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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. The Rangers are pretty dumb. Acuna is probably worth the 22.5M New York is sending them. So they completely let NY off the hook for the Scherzer contract. Nice move for the Mets.
  2. It’s not even august and RAJ just stole his 50th base of the season
  3. He's never thanked a post
  4. The players don’t respect Schneider lol. Anyone who talked that way to Gibby would have left on a stretcher.
  5. He’s a full 1.3 WAR behind his 2022 defensive and positional value. We’ve given up a lot playing him everyday in LF. Should be CF/C mix going forward. Hopefully they pivot.
  6. Lost in this discussion about catchers is that Dalton Varsho should catch a meaningful number of games next year. Possibly a full backup workload. He Cody Bellingered his way to decent offensive numbers last year, but the luck evaporated and he's not actually a good hitter. He's a platoon defensive specialist. Save the starting OF spots for guys that can hit.
  7. Crazy thing about Sandoval was that he managed to play a very good 3B despite being legitimately obese.
  8. Kirby's was even weirder: 4IP, 9K, 1BB and 5 ER
  9. Jung and Kirby are basically a push
  10. Holliday has MVP upside. I like this for you.
  11. Yeah, he seems to like going after distressed assets and trying to squeeze value out of them. Especially vets struggling after long track records of success. Robbie Ray, Whit Merrifield, Justin Smoak, Brandon Belt, And Marcus Semien all fit this MO to some extent.
  12. Your Juan Soto draft pick was outstanding, and has been of immeasurable benefit to the True Cardinals franchise.
  13. At least you have your 1st round pick!
  14. The first place team in the Reuben is almost at 0.500!
  15. That’s going to go down as one of the worst FA deals of all-time
  16. Ah f***, team Spooge next week
  17. Fangraphs just finished their trade value series. The Braves have: 1) Acuna Jr. 10) Strider 12) Murphy 13) Riley 15) Harris II 31) Albies What AA has done is completely obscene.
  18. It's wild that, for all the money the Padres spend, they use bums like Cronenworth and Alfons Rivas at 1B
  19. If we're talking about what happens after 2024 if Vlad's 2024 looks a lot like his 2023, then yeah, he probably doesn't get a QO. But I don't think that's likely to happen given how hard he's hitting the ball. Every year of his career, Vlad's wOBA has been within 0.005 of his xwOBA - some years a hair higher, some years a hair lower. This year it's off by 0.55. He crushes the ball. He's probably not doing it in an ideal way, but you still can't expect someone to consistently hit the ball that hard and remain replacement level. I think if we're talking about the probability of possible outcomes for healthy Vlad in 2024 it would be something like: 10% - wOBA exceeds xwOBA or xwOBA close to wOBA but xwOBA goes up - MVP caliber season 70% - wOBA close to xwOBA, ~125-150 wRC+, sucks at everything else because he's out of shape, 2-4 win season 10% - wOBA and xwOBA both go down, sucks at everything else because he's out out shape, sub-2 win season 10% - wOBA once again a lot less than xwOBA, sucks at everything else because he's out out shape, sub-2 win season
  20. Vlad's xwOBA is almost 0.400 and he put up like 9 fWAR over the previous two seasons. His career to date has mostly been disappointing, but like 20 teams would have interest in trading for him if Toronto wanted to go in a different direction.
  21. I bet a lot of owners wouldn't sell for even a 2nd
  22. What's Manoah's value in a 20-team dynasty league?
  23. Alvarez is also really fun to watch play
  24. The heart wants what it wants
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