Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

Nexii

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    374

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Toronto Blue Jays Videos

2026 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospect Rankings

Toronto Blue Jays Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Toronto Blue Jays Fan Guides & Resources

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Toronto Blue Jays News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Nexii

  1. Nexii
    Yea it's hard to say. Wind and spin have such an effect. I was going more by the spray chart, these look further than the actual data charts
  2. Nexii
    It was hit 105 EV and 49 degrees. By Statcast thats usually about 350-365 feet. Usually a flyout but where that was right down the line I think it would have gone out.
  3. Nexii
    Definitely would have been a home run That tops the ball in the wall for the Jays last WS
  4. Nexii
    Well I think it goes kind of beyond Schneider. Paying Vlad 100M above market value basically was telling him he was special for some reason I still don't understand. No other team was going to give him 500M so it was strange. It really sounds like something an agent might have said to him at some point. Of course it is true of free agency, players are paid based on past performance, MLB is structured that way. But a player should kinda know never to use that as an excuse for lower than expected performance.
  5. Nexii
    Yea I did some rough math. It was 43 games in both 2024 and 2025 which is the exact expected, if every game was 50/50. 32 is minimum possible, 53 max. Yea very small sample size.
  6. Nexii
    Well I think usually it's not even about the risk/return money wise. The psychology of it is probably even stranger than we think. I think to a lot of E-sports players who threw games for almost nothing and were banned for life. Or even Clase, the small kickbacks he got wouldn't have even covered the future salary loss. I think what more often happens is it's done for the thrill of getting away with it. Or it's done as a sort of 'favor' to friends/family. That is, it's more of an emotional thing when done than rational. And so giving harsher punishments has some deterrant but less than we might think. But I also think as MLB gets more in bed with gambling sites, the potential for really big scandals occurring is increasing. We think of this from a player perspective, but the people who run gambling sites get tempted too. It might not even take a whole company being in on it. Again, it's not rational but this is how it goes. Would be an interesting FanGraphs article. Were there more post-season games than pure odds would dictate? Doesn't seem like it would be hard to calculate out.
  7. Nexii
    Feeling good, our playoff odds have really recovered lately
  8. Nexii
    Yea lol when the projection is all 3 wildcards will come out of the AL East. It would have happened in 2025 if Baltimore didn't underperform so badly
  9. Nexii
    The way I look at it, teams like the Jays and Phillies made the other teams overpay. That's not always such a bad thing.
  10. Nexii
    I'm trying to remember where the Jays ranked in projected WAR during the last offseason. We certainly weren't 3rd in the league. It's kind of insane how far ahead the Dodgers are over everyone though... 7 wins over the Yankees is mindblowing
  11. Nexii
    Given what Bo got, he's probably going to get like 5/200. Teams are getting pretty spendy now
  12. Nexii
    Revenue sharing already looks pretty significant in MLB? Something like 200M per team, is that really true? It seems the issue is teams not spending their revenue sharing. They should lose every dollar that they don't spend on salaries, IMO. If they did I'm not sure you'd really even need a luxury tax.
  13. Nexii
    Yea I'm not worried about not getting a bat. I really hope we can get one more decent RP though. Our pen still only projects to be average-ish
  14. Nexii
    Really seems like it. I wonder if anyone can do a breakdown but it feels like hardly anyone has been signed for their age 36+ seasons.
  15. Nexii
    They're a few years older though. Age matters a lot for the final contract
  16. Nexii
    What do people think Bo is going to get now? I'm thinking Jays give him 8/250 Not sure why, that's probably an overpay too
  17. Nexii
    240/4 is literally bonkers.
  18. Nexii
    The playoffs will be very easy to make
  19. Nexii
    I feel like upgrading the pen might be the best value. 3.9 WAR isn't exactly great.
  20. Nexii
    Looking at Manoah's peripherals it is kind of a weird case. Like he got very lucky in early years then very unlucky towards the end. His velocity didn't actually drop all that much. Command was really bad in 2023, though. 2024 peripherals were back to 2021-22 levels. I guess if you get injured, that's kinda the end though regardless of prior results.
  21. Nexii
    Aren't the teams doing deferrals mostly so players can avoid income taxes? Therefore increasing a player's take-home pay without costing the team anything in the long run. I didn't think it had much to do with the CBT as that all accounts for NPV. I feel like the tax loopholes will be closed though, over the next few years. Governments don't like not getting their tax share.
  22. Nexii
    Yea Bo is a huge up at 2B still. Fingers crossed. I think the team will give him a fair offer but it feels like others could throw him a lot more $$$
  23. Nexii
    Seems there is a Japanese Statcast but it's all paywalled :/ https://1point02.jp/op/index.aspx
  24. Nexii
    The Steamer projection I don't get is Rogers at 0.2 WAR. What's that about?
  25. Nexii
    Wait wait, it's still not a lock!
×
×
  • Create New...