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Terminator

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Everything posted by Terminator

  1. Not sure what anyone expected for Yimi. He doesn't really have a track record of being a shutdown reliever until this year at age 33. Throw in the injury and his trade value was really low.
  2. The Catcher looks like a nobody. He's 22 years old in A ball and has yet to hit a homer in his professional career. 17th round pick last year so he doesn't have any pedigree. Clase could be okay. Perhaps a good 4th OF eventually. He has one more option after this year so they can let him develop more.
  3. There could be something to that. Last year they were using him as a 3 inning starter and everything and he was lights out until late August. He had a 2.93 ERA in 55 IP on August 22. The final month and a half he imploded and ended up with a season ERA close to 5.
  4. He always looks so solid for 2/3 of the year and then he just has a disastrous month and it tanks his numbers.
  5. That ******* was going to get us a 50 FV at the deadline and now we'll be lucky to get a ham sandwich for him. This season sucks.
  6. Here are the biggest first base contracts: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/contracts/_/position/1b/sort/value Harper doesn't really count and the rest of them don't approach anywhere near 250 mil. Matt Olson isn't a bad comp.
  7. Lost in the discussion about extending Vlad to a 10 year deal is the fact that Don Mattingly made this discussion possible. The son of a bitch did the unthinkable and fixed Vlad's swing. We have to extend him too while we are at it.
  8. His defense is weird. Most of the metrics have rated him fine at 1B since he started playing it in 2020. The exception is OAA which thinks he SUCKS at 1B the past two years even though the other metrics still think he's okay. If you look at his plot the past two years it looks like he sucks when he has to make a play where it involves feeding the pitcher: https://shorturl.at/IcI48. That seems to track the eye test. But otherwise his plot looks ok, including on plays where he has to move back (also tracks the eye test as he seems ok when chasing down pop ups). His sprint speed is close to league average and his arm is well above average. Maybe he would be be okay in LF? Heck, maybe he's even better at 3B than he is at 1B. He has the arm for it and he doesn't have to feed the pitcher. Metrics were fine in a SSS. Sounds kind of crazy but we are now living in a world where Spencer Horwitz is an above average 2B so I would definitely consider Vlad in LF.
  9. I think you are probably right but he's on month+ heater right now so the fan in everyone wants to dream about a 10 year extension where we get the 5+ WAR version of Vlad. I wonder if Vlad would be open to a Dodger-style deferment where he technically becomes the highest paid 1B in the game but in reality he is getting closer to Matt Olson money. A deal like that could possibly appease all parties and keep him in TO.
  10. Yeah what if they just traded Vlad and Bo and then signed Pete Alonso and one of Kim/Adames? Re-stocked farm system and the AAV goes right into similar players.
  11. Sorry I meant "easy" in the board meme sense ("the playoffs will be easy to make") not literally. The point is that we'd be a 225 million dollar wild card contender and that's not ideal.
  12. If Rogers keeps payroll around 225 mil then I think the Wild Card would be easy to make with that team + the trade deadline additions + the offseason additions. This is the sad part though- The players shown take up about 160-165 mil. 170-175 with Romano and Pearson. You would need a big offseason of 50+ mil added in FA and trades to become Wild Card contenders. Yikes.
  13. You can't really blame the team for this Bo situation. At least they didn't extend him. Yeah, they should have traded him prior to this season but (1) the team looked to be competitive so not sure why you would trade your 4 WAR SS and (2) had no reason to believe he'd tank like this.
  14. Kind of what I was thinking. Though TY is fine because he was projected to go much higher anyway.
  15. Yes I have. A very drunk Ed Rogers will spill the beans on everything. He personally told me that John Gibbons would hold arm wrestling matches to fill out the final spots in his lineup. Zeke Carrera spent all offseason training his right bicep and practicing his technique and was surprisingly good at arm wrestling. That's why he was batting leadoff in the playoffs in '15. I didn't relay it to the board at the time because I didn't think anyone would believe me. Unfortunately, I am no longer welcome in the CEO box after having one too many and making some totally harmless and benign comments to Ed's wife Suzy who apparently can't take a joke OR a compliment. But it's good to know that we have other sources inside the CEO box now.
  16. Clement is starting to get a little more interesting to me. The BB rate is obviously low but so is the K rate and he seems to have unlocked some power by pulling dat ball. I think Fangraphs might be selling him short on his fWAR too. His OAA (which Fangraphs relies on for defense) at 3B has been bad with the Jays, but that could simply be because of positioning. With his previous teams he graded out very well with OAA at 3B and his other defensive metrics are fine. He seems to pass the eye test too. His bWAR is 1.5 right now.
  17. Yeah I'm hesitant to jump all in on Steamer with these guys. They seem a little unathletic and who knows how they will age. But they are clearly better than the prospects sites gave them credit for.
  18. Otto Lopez started to fade before he got hurt but his xStats and defense look strong. We just had to keep Craig Biggio's son around for another year but I think it's fair to add Lopez to the list too.
  19. This is going to sound nuts, so bear with me here, but the rankings have undersold us a bit. Steamer projects Horwitz as a 3.5 WAR player moving forward. Fangraphs typically gives a player like that a 60 FV which puts a prospect in contention for the Top 10. But entering the year Horwitz was getting a 40FV. I'm not saying Horwitz is definitely a 3.5 WAR player, nor is he a 60 FV. But if he is, or if he's even a 55, that would have boosted our rankings at least a couple of spots. You're basically taking a nobody and adding a Top 100 prospect. So maybe we crack the Top 20. Yay.
  20. Yeah I would want something else other than Lux. We have plenty of 2B options as is.
  21. Oh I thought you were genuinely asking the question lol Sure, money plays a part but not in some nefarious way. They thought those players were better and that's why they gave them the money to begin with. They don't want to cut bait too quickly on guys they think are better. Maybe they don't want to piss off agents of future potential FAs by cutting bait too quickly as well. But I don't think they look at the payroll and determine the lineup based on who makes the most money or anything like that.
  22. Going to go with him or Pratt next. Can probably pick up both by season's end. Thank you.
  23. I went with Morales for my next pickup, thanks.
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