Brownie19
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Everything posted by Brownie19
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I can't wait to re-open the validity of the Moreno/Varsho trade in 2036 with you. -
Santander is probably hard to move might be the understatement of the offseason. Racist moron who hasn't played in 2 years? Yeah, doubtful anyone is interested.
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Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
Brownie19 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Because our GM is a moron of course. You should be aware -
"Handed". You just can't help yourself eh
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Yeah - I agree with this. Like how the NHL has moved to a 2 goalie system. I'm not giving up BV unless it's a deal you can't refuse.
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It's all in how much you believe in that breakout and how sustainable the adjustments he made at the plate truly are...If you believe the 119 wRC+ projection, then blah, but if you think he could be a 130-140 wRC+ bat moving forward, he's a steal for $15M a year.
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Wow. Good for Bauers. He could be a steal at that cost. I'm a bit surprised the Brewers let him walk, but honestly, they fixed Andrew Vaughan so well, that he just slides into that role.
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Does that include all catchers? I suspect there's an awful lot of backup catchers dragging that number down. That said - it's still a fair point. If you use a 300 PA cutoff, then an 89 wRC+ ranks 21st last year, so technically a starter. This is a guy who's had a wRC+ of 105, 91 and 99 over his last 3 years in the minors (2023-2025). ISO's have been .135, .120 and .160. I'm just not sure that translates to a wRC+ of 89 in full-time duties. But the defense might be good enough that he can be a starter with a wRC+ of 80. That's a possiblity.
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Would The Blue Jays Trade Davis Schneider?
Brownie19 replied to Steve Drumwright's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Obviously it depends on what the return is. I simply can't imagine it's much more than a breathing body, but I see no reason to hang onto DS. Love the character, but give him the chance to succeed elsewhere. Maybe their hitting coaches can unlock something useful in that profile. Do him a solid and maybe the guy we get back can contribute in other ways. -
Based on his minor league numbers, I think there a much higher probability that Valenzuela was on a heater and the league adjusted. Obviously there are players who perform better in the majors than they do in the minors, but there 50 times more players who don't. I'd certainly be listening to offers if teams think he can be their starter, but we'd need to replace him with a quality backup (which is what I think BV ultimately is).
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I'm on board if you get him for 2/$15M
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100%, although I don't think he'll be ready to start next season, so he carries some risk.
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OK I see why some suggested Loáisiga...his Pitching+ has always been elite. Better than Varland.
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Yes it does. Wow. If Phillips is worth $35M, then Morejon is worth $100M+
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Indeed. That, um, didn't come out the way I wanted it to. I mean, if Loaisiga is the next Rogers, then perfect. Sign him before everyone realizes he's going to be a complete stud with a 58% GB rate and 6.5 K/9. I'm just not sold that these results are repeatable.
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Yeah - I don't see the appeal of Loaisiga. I mean he throws hard, but 6.5 K/9 for a 1 inning RPer? He's like a hard throwing version of Rogers...
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You read my mind. It's like he's a lock for a role in our pen!
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I think this is just MLB knowing their audience. They can't completely alienate the mouth breathers who think WAR and advanced statistics are a farce and/or ruining baseball. They likely represent 50% of fans. MLB gave the AL ROY to McGonigle to satisfy the modern baseball fan and the NL ROY to Stewart to satisfy the mouth breathers who love HRs and RBIs.
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Keys for Dylan Crews is hilarious. Sign me up if that's a possibility.
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I think there's a ton of risk adding Marte (age 33-36 seasons) and like a Suzuki/Randy on a 4 or 5 year deal (age 32-36 seasons). Sinking like $50M per year into these old farts (on top of Santander) is asking for trouble, especially when there's little to no sign this is a WS contending roster. The only advantage is it seems Rogers is committed to burning money in hopes of building a winner in Toronto, so it's less of an issue than it's been in years past.
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Marte's risk is almost exclusively linked to his age. He's also a ticking time bomb, even if you think there are no major signs of it yet. But are there signs? ISO has declined and was below his career average last year. BB% dropped off last year, which I've noticed IS often a sign that a hitter is declining. wOBA and xwOBA both dropped sharply last year. I do generally agree with you. I think Jazz has some scary warts too - my opinion on him is 100% tied to term and AAV. This is a class short term gain v. long term pain debate. I certainly don't want to see much prospect value being given up to land Marte.
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Blue Jays meeting with Tarik Skubal
Brownie19 replied to Terminator's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I don't know. The Jays are pretty awesome at finishing 2nd over the past 3-4 years. We're #2! We're #2! -
Oh wow - Ross has the glue. That can't be good.
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I think there's a very high probability that Marte's decline already started. Most 2nd basemen stumble in the early 30's.
