glory
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Everything posted by glory
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My thoughts exactly. I don’t even care that the Dodgers got Tucker, my mind immediately went back to Jeff Hoffman and Miguel f’n Rojas. A part of me wants a Jays/Dodgers WS rematch in 2026, and having it resemble the 2014 NBA Finals with the Jays playing the role of the Spurs who lost a winnable title to the Heat the year before (losing to a Ray Allen Hail Mary is less embarrassing though). However, the Dodgers getting bounced in the first round might be better.
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I still don’t see them losing a season to get a cap. More likely the punishments for going above thresholds are going to be massive to the point where even the Dodgers would pause before doing it. Plus, a salary cap would suck for the Jays, so keep the system the way it is.
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Not sure what the deferrals look like, but 1) Tucker would have been insane to turn that down, and 2) the Jays would have been insane to try to match that type of deal short or long term. Curious to see if they circle back to Bo now.
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Tucker absolutely has to sign with the Jays (or Dodgers) now. Cohen referencing something that hardly any of his fans would understand and getting their hopes up only for Tucker to sign elsewhere would be incredible theatre.
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Seems like a stupid thing for Cohen to post regardless. Most fans were only going to take it a certain way (there are over 1.4k responses to it in an hour and not everyone is aware of the Pope reference), and Mets fans have been hating their own front office all winter so even teasing this by giving fans the wrong idea seems really counter productive on his part. At this point I just want it to be over, even if it means Tucker to the Mets. Just make a decision and let's all move on to something else.
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Mets owner saying this might mean something (or nothing).
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Somehow has 9k gullible followers who believe he's actually a source and risking it all on a 50/50 chance of being right about Tucker. I mean, it's probably worth it for him if there's monetization involved with a higher follower count. Shoot your shot.
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Yeah if those are the options (same/similar dollar value just a 1-2 year difference) then take the 10 years and live with the consequences. Would much rather have the shorter years plus deferrals to lessen the AAV but obviously the player would have to agree with that and not all players would.
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I saw the Passan highlight, and he used the word "potentially" after saying that, and it didn't sound like he was reporting anything. I wouldn't read too much into that. With that said, 10 years for a RF/LF at age 29 who isn't on a HOF track would be a mistake.
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Given how cheap the Red Sox have acted recently, this probably takes them out of the Bichette market unless they finally want to act like a big market team again.
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The Jays acquired Straw a year ago and absorbed like 90% of his contract when no team on earth would have absorbed any of it. Then he went out and actually performed in addition to being a vibes/clubhouse guy on a team that thrived in part because of their clubhouse. I doubt he's in any danger of losing a spot regardless of who they bring in. My guess is Lukes is on the outside looking in right now. If they add Tucker and keep Santander, then DS's spot might be in jeopardy as well. I'm also getting the sense that Tucker is signing elsewhere. Maybe it's because we've been here before, and the Jays usually act in silence, so if there's smoke, my usual instinct is to not believe it, but we will see.
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We are in the "tracking Ohtani's flight path" portion of the off season, as apparently Myles Straw posted an IG story with a photo of a personally signed Tucker jersey on it with a caption saying "anyone in Bradenton/Sarasota area know a place to get jerseys framed?", and then promptly deleted it. Obviously Jays fans aren't reading much into it on social media.
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Yeah Passan in his latest article listed the players available via free agency over the next two years, and it’s pretty underwhelming. “Neither of the next two free agent classes features a hitter as attractive as Tucker, Bichette or Bellinger. The best of next winter: Nico Hoerner, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Brandon Lowe, Daulton Varsho, Randy Arozarena, Seiya Suzuki, Trent Grisham, Ha-Seong Kim, J.P. Crawford and Gleyber Torres. The top following the 2027 season: Jeremy Pena, William Contreras, Steven Kwan, Adley Rutschman, Isaac Paredes, Munetaka Murakami, Luis Robert Jr. and Freddie Freeman, who will be 38.” Rogers appears willing to shoot through the Cohen Tax, and there’s a clear window in 2026 when other teams are not spending, so go for it. As long as the deal is closer to 7 years than 10+.
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If the CBA next season is mostly the same, then I think Tucker wouldn't be crazy for taking 3/150. It hedges against injury, but also if he opted out then he would enter next off-season as by far the best player except without a QO and with teams having more clarity on what the financial implications of the CBA actually are. Of course, we'd have to know what the Jays offer is to compare it to 3/150. The Jays typically work in silence, so the fact that these leaks are mentioning the Mets specifically makes me think it's for leverage reasons, but who knows. Best thing about this is that we are hopefully close to the finish line. At this point I don't care where Tucker goes as long as it's over and everyone can move on.
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Murray is legit. So I guess Mets offer is 3/150.
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From the article: “If the New York Mets are in the range of offering $120 million to $140 million over three years to free-agent outfielder Kyle Tucker, as league sources on Tuesday suggested is the case, the question is whether that will be enough”. “Multiple industry sources suggested that a decision from Tucker, who turns 29 on Saturday, could come as early at this week”.
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The Yankees have apparently offered 5/155, which Bellinger/Boras turned down as they want 7 years. No issues with Belly going back to the Yankees for that type of money.
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Yeah if Clement is a 3 WAR 2B, then Tucker is by far the biggest difference making add. We all assume Santander is bouncing back, but even at his best he was a 2.5 WAR one trick pony, and now he's coming off a shoulder injury, so hard to say what to reasonably expect next season. Tucker isn't a perfect fit for the way the roster is currently constructed but they can work around that if he's adding a 4-5 WAR. Would suck for Davis Schneider to be sent down (he has options) but probably makes more sense in a Tucker scenario to have Jimenez on the bench than DS. Infield depth isn't great. Santander (assuming he's not traded) would effectively play DS's role off the bench (platoon with Barger) except the manager would actually use him in RF and DH as well, whereas the Jays don't seem to want to use DS anywhere other than LF and against LHP/specific matchups. A bench of Santander-Jimenez-Straw with DS in AAA in case of need (or traded) wouldn't be a terrible outcome.
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Gausman, Bieber, Varsho, and Springer are kinda important, though. Whatever cost savings exist will have to be used to replace them or bring them back. I know logic suggests moving Santander to DH in 2027, but without Tucker, that leaves the OF as Barger and whatever Buffalo Boys are still on the roster by that point. The rotation will be losing 2 pieces plus a depth SP (Lauer). They'll have to spend next season regardless. If I'm the Jays, then I probably pay the massive tax bill in 2026 (sign Tucker) and see what happens. They are already over $300M and there's going to be a lockout, so who knows what 2027-beyond even looks like. If it's just the same CBA with stiffer penalties (which is what I think it will be) then they can scale back and try to make some trades rather than sign free agents. The Tucker contract will probably stink in terms of length (10 years for a 29 year old corner OF will age like milk) but if you want to go all in during what could be the peak of this competitive window, then this is the chance to do it.
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5/175 after signing essentially 1/40 last winter after the opt out. Boras master class.
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Let Varsho play out 2026 and then see what his market is. He seems like a very risky long-term bet to me, especially starting at age 30/31 (his next contract). He's not someone I'd go out of my way to lock up before free agency unless it benefits the team, and if he's a Boras guy, then an extension is not going to benefit the team. Let the market dictate what he is worth and then go from there.
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I believe the Tigers were one of the teams who just lost their local TV money. There's probably a real chance that Skubal is traded, especially if he wins his arb case.
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After the post season he just had, I think he would have done well, but tough to say given what the market has looked like so far. Teams aren't spending big on the existing FA's, but I think Vlad at age 26 would have been valued differently.
