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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Hardware and contextual impact I guess 6 time AS + 9 time GG + MVP + MVP candidate by voting a few times vs 2 time AS + 3 time GG + topped out as 3rd in MVP voting and never got serious consideration outside of that year Have to think that Olerud continues to get discussed and might eventually get in one year via Veteran's Committee. Similar case as Alan Trammell, just a bit less career WAR. ??? I don't remember how the Eras / Veteran's Committee works. Can players just stay on it forever?
  2. Lawlar + Mayer is a fun infield combo. Arizona can collect all of the pre-bust fake shortstop prospects.
  3. From The Athletic this morning. It really seems like this is the best chance to find a fit for Berrios. Severino is owed $25M and $22M (player option) Berrios is owed $18.7M, $24.7M, and $24.7M Very similar post-trade CBT AAVs Severino projects better so it makes no sense on paper but there are personnel factors - it seemed like both SP had relationship issues in 2025 with their current organization. Perhaps the As want someone more reliable and steady. Maybe a C prospect or some $$$ is involved bridges the gaps. Severino is more viable as a relief option, if everyone is healthy and he is outperformed by Ponce.
  4. Clement Schneider Career Split (%) 8.04% -3.10% PA career v LHP 462 320 Regressed platoon split 6.44% 4.94% Proj wOBA 0.311 0.319 Proj split v LHP 0.324 0.330 Proj split v RHP 0.304 0.314 Mint defender vs statue so you would never pick DS over EC because of splits.
  5. Yeah huge upgrade on Turnbull etc. He could go either way. Do they stretch him out and just have him as SP8 on the depth chart or do they adjust his stuff or mix and try the RP route again?
  6. He's more useful in Buffalo. It allows them to potentially carry an additional asset into the season. The contract being bad has this one upside of nobody else wanting him so they could force him down lol
  7. This isn't an optioning though
  8. This might be wrong
  9. Wtf Seattle
  10. tbh be was not very good and got very lucky for most of the year They are probably hoping someone takes him but if not I guess they can option him? Buffalo Rodriguez
  11. This is weird timing. Hoping someone trades for him? The 40 man is at 39 with him and Cease and Ponce
  12. https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/explaining-baseball-americas-updated-mlb-prospect-grades-risk-system/
  13. BA does two grades a think. Ceiling and reasonable expectations
  14. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/estimating-hitter-platoon-skill/
  15. Regress your platoon splits, you f***ing n00b Defense is a big part of the equation too
  16. I agree with giving Ernest some CF reps, particularly if they bring in an infielder or sign Bo back. Ernie played some CF way back and some OF in the minors, a bit in the majors. He could probably be a decent enough CFer with reps. If Ernie is cooking in 2026 he is an every day player for me but he can play a different position every day. I don't like all of this 400+ PA talk though. This guy needs 650+ PA.
  17. member's only I guess? can't bring myself to pay for Fangraphs not sure why they need more sales
  18. Why? Oviedo sucks. The Red Sox are acting like a small or mid market team so far. Their 2025 trade deadline was pathetic and so was the Devers trade. They are operating like a franchise with an identity crisis.
  19. https://goldin.co/item/oct-20-2025-alcs-game-7-actual-george-springer-7th-inning-go-ahead-homnxlcg?queryId=eyJxdWVyeUlkIjoiODlhY2EwNTE0ZGQxZTQ3ZDQ5YTc1NzFiMmUyNmJjM2IiLCJjYXJkSW5kZXgiOjEyfQ%3D%3D
  20. Vernon Wells LOL there's one more case against signing Bo
  21. It's a fair comparison We have seen a decent amount of players with poor plate discipline age harshly or not live up to big contracts. I mean it's not rocket science. Jones, Javy Baez, Castellanos, so many more. Adam Jones was comfortably worse than Bo though. Through age 27: Jones: 4.6% BB, 19% K, 109 wRC+, 17.3 WAR, 3658 PA Bo: 5.7% BB, 19.4% K, 122 wRC+, 20.0 WAR, 3292 PA (Bo would have 22.22 WAR if you equal his PA to Jones') In the last two years Bo does have BB rates over 6 and his K rate was an elite 14.5% in 2025. He also has places to go on the defensive spectrum, 2B and 3B, which have more value than a corner outfield spot which is the only place for a CF to go. I mean Bo can age just as sharply but he would then be a 105 wRC+ 2B/3B and not a 95 wRC+ LF like Jones was. I wonder if people overstate Bo Bichette's plate discipline issues. In 2024+2025 combined, minimum 900 PA, if you sort hitters by BB/K lowest to highest, Bo is 64th out of 155 or 41st percentile. That's not horrendous!!! Yes his Swing% is much higher (13th out of 155) so his ability to avoid Ks and get some BBs is still predicated largely on his ability to make contact If you do the same search for Adam Jones in 2012+2013 he was second worst in the BB/K department out of 158 hitters. Javy Baez in 2019+2020 was 3rd worst. Castellanos 2018+2019 was 23rd worst out of 151, that is 15th percentile. Bo might be unfairly criticized because he is hard to comp correctly. I think you need to sort for his warts and positives. If you look for players who: Had BB rates under 6% Kept the K rates under 20% on average Hit for some power Had a track record of quality hitting (near 100 wRC+ or better with consistency) You are going to pull a comp list like this: Adam Jones Alex Rios Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Howie Kendrick Brandon Phillips Eddie Rosario Pudge Someone like Castellanos is close but the Ks are too high. Someone like Trea Turner is close but maybe he walked a bit too much (and his legs are a huge differentiation, anyway). If he ages like Kendrick or Phillips, he's easily worth 8/$200. If he ages like Adam Jones he's $70m underwater. If you are the Blue Jays you want him in the middle I think. You don't want that 8th year, or you want the AAV to be more like $170m.
  22. They didn't? Wtf?
  23. Of course By his Fangraphs projection alone he's worth 2.3, 1.8, 1.3 WAR so about $23M, $18M and $13M or $54M in the next three years. You take some of that off for the league translation risk on that projection but it is easy to see the potential value. tbh with that velo and changeup the potential for a 3 win pitcher is pretty clear and obvious
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