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Brownie19

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Everything posted by Brownie19

  1. Yeah - I'd tend to agree with all of that. It seemed like a very slight tell that would be very difficult to rely on. Although perhaps from the batter's perspective, it was more obvious. The dugout discussions certainly suggest something was up.
  2. Detroit and KC should be prime examples of how poor a playoff team's offense can actually be.
  3. Just sayin' - there is some informative information on the off topic page if anyone is interested. Invaluable information for most relationships.
  4. Yes he did. This seems like an odd decision.
  5. Jomboy Media (@jomboymedia) • Instagram reel WWW.INSTAGRAM.COM 61K likes, 592 comments - jomboymedia on October 3, 2024: "Pete Alonso knew what pitch was coming from Devin Williams, a breakdown #mets #mlb #baseball #sports #homerun #petealonso". Was Devin Williams tipping pitches?
  6. Wow. Incredible finish. What a series. Mets/Phillies at least brings the rival aspect.
  7. They aren't irrelevant? They don't bother me.
  8. Pulled after 66 pitches. Kid was absolutely dealing. Let's see how this plays out.
  9. There are a lot of people who think the success of a FO is primarily measured in the # of playoff wins.
  10. If you're going to simply judge a GM's move based on the results, then there's no point in us having any discussion. IMO, signing Springer when we did was huge and a great move for the organization. They had the young core and wanted to add a star with a big time playoff pedigree. Those 2021 and 2022 seasons were real opportunities for greatness. Just because it hasn't worked out, doesn't make it a bad move. I have the same view on the Braves rotation this year. I worked out AMAZING for them - but I think the Braves got really lucky to get those results. I have loved a lot of the moves the Braves have made on the offensive side recently. I thought it was great move to take a chance on Kelenic - even if it didn't work out. The reality is all moves have probabilities of success. I can't get mad at someone for a move that failed if it had an 80% chance of success. I'm also not going to give much praise for something like Profar, which was a 95th+ percentile outcome. That's how I work. I'm sorry if you don't think the same.
  11. This Tobias Myers kid is a pretty amazing story. Never give up on the dream kids. I haven't read up on it, but I assume he was transformed in a pitching lab...
  12. I'm glad we're all on the same page
  13. I think Vierling is the only guy with any experience and he has like 12 games worth. I don't think it's "that" uncommon for a young team to get in that has little to no playoff experience though...especially with 3 WC teams now.
  14. That's correct - I'm glad you're able to keep up. Peller getting a 4.3 WAR season from Profar, who had a -1.4 WAR 2023 has a f***ton of luck involved. The Springer declining this soon/fast/much is also some bad luck. It's all probabilities. You get that right?
  15. Glory was suggesting the Springer signing didn't mean much because he's a completely different than Soto. Some are suggesting the Springer signing is at least some evidence we can land a big time free agent. This isn't difficult.
  16. I'm glad you noticed him out there. We have indeed landed one of the biggest FA's in baseball recently. That's the point. The rest of what you said seems irrelevant in this discussion. Are you just trying to add a dig that Springer sucks now and Atkins f***ed it up? Just can't resist eh? No team can accurately predict how players will age decline in their early to mid 30's. I suspect Springer's decline is on the lower end of the probable outcomes. It certainly sucks for Jays fans. Do you want them to be more risk adverse with free agents? You don't want them to add the extra year to land the FA they think can help the team in the short/medium term?
  17. Sorry - I misread what he was trying to say. It is valid, although I don't think you can completely dismiss the fact the Jays outbid everyone in the league for one of, if not the top FA in baseball (Springer). They've done it before, but yes, Springer is a different animal than Soto.
  18. There is some credit there - but the probability of him having this type of season were almost 0. I'm sure they expected they might get a 1-2 WAR solid bench player season out of him and there might have been a 40-50% chance of that happening. Getting what he got out of him is primarily luck.
  19. Preller deserves a lot of credit. I'm not sure how, but it's working great for them this year. I don't know how sustainable it is, but I can look past that right now. That said, he doesn't deserve a lot of credit (or any?) for Profar. Profar is pure luck. It's almost crazy he gave him a guaranteed $1M contract after a -1.6 WAR season in 2023! -1.6 WAR to 4.3 WAR is an insane turnaround (even for a guy who's bounced between negative WAR and solid seasons a few times before).
  20. Merrill is the only home grown player on their entire roster. But man - this looks like a team that could win the WS. Real shame that Kim is out for the year....I think they're going to need to get something out of Bogaerts or Cronenworth to go all the way. A lot of things have fallen their way, which could make them a team of destiny in 2024.
  21. I do yes. Playoff baseball is always a crapshoot. HEAVY series favorites are only expected to win 60% of the time. Most series favorites are only expected to win 55% of the time. My views aren't very bold - it's just some fans are not smart.
  22. I think he has generational hitting talent. But he's entirely one dimensional. He's David Ortiz, or Manny Ramirez.
  23. I'll take "I'm talking out my ass" for $500 Alex. And if you're going to suggest nobody was willing to add the 6th year - well duh - having to add that extra year is often how teams put themselves over the top to land the FA.
  24. The Tigers and Royals lineups are f***ing awful.
  25. Wasn't I trying to say this during the season and someone was arguing with me about it? Probably connorp because he only considers fantasy baseball.
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