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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Steamer 2026 3.7 WAR - Tucker 3.6 WAR - Bo lmao Peak season - 4.9 fWAR for both Bo is a full year younger and has more "defensive utility"
  2. It definitely won't Steamer might be low on him but it only has 3.7 WAR (I don't think any other projection systems are out right now) He is 29 in two months. Aging curve says he is now on the backside of things. If you start him at 4.5 WAR and take off 0.5 per year, he's worth like $270M if one WAR is worth $11M now and you inflate that slightly over time. I think a team can justify the 10/$300M if they want to get better NOW but that's his value IMO.
  3. I guess he's an elite defender. + he got so lucky with the stick, lol.
  4. But Vlad is the Entertainer of the Year!
  5. He's barely better than Bo Bichette Tucker is a really good player but he has no standout / elite tools. This isn't a $400M+ player. I could see nobody wanting to give him $300M. If you cover the names it's hard to discern his 2025 season from say 2018 Andrew Benintendi If you need a bat (that can play defense too) and can get Bellinger for 5/$125M or Bo for 7/$175, or something like that, it's hard to justify spending so much more for Kyle Tucker
  6. Raise payroll Sign Imai and Tucker
  7. Horrendous plan
  8. I'm not so sure. He's a pitcher, remember. This isn't a guaranteed superstar every year. That arm blows up and the chance to sell EXTREMELY HIGH is over.
  9. No other team would make an offer like that though As good as Skenes is, he still has a projected surplus value and he's not worth that much capital They SHOULD trade him for a big haul right now though. A realistic top offer would be the top 5 or so prospects / rookies of a solid farm system. Like, Nolan McClean, Jett Williams, Carson Benge, Brandon Sproat, and someone else from the Mets. And the Mets might even not want to do that. The Yankees probably get uncomfortable after offering Schlitter, Rice, and Jones, tbh.
  10. Not sure the Mets or their fans even love Diaz. Yeah his overall numbers are dominant but he has had two years with them where he had pedestrian ERAs and one with a pedestrian save rate. There might be a perception that he is too erratic and unreliable.
  11. Daulton Varsho is 5'8" and 207 lbs I agree that he should be extended Maybe some kind of leg implant procedure could bring him up to 5'11"? He'd lose some athleticism but he'd look better in pictures
  12. Varsho and his .222/.290 projection isn't landing a TOR pitcher anyway Only thing I can even think of is the Royals, for Kris Boob Itch. They have Isbel as their CF and he's basically Myles Straw.
  13. I think Straw For now Straw is fine since the defense is a bankable asset. It helps a lot over a full regular season. He gets the bat literally knocked out of his hands against good pitchers though. Clase is like 10 wRC+ points better, so he's a bit more cromulent offensively, but the tradeoff isn't there since it doesn't seem like Clase is a good CFer. I think you run with Straw for the regular season but think twice about his role on any playoff roster.
  14. Varsho is weird for value / free agency Defense dependent, volatile player Will only get like $10M in his final arb salary Reminds me of Harrison Bader who I think just goes year to year for $10M at this point Or Tyler O'Neill, different profiles but similar kind of risk vs upside profile. That was 3/$49.5M KK is another similar player. Was extended by TBR so he was older in FA, but I don't think he ever earned more than $11M AAV Should be able to extend this little butt plug for like 4/$40M to be quite honest
  15. but he sucks now...
  16. You must be trolling Someone will give Kay a shot, yeah.
  17. Not really. 592, 581, and 513 PA before 2025. The two significant injuries in has career were the shoulder surgery and big hamstring strain, both in 2025.
  18. Devin Williams seems like the perfect buy-low but his numbers under the hood were so good that you wonder if there will even be any sort of discount. He could just get a big deal. Lots of interesting RP options this year. As usual. And lots of them will be landmines. Little and Fluharty have options; I would enjoy a Drew Pomeranz one year pact. That for the back end + someone from the top of the talent list (Suarez, Williams, Helsley) or at least the higher-octane one year deal bin (Fairbanks, Pagan, etc.) That would set up the depth chart for Little and Fisher to get optioned, so there is good depth. Of course dudes will get hurt in spring
  19. Who knows. They have been in on literally everybody for years, so nothing has changed until we see it change. Not that anything needs to change... they could put together a strong team without increasing the budget.
  20. Feel bad for Xander Bogaerts sometimes I hate when a bad contract makes people hate a good player He has given SDP 9.8 fWAR in three seasons. It could be worse!
  21. Jays lose Hunter Mense, assistant hitting coach since 2022. Going to SFG. Might be a sneaky bad loss. You never know with coaches.
  22. Well, probably but you never know when it comes to money. If the owner is putting the squeeze on them there aren't many other options. Machado and Boogers and Cronenworth and Musgrove and Darvish are all not tradeable. Merrill is cheap until 2030. The Padres have just been treading water and performing as less than the sum of their parts for a while. Since they got decent, they have never won the division, made the world series, or won 94+ games. 6 years and counting. Very similar to the Blue Jays pre-2025 actually.
  23. He was a 1 win RP and projected for 0.7 going forward $9M to $11M is basically his market value on a one year deal Rays can do better with that money
  24. want On Bieber: The Bieber mystery (cont.) Across the industry, executives remain baffled by right-hander Shane Bieber’s decision to exercise his $16 million player option with the Blue Jays, calling it one of the most bizarre in recent memory. Bieber, 30, had a $4 million buyout, so he effectively took a one-year, $12 million deal. And while he was effusive about his time with the Jays, he almost certainly would have fared better on the open market. Left-hander Matt Boyd signed a two-year, $29 million free-agent deal with the Chicago Cubs last December after making only 11 starts for the Cleveland Guardians, including postseason, coming off Tommy John surgery. Bieber, 18 months removed from the same surgery, also made 11 starts, and in those games had a combined 3.57 ERA. The Athletic’s Tim Britton projected him at three years and $63 million. Free agents rarely sacrifice money, even from their preferred clubs. The Jays, too, might have paid Bieber more than $12 million on the open market, assuming they were one of his bidders. His decision would have been understandable if an extension was forthcoming. But no such deal is imminent, according to sources briefed on the matter. Bieber, who joined the Blue Jays in a deadline trade, evidently trusts the Jays’ medical and training staffs to help him continue his recovery. But some executives wonder if he is concerned about his health. By exercising his player option, he avoided the physical examination required of free agents before their contracts become official. Bieber started Game 3 in both the Division Series and American League Championship Series before the Jays moved him to Game 4 for the World Series, wanting to give him an extra day of rest and avoid starting him twice in the series. But he showed no signs of strain in Game 4, allowing just one run in 5 1/3 innings. And while he gave up Will Smith’s go-ahead, 11th-inning homer on a 2-0 hanging slider in Game 7, he was pitching on three days rest and making his first relief appearance since March 2019. Maybe Bieber just wanted stability; his wife, Kara, gave birth to their first child, a son named Kav, on March 14. But again, he could have worked out a better deal with the Jays, and perhaps he will at some point in the future. For now, the mystery lingers.
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