Great points. To add, I think a Vlad extension this offseason seems like a good bet to happen IMO.
-The Jays don't have much locked up long term (for better or worse). They need some good players to market/compete with.
-No one in the org wants to see Vlad sign elsewhere and pop off with MVP like numbers
-He's a marketable guy, he's young, has a good injury history, etc. Seems genuine when he says he wants to be here long-term.
-His agent isn't Boras.
So there's a lot of motivation for an extension from both sides but what could help more than anything is that his price has dropped a lot.
-The market is down (at least it was this year).
-Vlad's performance compared to what we thought he would be is also down.
-He plays 1B.
He won't even sniff Devers money or Austin Riley money. He probably gets Matt Olson money, TOPS (8 years, 168M). Maybe a little higher then that, but could get a lot lower. And if you're the team, is there that much risk there? They basically pay him an AAV close to that already so locking him up through his age 33/34 season seems palatable.