Olerud363

The multiple accounts thing was the real problem. The dogg and the high85 or whatever are fine, as long as there is only one of them. The fact is that these guys, the dogg, and the high85 did the Jays a favour. If I was a completely nuts, instead of just somewhat unstable I would speculate these were the creation of an internet "reputation" firm hired by Paul Beeston. If the Blue Jays hired one of these firms that's exactly what they'd do. Go to places where people were critical of the organization and flood them with drivel and spam. It seems that teams really don't want the message boards to be active. They can be a source of rabid (but often legitamite) criticism of the organization, directly accessible from the team's home page. What marketers would want that??? Stay in line everybody. Buy some tickets. Romero didn't break down last night. Buerhle doesn't have a 7+ era. Lawrie is developing just fine. Nothing to see here. Buy some tickets. You want to buy them now before the Jays heat up. It will be hard to get tickets in August in the middle of the pennant race.

23 years ago in a similiar situation a fat reliever named David Wells was stretched out. Why not stretch out Cecil, or Loup, or Brad Lincoln even?? Loup has allready looked good for 3 innings. And I know the superscouts will give me reasons why it can't be done. I'm not stupid. I realize that all these guys are better as relievers. That's not the point. When the team is 13-22... when Aaron Laffey and 40 year old Ramon Ortiz are being dug up... Sometimes you shouldn't think too hard. Brains are dangerous things. Humans have done all kinds of stupid wars and crazy stuff. So we gotta think we're not that smart. All we can do is think one step ahead. 1. Aaron Loup has thrown 3 good innings at times. step 2. See if Aaron Loup can throw 4 or 5 good innings. It's a simple algorithm. No super-scouts, no saber-gurus even, find out if Aaron Loup can throw 4 good innings and when you have that info then figure out the next step. You can always back track. That's all they did with David Wells. They tried to see if he could throw more good innings, and at times they backtracked given his performance and the needs of the organization. If not Loup then Cecil or Lincon who (like Wells) have started before. No their not going to be as good starters as they are relievers. But if Santos is really back soon then... Who the heck needs a losing team with 5 good relievers and no good starters?????

Juan Guzman had a decent rookie year, then a great 1992 then fell off the map like Romero. He went 4-14 6.32 in 1995 in 24 starts, But then 11-8 2.93 in 27 starts the next year, 1996. A bad 1997, but managed a decent 1999 before injuries ended it. These guys go up and down, up and down. Wells, Rios, didn't fall off the map. They just went up and down like nuts. Romero could be done. But the last thing we need to see is Ricky being released and Farrell fixing him. Gotta somehow get him back on an up-cycle. Need an organization policy that you almost never give up on a player in a down cycle, never acquire players at a peak of an up cycle.

It doesn't work like that. given a team is 92-70 the probablity that looking back one 30 game stretch would be 10-30 is much higher than given a team starts 10-30 what is the probability that they finish 92-70

May 8th 2013 Farrel 21-12 .343 on base Jays 13-21 .304 on base Jays show some fight. Now above .300 in on base percentage. Projected home runs - 210 1st in A.L. Projected runs - 624 10th in A.L. The dream of 200+ homeruns and less than 600 runs was unrealistic. But 200+ homers and less than 700 runs is possible. Today's J.P. Arencibia k/bb ratio 45-2. Can J.P. get 200 ks with less than 10 walks??