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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. So the Nate Pearson story was something like this: Pre 2019 - top 100 prospect, consensus 2019 - 100 IP great numbers Pre 2020 - top 20 prospect, consensus 2020 - COVID season, delayed start, 18 innings, then flexor strain 2021 - core injury ruins his season, just 45 innings between MLB and AAA and most of the MLB innings are in relief. sports hernia surgery resulted. 2022 - mono and lat strain, just 15.1 innings all in the minors 2023 - no longer a starter. good numbers in AAA in 40 innings but too many walks. replacement level 20 innings in MLB but okay K-BB and good stuff. 2024 - slight improvements as an MLB reliever, still looks like a potential setup man or closer with continued development but he's 28 in two months and into arbitration. Not really much of an asset anymore unless he comes a dominant RP. So far the RT story is: 2022 - great numbers 78 innings 19 years old pre-2023 - consensus top 40 prospect 2023 - 44 innings, good numbers but shoulder and biceps injuries take lots of time from him pre-2024 - consensus top 40 prospect 2024 - hamstring injury, elbow injury (nerve inflammation), elbow injury now again, only 17 innings and likely another mostly lost season like 2023. he turns 22 in a month. I guess the perspective on RT is that he has a good amount of time before we should write him off. He is 22 in a month. His age 22 season will be 2025 Nate Pearson's age 22 season was in fact his breakout 2019. So Tiedemann is way ahead of Pearson's timeline, at least. Age is a major factor in his favour.
  2. There are more than you think. Likely getting sold: Flaherty, Crochet, Kikuchi, Fedde Might get sold: Scherzer, Snell, Severino, Eovaldi, Montas, Montgomery And then a dozen other obviously worse pitchers who could get sold Of course, salary and talent make Kikuchi better than most of those names but not all of them. The Jays may not actually get a haul since there could be some viable alternatives.
  3. Yeah it got pretty f***ing dark after the WS years 55 wins in 1995 just two years removed from winning it all, gross
  4. been a while 2019 they were bad bad but there were no expectations and it was Vlad/Bo rookie year which was fun 2012 they were bad but they did have post-breakout JB and breakout season EE along with the hyped Brett Lawrie and some younger SP everyone was excited for going forward 2009, bad but Doc pitched 239 innings so that was fun 2004, bad they were pretty brutal and Doc was banged up all year, no fun. Also Delgado's swan song that must have been depressing as f***. 2004 I guess.
  5. I know the Giants are mediocre at best but I do think that Kikuchi pitching into the 8th inning and shoving 13 strikeouts with no walks down the throats of an NL West team on July 10th is a big deal, as far as his trade deadline marketability goes.
  6. Tim Mayza minor league deal with the YANKEES Tim is as sick of the Blue Jays as they are of him, I guess
  7. Olerud is our senile philosopher king He's like a poet or retired academic with just a tiny little dash of dementia or maybe just that lack of social awareness than affects certain old people Frenchsoup was just a straight up schizophrenic who probably snuck out of the institution in a laundry hamper
  8. we need to Cancel Bo Bichette!
  9. He's worth a look in Toronto have you f***ing seen our shortstop's numbers? Have you seen him try to play defense?
  10. lmao wtf apparently he is also an actual defender too. like, infielder. shortstop? https://www.wvgazettemail.com/sports/charleston_dirty_birds/atlantic-league-baseball-shortstop-cancel-doing-it-all-for-dirty-birds/article_75820d48-e40a-5664-9bbd-bdf3a0923bf5.html
  11. Braves OF is pretty gross with Acuna done for the year. Duvall - Kelenic - Rosario. Their worst contracts are probably Sean Murphy and Matt Olson Nothing really short term and bad to assume
  12. Springer is on a huge heater 1.2 fWAR now in 343 PA his xwOBA of .339 is now better than last year he has positive defense by OAA and DRS and passable D by UZR he projects for 1.1 to 1.3 WAR rest of season very likeable veteran, good glue guy and clubhouse guy I wonder if they can move that contract after all... not the whole thing but most of it? maybe Jays eat $20M or something and get a prospect back
  13. Yes I think trying to coach up sweet spot% or launch angle is way too hard. It's basically trying to coach up HIT TOOL. Certain guys may be able to deploy tricks to change their launch angle, or fix their mechanics, or alter their swing plane a bit. But many (most) these days won't be able to meaningfully change it intentionally because they won't have the barrel control to do it. A lot of the famous examples of guys increasing their LA and pulling the ball more for homers are really, in a fundamental way, examples of players who were already pretty good hitters (in a basic sense - HIT TOOL) before making the changes. Justin Turner - was hitting for average and making contact before his tweaks so the barrel control was already there. Jose Bautista - had good PD stats before the changes and obviously had a good hit tool in hindsight. There has been some semblance of the Blue Jays trying to take guys with "good hit tools" and coach up power. Clement, Horwitz, all the minor leaguers like Roden and Jimemez who don't have good raw power grades. Kirk. But the Jays are probably 5+ years behind the eight ball, yet again, because other teams are already looking at things more specific and granular than "hit tool" as MikeM says they are looking at VBAs and stuff. This might be why the Jays have a certain collection of organization guys with "good hit tools" but there has been a general failure to coach up or develop any power. They have the general idea right but are getting lapped or outcompeted on the specific implementation of it. Hit Tool - old school scouting concept, define it how you want. some would say bat control. some would like at K% but that's very indirect. Launch Angle - objective, measurable but not necessarily that helpful in all circumstances. THIS IS AN OUTPUT. Sweet Spot% - objective, measurable. THIS IS AN OUTPUT. Hard hit% - objective, measurable. THIS IS AN OUTPUT. Barrels etc (some combo of hard hit and sweet spot or LA) - objective, measurable. THIS IS AN OUTPUT. VBA - measurable, THIS IS AN INPUT. Bat speed - measurable, THIS IS AN INPUT. Biomechanics - measurable, THIS IS AN INPUT OF THE INPUTS!!! What do the Jays look at? What do the best teams look at? To be ahead of the game you need to find the significant INPUTS. If you look at outputs you are probably lagging.
  14. Have to agree with jb Correa++ could be a decent dynasty trade for Bo but it depends on the ++ I'd still want a good prospect to hedge
  15. Not rostered or not starting? It was paternity list so I think he had to be activated Either way, Ross is a f***ing douchebag
  16. Tough option for Barger He's from Seattle area, whole fam probably there all weekend
  17. Holy f*** that's an insane catch Better than almost every diving catch or home run stealing catch in history. The ground Varsho covered was nuts and he crunched the wall wow
  18. Okay you go have fun in your 12 team CBS redraft league
  19. What the f*** are you even talking about? Colt Keith was one of the hottest preseason prospects. Everyone thought he'd be good.
  20. Kind of wild but the only good Yankees hitters anymore are Soto and Judge. Carrying the entire team. Everybody else who is active has a wRC+ under 100, OPS under .700. except Uncle Ben but he's played like twelve games
  21. LOL Call me dumb but at least Schneider, Clement, and Barger are mildly interesting to watch since they all still have some kind of potential
  22. skill issue you don't just "try to swing harder" I guess; you train with weighted bats and stuff to increase natural bat speed the "try" part just means you train in a way to swing faster in games, and put the kinds of swings on the kinds of pitches that = homers
  23. Yeah he had some focus on leveling out his swing so he could hit high fastballs better. Or returning to his "old self" that wasn't as pull happy? You can't see it in the results at all. He needs to pick a lane and do one of the following contradictory things: - develop a viable "B swing" so that he can put the ball in play more on tough pitches and avoid some of the terrible contact results he gets OR - just become an absolute barrel monster who does one thing only and that is hunt dingers. if he is going to be only capable of pulling flyballs, then f*** every other kind of trajectory just become a guy who can pull 30 homers a year. either way an offseason doing driveline type stuff is the method, the goals would just be different. i dunno
  24. Nimmala hits in every game since getting promoted, .348/.444/.696 during that mini streak with 11.1% BB and 14.8% K rates 5 XBH vs 4 strikeouts
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