Laika

Wtf Seattle

tbh be was not very good and got very lucky for most of the year They are probably hoping someone takes him but if not I guess they can option him? Buffalo Rodriguez

This is weird timing. Hoping someone trades for him? The 40 man is at 39 with him and Cease and Ponce

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/explaining-baseball-americas-updated-mlb-prospect-grades-risk-system/

BA does two grades a think. Ceiling and reasonable expectations

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/estimating-hitter-platoon-skill/

Regress your platoon splits, you f***ing n00b Defense is a big part of the equation too

I agree with giving Ernest some CF reps, particularly if they bring in an infielder or sign Bo back. Ernie played some CF way back and some OF in the minors, a bit in the majors. He could probably be a decent enough CFer with reps. If Ernie is cooking in 2026 he is an every day player for me but he can play a different position every day. I don't like all of this 400+ PA talk though. This guy needs 650+ PA.

member's only I guess? can't bring myself to pay for Fangraphs not sure why they need more sales

Why? Oviedo sucks. The Red Sox are acting like a small or mid market team so far. Their 2025 trade deadline was pathetic and so was the Devers trade. They are operating like a franchise with an identity crisis.

https://goldin.co/item/oct-20-2025-alcs-game-7-actual-george-springer-7th-inning-go-ahead-homnxlcg?queryId=eyJxdWVyeUlkIjoiODlhY2EwNTE0ZGQxZTQ3ZDQ5YTc1NzFiMmUyNmJjM2IiLCJjYXJkSW5kZXgiOjEyfQ%3D%3D

Vernon Wells LOL there's one more case against signing Bo

It's a fair comparison We have seen a decent amount of players with poor plate discipline age harshly or not live up to big contracts. I mean it's not rocket science. Jones, Javy Baez, Castellanos, so many more. Adam Jones was comfortably worse than Bo though. Through age 27: Jones: 4.6% BB, 19% K, 109 wRC+, 17.3 WAR, 3658 PA Bo: 5.7% BB, 19.4% K, 122 wRC+, 20.0 WAR, 3292 PA (Bo would have 22.22 WAR if you equal his PA to Jones') In the last two years Bo does have BB rates over 6 and his K rate was an elite 14.5% in 2025. He also has places to go on the defensive spectrum, 2B and 3B, which have more value than a corner outfield spot which is the only place for a CF to go. I mean Bo can age just as sharply but he would then be a 105 wRC+ 2B/3B and not a 95 wRC+ LF like Jones was. I wonder if people overstate Bo Bichette's plate discipline issues. In 2024+2025 combined, minimum 900 PA, if you sort hitters by BB/K lowest to highest, Bo is 64th out of 155 or 41st percentile. That's not horrendous!!! Yes his Swing% is much higher (13th out of 155) so his ability to avoid Ks and get some BBs is still predicated largely on his ability to make contact If you do the same search for Adam Jones in 2012+2013 he was second worst in the BB/K department out of 158 hitters. Javy Baez in 2019+2020 was 3rd worst. Castellanos 2018+2019 was 23rd worst out of 151, that is 15th percentile. Bo might be unfairly criticized because he is hard to comp correctly. I think you need to sort for his warts and positives. If you look for players who: Had BB rates under 6% Kept the K rates under 20% on average Hit for some power Had a track record of quality hitting (near 100 wRC+ or better with consistency) You are going to pull a comp list like this: Adam Jones Alex Rios Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Howie Kendrick Brandon Phillips Eddie Rosario Pudge Someone like Castellanos is close but the Ks are too high. Someone like Trea Turner is close but maybe he walked a bit too much (and his legs are a huge differentiation, anyway). If he ages like Kendrick or Phillips, he's easily worth 8/$200. If he ages like Adam Jones he's $70m underwater. If you are the Blue Jays you want him in the middle I think. You don't want that 8th year, or you want the AAV to be more like $170m.

They didn't? Wtf?

Of course By his Fangraphs projection alone he's worth 2.3, 1.8, 1.3 WAR so about $23M, $18M and $13M or $54M in the next three years. You take some of that off for the league translation risk on that projection but it is easy to see the potential value. tbh with that velo and changeup the potential for a 3 win pitcher is pretty clear and obvious

3/$30m is just SP5 or "good reliever" money anyway so he doesn't need to do much to be worth it

From his blog... Hey Lance. Who would you rough comp be for Ponce given his arsenal/traits/projected command etc? Lance Brozdowski Oddly tough to find a comp for him that matches what we think the 4S might regress to with the MLB ball. It lines up with some relievers like Hunter Gaddis and Julian Merryweather. Kick-change comp is roughly similar to Clay Holmes with less arm-side (again, just we few high-release guys throwing kick-ch with sub 10” arm-side). Maybe Taj Bradley is kind of an interesting comp? Taj just carries his 4S much better, but similar CH-first approach, trying to figure out breaker shape. I think if the Blue Jays got a 4-4.20 ERA over 130ish innings they’d be pretty happy. Slightly better than Nick Martinez / Michael Lorenzen types (who are both CH to righty guys pretty heavily).

Bro just parlayed his NPB ERA into generational wealth

TBD Career -5 OF by OAA in 642 innings, -6 3B in 869 innings tbh the Jays might want to stop jerking him around so he can get full time reps in either spot and actually improve personally I would want him to try 3B first, since it's a harder position to fill and he runs a bit too heavy to ever be a mint outfielder IMO

holy flucking sharts the White Sox guaranteed Anthony Kay $12M

I am not sure there is a usable KBO comp for Ponce Kelly and Fedde and Ryu and Chris Flexen were all command dudes who came over. Kelly didn't even dominate in the KBO. Fedde did but with a K-BB% about 6 points under Ponce's 2025. I mean Ryu when he first started in MLB would have had good stuff of course, but not an arsenal like Ponce at all. Not sure we have seen a guy just out-STUFF the KBO and then try to come over. At least not a starter.

Best hope for Berrios is you trade him for a bad bat contract like Oneill or Yoshida Don't see it happening

Yoo Mitchy White was pretty good in the KBO last year too lmao Bring him home?

Yesavage: Splitter Gausman: Splitter Ponce: Kick change Bieber: Kick change Cease: was trying to learn Gausman's splitter last season Almost the whole rotation gonna be RHP with changeup stories