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Dick_Pole

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Everything posted by Dick_Pole

  1. I noticed that these lines imply 18 teams over .500 and only 12 teams under .500. And of those 12 under .500, three of them are under 80.5 which means they are essentially .500. It wouldn't be the worst strategy for someone to go under across the board on all 30 teams in hopes that a few massive outperformers like the Cubs kill everyone else's chances to hit their win totals while assuming no team will lose 105+ this year.
  2. Gotta admit those are a couple of bold picks leaning under on two teams with a 71/71.5 win total as the top two confidence plays.
  3. 1. I'm a complete fan boy but....Jays over 87 2. Cubs over 89 3. Giants under 90 (I don't like the fact that everyone and their mother seem to be in on this one but come on) 4. Twins over 77.5 5. Astros over 85.5 6. Tigers under 85 7. White Sox under 80.5 8. Brewers under 71.5 9. Cardinals over 87.5 10. Orioles under 80.5 11. Mariners under 83 12. I got burned last year on this very same bet so I'm making it my last choice, but the Indians can't disappoint this much two years in a row right? Indians over 84 I think Dodgers at 87 is exactly the right number. If there's a tie breaker, I'll make mine being the Dodgers pushing at 87 when there's more than a dozen reasonable win total guesses one could have for that team.
  4. Hmmm...gives them cost certainty for 2017 which also makes Donaldson an even more desirable asset should they decide to go the trade route after this season. Not saying that I want them to go that route or think that they will, just saying that this would increase his value.
  5. For the youngsters who don't know him: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epy_Guerrero Check out the list of players he signed for the Jays.
  6. Reading this thread is depressing. I miss the gold old days when the Blue Jays picked up Fernandez and Delgado for next to nothing, along with more than a dozen other useful contributors to the team during the 80's and 90's. Epy Guerrero belongs on the Jays' wall of fame or whatever they call it. Now every international prospect that looks like he might have a shot at the MLB gets his own thread with a corresponding debate if the Jays will have the money to participate. EDIT: Actually looking at that list, not quite a dozen useful players. But considering the cost at the time still a bargain.
  7. Olerud....dude honestly you are really, really reaching to try and make a point that I'm not even sure that you even believe in. The only time I see your argument sort of making sense is if you have a player who is particularly good at hitting fastballs and not so good at hitting off-speed stuff and stick him in front of the sluggers in hopes that pitchers will throw him more fastballs. Otherwise there's no f***ing way Devon White is going to drop his OBP from .340 to .300 out of a pouty protest because he doesn't like his batting spot. What good does that do to his career? Helps him to get traded then the next team he plays for bats the s***** .300 OBP guy 8th?
  8. How dare the Jays make decisions to try to win in 2015-16 at the expense of what a pitcher with a past injury who hasn't come close to pitching 100 innings in any year might be in 2018 or 2020! The Jays needed Osuna in the pen last year. Great decision in hindsight even if it came along with gifting roster spots to a bunch of other rookies. If the Jays have enough BP depth in March, great, stretch him out in AA. If not, he belongs in the pen on the MLB roster in 2016. Osuna is not that much of a generational talent that the Jays should sacrifice needs for the 2016 MLB roster during the window of opportunity for his development.
  9. Fight the good fight! With the offensive depth that the Jays have, this should not even be in a discussion. It's not like the choice is between him and Mike McCoy. Travis should be in the same boat, but his one month of MLB dominance will put him in the top of the order discussion as well. Really those two guys should be #8 and #9.
  10. Pompey makes a great #9 hitter. The only difference between #9 and #1 is that #9 will get one less AB during the course of the game about 90% of the time. The flow would be the exact same once the game gets past the first inning with Pompey as #1 and Tulo as #2 if you want to view it that way. So why about a quarter of you people want to gift an extra AB to an untested rookie at the expense of five proven all-stars is confusing to me.
  11. Rickey Henderson 1990: .325/.439/.577 Troy Tulowitzki 2014: .340/.432/.603 Why is this even a debate? If the whole theory of the lead off man is to get on base as often as possible so other hitters can drive him in, Tulowitzki is the one with the best skill set of being able to get on base without blasting 40+ home runs in the process. JB, JD and EE, you kind of want them coming up with guys on base sometimes.
  12. But the Jays had wicked good luck the rest of the year regarding injuries outside of Travis. Two role players out for the year and a top pitcher back in time for a playoff drive with a well-rested arm. If that was the extent of the Jays injuries for 2016 that's not so bad.
  13. I would like to hear GeorgiaPeach's opinion on this.
  14. Glad to see your unwavering optimism in the Jays and irrational doom and gloom scenarios for the other 4 AL East teams is applied to other areas of life as well...
  15. That's better. Lots of things can happen between this time and a year from now, both on and off the field.
  16. JB 4/$100 EE 5/$100 Because I like to keep my math simple. For anyone worrying about losing these guys, just think back to 1989. In the span of 18 months the Jays lost Barfield, Bell and Moseby, the team's very popular and very effective OF for the better part of the 80's for essentially nothing (a young pitcher who was injured until his FA year). The team seemed to do just fine after that.
  17. f*** you all who are bringing this rebuild poison into this thread. The team won 93 games last year. We can reasonably expect them to have above 85 this year and compete for a playoff spot. Let's look forward to 2016, not what 2020 could look like.
  18. Come on, this should be an easy one - although age and Amaro might have made him senile by now so who knows.
  19. Except they're missing the guy we all would actually want back.
  20. More than what Shelby Miller got, hopefully. I'd say Miller's take plus another Barreto-like prospect would be a decent haul.
  21. Stroman, Travis, Pompey, Osuna and Sanchez all have 5 years of control and are young guys who would be considered prospects if they weren't already on the MLB roster. If they were still prospects they'd fill out #1-5 on the Jays' minors list. The minors may be relatively barren at this snapshot in time but teams aren't judged by how many MiLB championships they win. Looking at the Jays' system, yeah it's bottom third. But if you add the guys with 5 years of control who are 25 or under (sorry, Kevin) and did that with every other team in the league I'm sure the Jays would move up into the top half. The Jays gave up a lot of young pitching depth in 2015, but it's not like I'm losing too much sleep over any individual they traded. Baretto is the only one who really stings and you do that trade 50 times over, even if you have to give up two Barettos and a Lawrie to get it done.
  22. Ugh....DAMMIT. Time to get the tissues again, I guess.
  23. The first thing I thought of from this thread title was Gail Kim, the woman wrestler from the WWE around 2000 that couldn't wrestle but was hot as f***. She single-handedly turned my opinion on Asian women from "meh" to "yummy-yum yum yum". Then I had to go look up sexy pics of Gail Kim. Then I had to go look up some Asian porn to finish myself off. So yeah...uh...thanks for this thread.
  24. Williams blew game 6. Jays could have easily won game 7 at home if he didn't. Gossage and Sutter had even less saves at around 300 each. So should every RP above 300 saves get in? Hoffman and Rivera with their gaudy save numbers are largely a product of their era. Who's on my ballot? If I could pick only one from the list of candidates this year, it would be Bonds.
  25. Am I the only one who thinks Doc's comment was petty? If I was in Clemens shoes' I'd tell him to f*** off too.
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