Could Smoak have a breakout season in 2016?

[abola2121]

He'd be the same age as Jose in 2010, and EE in 2012 when they started putting up big numbers.

[flafson]

I could be wrong but i think Smoak has a very long swing which makes him hit and miss quite a lot. You don't have the same from Jose and Edwin.

[eastcoastjaysfan]

He'd be the same age as Jose in 2010, and EE in 2012 when they started putting up big numbers.

 

He's consistently put up pretty nice walk rates. Power is undeniable. Pretty even splits.

 

Sure, why not.

[Governator]

I was under the impression that was going to happen in 2015.

[JFD]

HAHA no

 

what you see is what you get.

[burlingtonbandit]

I think you can expect a wRC+ between 105 and 120 for Smoak depending on what his BABIP is. As a platoon 1B he isn't going to have much value either way though.

[GD]

I think you can expect a wRC+ between 105 and 120 for Smoak depending on what his BABIP is. As a platoon 1B he isn't going to have much value either way though.

 

So between not very good and very good, depending on luck. Going out waaaaaay on a limb there man

[eastcoastjaysfan]

Smoak seems to have consistently come up huge in a bunch of really important situations for us...... and then I checked his WPA and he's almost dead last on the team lol.

[GD]

Smoak seems to have consistently come up huge in a bunch of really important situations for us...... and then I checked his WPA and he's almost dead last on the team lol.

 

Avoiding confirmation bias 101

[Boxcar]

I don't know why but I have such a soft spot for Justin Smoak. I really shouldn't but I just feel like he could really get his s*** together at any time.

[Trouba95]

He needs to learn to recognize the breaking ball.

[GD]

I don't know why but I have such a soft spot for Justin Smoak. I really shouldn't but I just feel like he could really get his s*** together at any time.

 

i do

[Jimcanuck]

still got upside (not WYSIWG)

 

probably no more than an average 1B at his peak

[baubau]

i do

 

Boxy has a thing for big white guys?

[Orgfiller]

still got upside (not WYSIWG)

 

probably no more than an average 1B at his peak

 

He's pretty much an average 1B right now.

[thatoneguy]

If he can change the mechanics of his swing (and lead it to become a bit shorter in particular), he has enough power to compensate.

[dineke]

Will he learn how to hit breaking balls?

[burlingtonbandit]

So between not very good and very good, depending on luck. Going out waaaaaay on a limb there man

 

Could probably shrink the high end down a bit. Point of the post is we pretty much know what to expect from the BB, SO and ISO rate.

[Boxcar]

i do

 

Why? You don't know anything. About anything.

[BigCecil]

Aside from the numbers alone he shows a propensity for being able to hit the ball away with power fairly consistently and also gets to pitches inside. On the neg as many has said his swing is a little long and his pitch recognition isn't great considering his decent walk rate. Overall this gives me hope he has quite a bit more upside.

[GD]

Why? You don't know anything. About anything.

 

Same reason you took him in LOD you transparent obvious cheesefart

[Orgfiller]

Same reason you took him in LOD you transparent obvious cheesefart

 

Wasn't that Cyborg?

[Boxcar]

Same reason you took him in LOD you transparent obvious cheesefart

 

Right, because I had a soft spot for him for no reason, dumb s***. I didn't know he was a hit fx superstar until after I grabbed him because Cyborg started with the waterworks.

[GD]

Right, because I had a soft spot for him for no reason, dumb s***. I didn't know he was a hit fx superstar until after I grabbed him because Cyborg started with the waterworks.

 

suuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuure

[MunenoriKawasakiMVP]

Jiiiiiiinnnnxxxxxxxxxxx

[BlueJays]

Yeah. He did a little while ago.

[BigCecil]

Rethinking Smoak.

 

The BB rate is under 10% and the K rate is over 27%. Lost in last nights euphoria was an another abysmal night for him at the plate.

 

He is consistently overmatched by good breaking balls and his bat looks very slow with a long swing. If he cant address this I'm afraid his ceiling is not very high.

[Governator]

Rethinking Smoak.

 

The BB rate is under 10% and the K rate is over 27%. Lost in last nights euphoria was an another abysmal night for him at the plate.

 

He is consistently overmatched by good breaking balls and his bat looks very slow with a long swing. If he cant address this I'm afraid his ceiling is not very high.

 

 

Yea I don't think his future is going to be much more than what we're seeing, though his defense is still outstanding. I'd bet any $ Colabello couldn't turn that DP last night (The lefty advantage of turning 2).

[G-Snarls]

Rethinking Smoak.

 

The BB rate is under 10% and the K rate is over 27%. Lost in last nights euphoria was an another abysmal night for him at the plate.

 

He is consistently overmatched by good breaking balls and his bat looks very slow with a long swing. If he cant address this I'm afraid his ceiling is not very high.

 

It wasn't lost on me

 

He continues to disappoint offensively all the time

[Dr. Dinger]

He'd be the same age as Jose in 2010, and EE in 2012 when they started putting up big numbers.

 

Of course anything is possible, but it's important to realize how extremely rare it is to have a hitter emerge as an elite talent that late in his career... the fact that we have two is downright remarkable.