Olerud363

Thanks - I hope you are right. I guarenteed my friend who is a Mets fan that final score would be 8-6 Mets because Hutch sucks more than Niese But I would be happy to be wrong.

Go to vegas and start betting money on baseball games, since you understand the human element you will have a slight advantage over the numbers based Vegas odds. You will win some and lose some but over time you will make gains and you can feed them back into larger bets. The only limit to the amount of money you make is that at some point you will become large enough to actually effect the odds. If you have a system to predict the outcome of baseball games, a system that goes beyond numbers and gives you an advantage that others do not have, you can and should make money off of it.

Thank you for your help with my grammar But I still do not understand why Gruber loves Goins but not Pillar If you love Don Mattingly you should love Will Clark If you love Justin Smoak maybe you love Ike Davis as well If you love Gustava Chacin you should love Josh Towers If you love Ryan Goins I think you should love Kevin Pillar

Gruber... I am having trouble understanding your thought process.... You seem to like Ryan Goins... he is defensive type player who has trouble hitting... Kevin Pillar is similar... a defensive type player who has trouble hitting... However Kevin Pillar is better then Goins according to most measures. And Pillar's minor league numbers indicate he may eventually hit a bit. So my question Why do you love Ryan Goins?? Why do you not seem to love Pillar?? If Ryan Goins = good, then Pillar = good, and we have no rushed need for Pompey... or do you think Pompey needs to play left? Thank you for your responses in advance.

You do not believe in WAR moogie?? I believe. I just checked Ryan Goins Fangraphs WAR cause I was wondering if his defense made up for his offense... Ya know cause they knocked Kawasaki down... turns out Kawasaki is worth more WAR then Goins... So the idiot suits (Beeston, AA) didn't listen to the geer heads again... bow before Beeston, bow before Moogie...

ha ha... that's funny. I've had a little experience with software marketers and the one button solution is their holy grail. No matter how complicated the software they want it to be able to function with a maximum of one button click... this is mainly so they can demo it in 20 minutes... then take the rest of the day off. Some ******* marketer in mlb thought it would be great if fans could vote with one button click... this is why the human race is doomed. IT IS IMMORAL TO VOTE FOR AN ENTIRE TEAM IN ONCE CLICK. IF YOU WANT TO VOTE YOU HAVE TO SIT THERE FOR 10 MINUTES AND MAKE CHOICES... PREFERABLY INFORMED CHOICES BUT ATLEAST MAKE CHOICES... My wife votes... she won't vote for all Blue Jays... if she doesn't know the players she asks. That is responsible voting. Whatever marketer thought a one button voting system was a good idea should be fired and banned from any other job ever, including burger king.

Being "elite" or "not elite" doesn't change over a couple of months... for example EE is also still elite (barring the shoulder injury being serious enough to mess him up long term.)

Good question... and that was what I was wondering... How much do his age 17. 18 and 19 seasons count for?? Let's say Davis had no history, like Alford. Everyone would be going nuts right now.

Both him and Alford are listed as being born in July 1994... I remember there was some minor controversey about this.. but I thought it was just basically a typo somewhere.

Alford certainly has a strange stats line... it is weird that he is getting all those walks... I know that he is in a low level where pitchers don't have control... but on the other hand it's not like that happens often. I can't remember a guy walking as much as Alford does at low a... especially a guy without power.

by the way... I always think of Alex Rios in situations like this. I hear "D.J. Davis is s*****, very s*****, there is no chance at all that he will ever develop. It cannot happen as it is against the laws of statistics. It is impossible for D.J. to progress further because he was so s*****." However Alex Rios progressed from total s*** 19/20 year old, to good prospect, to sometimes good major leaguer with 5 WARS. So I think the statement is more like. D.J. Davis is very s*****. He probably won't ever be anything. Though occasionally guys progress in their early 20s. Alex Rios did. He had low strikeout rates though. So I am not about Davis... probably nothing, but as ussual no one knows for sure."

So D.J. Davis had a big night last night.... I noticed he was born the same week as Alford. Both are having interesting seasons in low A... Question -- Is D.J. Davis really nothing and Alford still has potential?? So Alford played football and guns for 3 years... Davis s***** baseball... now they've reached apr. the same point. But because Alford has no experience will he develop further, while Davis will not?? What I mean is this. Take two prospects, same age, one with previous s***** minor league experience, one without any. Will the one without any develop?? While the one with s***** experience will go back to being s*****??

Well the question is why was he available?? I have a feeling were gonna see Donaldson get pretty pissed in 6 weeks time if the team is completely out of it and he's wasting an MVP season in nowhere land,.

It wasn't an overpay but the idea is to win.. It just seems people are jumping the gun here... Donaldson had a great 2 months... 2 months from now he could cool down, Lawrie and Gravemen could be hot, Oakland could be back in it, Baretto could be one of the best prospects in baseball... Oakland could be set for the next 4 years and the Blue Jays could have the most disfunctional franchise in baseball. My feeling is Donaldson is going to rip his teamates and management when the Jays are 15 games out and he's playing at an MVP level... The Clemens years were kind of dreary... except for one month at the end of 98 when Tim Johnson told war stories and got the boys playing good for 1 month... Then Clemens demanded a trade... and it was kind of like... what the f*** happened the last 2 years?? I've got a feeling the Donaldson years will be viewed the same.

People would realize it in late 2016... Donaldson pissed as hell like Rolen was... maybe traded Stroman overworked in 2016... TJ by September gone for 2017. Some crappy "winner" dude given 240 innings of 4.50 era ball... Fading Bautista, Reyes and EE given 2000 plate appearances (this might happen no matter who...) Pompey - gets it together... awesome year in Buffalo. 17 bad at bats in 2016, and hits .320 for Buffalo in 2016. What else could happen?? Martin plays 155 tired games and hits .220 cause he's exhausted... some washed up proven closer saves 40 out of 55 chances... oh yeah... don't find 40 save guys just lying around. And can't disrespect Dusty so is given a "retirement tour" in 2017 and maybe 2018. We are looking at 2030 if the next few months aren't handled right..

that would be awesome... 5 million to Dusty Baker and no more moves after that because of finances!!! For entertainment value it would be something.

I am not completely disagreeing with you. However Gibbons is not the problem. Firing him will solve nothing, and will set the franchise back if some new guy gets the team to 83 wins (they finsihed hot!!) and AA and Beeston go on to year 4 -- if we don't win this year, we'll win next year, if we don't win next year we'll win the year after that, if we don't win the year after that we'll blame Gibbons and try again in 2016!!!

Exactly my sentiments. If he is going to be fired I actually would want him to be fired right now... over lunch... today... replaced by a reasonable candidate, so that the new guy has 4 months to work with. I just don't want him replaced by a dinasour who will set the franchise back a couple of years.

And just to give you the context... after Henderson came and was deservedly given the lead off spot, Olerud (.470 on base) and Molitor/Alomar (.400 on base) had to hit 5th/6th to make sure White (.330 or so) and Carter (.300) got their "respect" and were allowed to hit high in the lineup. Gaston won despite himself... Out of Gaston/Gillick/Beeston... only Gillick has won else where... in fact only Gillick has won again... and only Gillick was even given a job elsewhere (in fact 3 of them, and he won at all of them). The choice of manager indicates how functional upper management is/will be. If gibby is sacraficed I think it's a bad sign for the long term direction of the franchise.

You realize that if Gaston was managing the team the lineup would be something like - Reyes, Pillar, Bautista, EE, Donaldson, night in, night out. In 93 - Gaston got 3 - .400 + on base percentage players -- think about that... top 3 batting averages in the league -- Olerud and Molitor/Alomar were often hitting 5th and 6h - I s*** you not -- http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/TOR/TOR199310230.shtml We won right!! Touch them all joe... no big deal... right?? The problem is that upper management Beeston mainly, has that image of 'touch em all Joe' in their head, and has a mistaken impression of what wins baseball games... If the next president of the team also has that flaw... we are screwed for another 10 years. Gibbons seems to recognize who the best players are... Josh Donaldson hitting second indicates that Gibbons at least has an elementary understanding of what wins games... if he gets fired for a guy that doesn't "get it" it not only is a bad sign for the rest of the season... but it is a bad sign for the general direction of the franchise for the next decade... If the next president doesn't "get it"... well the kids on the board will have to wait until there 30 for victory...

I've rarely see a post that said -- "Gibbons made a trivial small move tonight that went wrong... but that is neither here nor there... I would like to evaluate his performance on 7 years of work using manager stats I collected..." it is more often "f*** gibbons for whatever small moves led to the last few losses..."

he wants to hear what you think of Gibbons after a win where he made the right moves you idiot. Also - he left Estrada in to hit and pitch the 6th, and then Hendricks in to hit in the 8th, so they could pitch the next inning... this was genious because he didn't have to overwork Osuna. Gibby is the guy!

I recall reading that without Stroman they were about 81... it might of been 82 or 83 but not much higher. Assuming they play at that level the rest of the way they end up at 77. So it was not thin air.

OK. I'll humour you. People always say s*** like this. 81 win team. 85 win team. AA sells the farm in 2013 people would say "I think he just built a 95 win team"... then some other guy will say "No this is not as good as you think... AA just built an 85 win team that will not be good enough and frustrate you." People talk like this all the time... they don't ussually say "77 win team"... but I just meant they have 81-true talent and if they play that the rest of the way they will hit 77 Given what has occurred so far I think 77 is very good guess at the final win total.

That's what I was thinking... trying to remember who the good managers in the 80s and if they are still around. Sparky Anderson... no he died a few years ago.