. I'd expect some movement either in the actual numbers or lines involved. The Padres will get huge action at 84, just judging by what the casuals are saying about their off season.

 

My top 5 overs

 

1. Rays

2. A's

3. Braves

4. Indians

5. Reds

 

My top 5 unders

 

1. Padres

2. White Sox

3. Pirates

4. O's

5. Royals

 

I edited the link into the post. Yeah I think the Padres are my top choice for the under. Their OF defense would be awful in any park, let alone playing in one of the largest in the Majors.

[NorthOf49]

The Padres don't have an infield lol and many of their pitchers' perceived values are inflated by Petco. Ian Kennedy and Tyson Ross aren't actually top of the rotation guys. They just aren't a very good team; an easy under.

 

I also like Mets under, Orioles under and Rays over. This forum is probably close to a consensus on the latter two.

[Laika]

Padres UNDER

Nats UNDER

Twins OVER

Cubes OVER

 

all look like great bets IMO

[Governator]

Jays will be over 83 this year, one thing's for sure I'm genuinely looking forward to this season drastically more than last.

[jays76]

The Padres don't have an infield lol and many of their pitchers' perceived values are inflated by Petco. Ian Kennedy and Tyson Ross aren't actually top of the rotation guys. They just aren't a very good team; an easy under.

 

I also like Mets under, Orioles under and Rays over. This forum is probably close to a consensus on the latter two.

 

Padres are the sexy team this yr, kind of like we were in 2013.

[jays76]

Under:

Dodgers

Padres

Nats

Rays (I think they get worked over this yr minus Maddon)

 

Over:

Jays

Astros

Mariners

Twins

[Angrioter]

Under

O's

White Sox

Padres

 

Over

Blue Jays

Indians

Rays

[Deadpool]

If I didn't rent, I'd bet my house on the O's under that... I wonder if I can talk my super into betting the whole building...

[L54]

Indians seem like a good over bet to me.

[reedjohnsonfan]

I haven't done the projections yet but this is one of my favourite things to bet on. If I were to knee-jerk bet:

 

Over

Yankees

Indians

Astros

Mets

Padres

 

Under

Rays

Royals

Nationals

Cubs

Diamondbacks

[TheHurl]

I haven't done the projections yet

 

I don't know why this made me laugh so hard but it was a full on out loud belly laugh

[Chappy]

I bet a friend $50 on the Marlins to win under 90 games. I don't what he was thinking.

[Orgfiller]

I bet a friend $50 on the Marlins to win under 90 games. I don't what he was thinking.

 

You should get better friends.

 

Jk

[reedjohnsonfan]

I don't know why this made me laugh so hard but it was a full on out loud belly laugh

 

Hehe well I use Steamer projections + some special sauce, so I obviously don't make my own projections without a lot of help

[Chappy]

You should get better friends.

 

Jk

 

No need to jk, it's true. In terms of baseball knowledge this guy is mentally challenged with the confidence of a world champion.

[Chappy]

Hehe well I use Steamer projections + some special sauce, so I obviously don't make my own projections without a lot of help

 

You should probably be really offended tbh.

[Captain Adama]

Hehe well I use Steamer projections + some special sauce, so I obviously don't make my own projections without a lot of help

 

Diana's sauce on Steamer?

[Spanky99]

No need to jk, it's true. In terms of baseball knowledge this guy is mentally challenged with the confidence of a world champion.

 

Tell em, I'm in!

[Dick_Pole]

Is it just me, or is that Cleveland one really f***ed up? Seriously, only 81 wins playing in a pretty weak division?

 

If there's a good bet to be made, you take Indians +1 vs the White Sox if you can find it.

 

One thing that really hit me when looking at these totals - nobody in the AL is expected to be that good. 87 wins gets home field through the ALCS. The Jays really do have a shot at the playoffs this year! I don't remember a time where there wasn't 2 or 3 teams expected to be at 90+ in the AL.

[Dick_Pole]

AL EAST:

Red Sox 86--Under--not convinced on their moves, and Cherington's history with free agents and trades is not good (see Melancon, Bailey, Hanrahan, Peavy, and possibly the Lackey and Lester trades as well.)

Orioles 84.5--Push to Under, depending on pitching and offensive regression.

Blue Jays 83.5 OVER

Yankees 80 Under

Rays 77.5 OVER

 

AL CENTRAL:

Tigers-- UNDER

Royals--Push

White Sox--Push

Indians--Over

Twins--Over

 

AL WEST

Angels--Under

Mariners--Over

A's--Push

Rangers--Push

Astros--Over

 

NL EAST

Nationals--Push

Marlins--Over

Mets--Over

Braves--Push

Phillies--Push

 

NL Central

Cardinals--Push

Pirates--Push

Cubs--Push

Brewers--Under

Reds--Under

 

NL WEST

Dodgers--Under

Giants--Push

Padres--Push

D-Backs--Push

Rockies--slightly Over

 

Gotta love this guy...plays his character well...makes a nice long rant against Boston, a little snide comment about the O's...then every other team its "aww f*** it...push...I don't really give a s***"

[Nexii]

All teams might be projected for 87 or in the AL, but the most any AL team was projected for in 2014 was also ~89. A few teams will always exceed the projections, so 87 games won't take the ALCS home field advantage. Most likely it'll be around 97-100 again.

[reedjohnsonfan]

Diana's sauce on Steamer?

 

More like Big Mac sauce. Only using Steamer and nothing else would be pretty myopic, wouldn't it?

[Dick_Pole]

All teams might be projected for 87 or in the AL, but the most any AL team was projected for in 2014 was also ~89. A few teams will always exceed the projections, so 87 games won't take the ALCS home field advantage. Most likely it'll be around 97-100 again.

 

Of course. I was being facetious with my post. Vegas lines aren't even real projections but an estimate of what sportbooks believe lines need to be to get a 50-50 split of money betting on either side so they don't expose themselves to actually making bets and just collect on the spreads. But there is an underlying truth to it - the AL crown is more up for grabs than it has been for years. Half the teams have a legitimate shot. AA picked a good year to get his act together and solve some of this team's glaring problems. It the NL 90% of people are going to pick the Nationals or Dodgers as the NLCS winner with the other 10% being "sleeper" picks of the Cardinals and Giants.

[TheHurl]

Gotta love this guy...plays his character well...makes a nice long rant against Boston, a little snide comment about the O's...then every other team its "aww f*** it...push...I don't really give a s***"

 

I love anyone that is calling for a push on half game bets.

[Spanky99]

I don't even get saying push? It will be regardless of the bet, and if he's calling a push on a half, well then, he's a retard. I've assumed this long ago though, hence my ignore list.

[burlingtonbandit]

One thing about over/under bets to take into consideration is you don't want to bet the over on teams who aren't going to win many games unless you think its a lock. Bad teams can trade their good players mid season making them even worse for the rest of the season causing their projected win total to fall.

[TwistedLogic]

Rays under. O's over.