Olerud363

I can't think of a reason either would cause cancer. Wind Mills maybe the electrical fields they are generating?? How many bunts do you think we should try on Thursday?? Probably not a good idea to go in with a number, just put them down in the right situations.

He didn't play today. Do you think he should of pinch hit for Teoscar Hernandez??

He thinks bunting is fun and a different style of baseball. He was glad Montoya made Urena bunt until he got it right. Why are the rest of you so against bunting?

That's weird. No I don't want to meet you. Do you think Cito is too old to come back?? Is he 80 yet?

Haven't scouted him but the Red Sox wouldn't of signed him to that contract if he wasn't OK. I think.

I don't care whether he bunts too much or whatever... but guys aren't hitting for him. Do you think Cito Gaston should be back?? When Gibby had them in a slump like this back in 2008 Cito got them out of it. They just need to pull the ball more.

Is the next Justin Upton. The other Billy McKinney thread is fake news. Post your thoughts on this one.

I heard he is up to 280 lbs as of first day of Spring Training. That was over 6 weeks ago. Have they weighed him since?? What is he at last time on the scale?? Pretty worried. He's only hit singles in Dunedin. Is he too fat to generate bat speed??? Or were they actually off the wall and he was too fat to get to second?? Either way how can this guy be ready for the majors??

Hi Corporal Rowdy Tellez hits left. He will be in the game as soon as Sale leaves. I heard Sale only throws 90 mph now so we will get 8 runs fairly quickly. Although that might be fake news. We will have to see. I looked into the stats a bit assuming that there would be a good reason Allen Hanson was in... like maybe he hits lefties better than righties. As far as I can tell the opposite is true.

April 15th 2021. Then we have his age 22 through 28 seasons. And he doesn't lose the weight too fast. April May 2019 - Plays every second day in Dunnedin, works with a team of Dietitians and Psychologists to address the route causes of his obesity. June 2019 - Takes a month off to work with Scott Rolen (hired as special instructor) on 3b defense, and also speaks with new draftees on dangers of overeating. July 2019 - Re-acquainted with New Hampshire. August 2019 - Re-acquainted with Buffalo Winter 2019/2020 - Placed in special "Fat Camp" type setting to avoid showing up in camp at 280 again 2020 - Spends entire year in Buffalo. This is decided before hand so they can make a lot promotions around him. Buffalo bans all junk food from stadium. Scott Rolen hired as infield instructor. April 15th 2021 - The Toronto Star, Rogers Sportnett, Subway Sandwhiches (Vladdy is the new Jared), and the Toronto Blue Jays present -- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. A well deserved mlb debut, once a fat boy now a true man.

If current trends hold (which they won't) Negative Gurriel, Drury, Jansen, Hernandez, and Mckinney are done as mlb players (400+ at bats of sub .200 avg is not recoverable) Bo Bichette is done as a major league prospect (.133 in milb , it's over) Positive Stroman, Shoemaker, Sanchez, and Giles are the absolute most valuable treadline deadline chips ever. Trading them is more than enough to get high end prospects to replace, Bichette and others whos career's have ended. Cavan Biggio has had one of the greatest hitting seasons as a minor league player ever. He would enter the top 10 mlb prospects and replace Bichette Jays get top 5 pick. If current trends hold (which they won't) the franchise is still in good shape.

Shaun Marcum 2004?? I don't even know which way you are going with that. His minor league results that year were OK. His major league results were fine. I can't think of a guy that stat-scouts better than Marcum. Minor league era was 3.24, major league era 3.93. Translated perfectly. Jess Litsch 2006?? His ERA was 4.xx. Nothing spectacular in 2006, had a hot streak with weak peripherals in 2007, got called up, did exactly what his status would suggest for 2 years.. then blew out his arm. Or are you saying he was better than the minor league numbers?? Cuz he kind of was better than his 2006 numbers. Nester Monlina ?? Was kind of good for one year, then sort of mediocre and injured. Stats scouting would of worked for 2/3

Because you want to get age 23-29 of a super star. With Valddy you are taking age 19/20 in exchange for a future age 26/27 With Biggio you are taking age 24 for age 30. Who knows which one is better. Biggio also is probably more likely to sign a cheaper extension if he reaches like Grichuk level. Also Vlads age 27 may cost and be worth 50 million, while Biggios age 30 may cost and be worth 15-20 million

If a system doesn't measure absurdities right it can be improved. If the system isn't reflective of real life decisions it can be improved. I'm also not saying that any specific player is special and would trump the scale. What I am saying is this. If a good defensive player gets more opportunities to make plays and make difficult plays their WAR should go up. Just as if a good offensive players WAR will go up if they get more at bats. A bad defensive players WAR should go down if they move to a more difficult position. Let's say hypothetically center fielders get the opportunity for 500 plays a year, and right fielders 300 plays (those numbers are roughly based on Kevin Pillar and Jose Bautista's 2015 defensive statistics). Pillar converts fly balls to outs at 80%, Bautista at 70% and an average outfielder at 75 a) Pillar 400 outs +25, Bautista 210 outs -15 Bautista 350 outs -25, Pillar 240 outs +15 Shouldn't Pillar's WAR be higher in center than right?? Shouldn't Bautista be lower in center than right?? (this model is just a toy model obviously, I reealize the real model is much more complicated. However any model should reflect reality, if a team would win more games with a different defensive configuration the model should reflect that).

It should be. If he is a good defensive center fielder he should have a higher war in center than in right. If he is a bad defensive outfielder his war should be less in center. WeÂ’ve had this conversation before but if war doesnÂ’t change when position changes why would it matter where you played anybody?? If you hypothetically had Kendrys Morales and Kevin keimier in the outfield would it matter which one played left and which one center?? It would surprise me if it didnÂ’t. Unless my intuition is totally off on this and there are just as many difficult plays in left field as in center.

The weird thing is that by showing up at 327 lbs and getting injured because his back was to fat to rotate properly he gave the Jays an easy excuse to keep him down for at least 2 weeks and get the extra year. You'd think he'd come in at 227, hit the tar out of the ball, and force their hand.

Your assessment of him is consistent with his minor league performance and frankly with his major league performance. Terrible k/bb and only a high babip has kept him looking OK at the major league level. The positive information is his performance in Cuba was much better, he had a good k/bb there. Also I assume the scouts liked him at least a bit or they wouldn't of signed him to the contract they did. The hope I have is that the Cuban stats show something real and he'll improve. What do you think about the Cuban leagues?? Is it like the low minors where guys can have good walk rates, but they fall apart in the high minors?

No. It's a slippery slope and soon there will be threads for everything. It will be like the old days when you could come on here, and basically get a feel for what was going on in baseball just by glancing at the thread tittles. Giancarlo Stanton injured?? You'd get a "Giancarlo Stanton injured' thread. Sean Reid Foley throws 7 straight balls?? You'd get an entire thread about it, and how atleast he didn't throw 11 straight and he's improving. Basically three threads are allowed. Around Baseball General Blue Jays Discussion Milb Prospects The individual GDTs are cluttering things up... towards the end of last year GDTs were done per series. It's time for just one GDT for each year.

Agreed this is a 'hate' thread. 1. Except for 1991 I really hated to watch Carter. 2. Being over-rated and being disappointing after 1 or 2 good years seems to be a hallmark of some of the hated players... Hinske, Pillar, Lind, Cruz, Rios. Carter was the ultimate in this respect. As soon as '92 it could be argued he was hitting too high in the order. Definitely in 93. From 93-97 his WAR was ~0. He got increasingly worse but no one seemed to care or even notice. How could you not hate him? They built the offense around him. It is literally like if they built the offense around Kevin Pillar. If they hit him lead off and signed Keuchel and Kimbrel to team with Pillar the leadoff hitter.

Who had more WAR with the Blue Jays, Joe Carter or Darrin Fletcher?? Carter ~ 7.5 to 6.5 Who had more WAR per 162 games with the Blue Jays, Carter or Fletcher Fletcher

Joe Carter needs to be on it, or no player that had more war/162 than Carter can be on it. Eyeballing the totals - Erik Hinske had more WAR (as a Jay) then Joe Carter Adam Lind, Pat Borders and Josh Towers had more WAR/162 as a Jay And Of Course!!! Kevin Pillar - ~10 Fangraphs WAR as a Blue Jay Joe Carter ~7.5 Fangraphs WAR as a Blue jay So if the criteria is a kind of over rated player, who had one good year, a couple of OK ones and then tanked, hurt the team and was horrible to watch, and overrated by casuals. Joe Carter is that guy.

In 2017 it was 84 for the wild card. In 2016 it was 89, 2015 86 or something. 2018 was the exception.

I can't remember for sure but I recall that Tercet has seen 2 at bats of Biggio's one which he missed a mistake pitch, and another of which he missed a high fastball. Or maybe he hit the mistake pitch but it didn't count because it was a mistake... I can't remember the details. Whatever the case I don't think Biggio is Tercet approved.

Hi Tercet?? It's great that you agree that all these players are going to hit their projections. Most of the projection systems project Bo to hit something like Starlin Castro, and for example guys like Teoscar and Gurriel to have lower on base averages (they swing at a few too many bad pitches). It is really awesome that your keen scouting eye, agrees with the statistical systems. I have a question though, since you are a great scout can you give a list of the players the projection systems are under-rating?? Like the guys who are projected to be average but your keen scouting eye has idientified as over performers?? Thanks

1. Vladimir Guerrero doesn't get called up because of conditioning and a series of small injuries. Nothing major but he never puts together 6 weeks of raking and health. Good news is, he resets for 2020, learns a lesson, and does not follow the Jesus Montero career path. 2. Jansen, Bichette, Mckinney, Alford, Biggio, Hernandez, Drury, and Gurriel dramatically overperform as a group (this is bold because usually these things randomly average out with surprises and disappointments, this group will be heavy on the surprises and positve news, and lighter on the dissapointments). 3. Fight for second wild card is more like 2017 than 2018 and Jays are a right in it. 4. Sanchez and Stroman are used a bit less, kind of like Blake Snell, and put up 180 great innings each. 5. His batted ball profile doesn't change much but Kevin Pillar is knicknamed Kevin babipPillar and hit's .300 and his defense rebounds, gets some down ballot MVP votes.