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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    This shouldn't come as a surprise that you don't understand what a salary dump is. That's when a team sends out an overpaid underproducing player in trade with remaining dead money on the contract, often needing to either pay down remaining salary or include prospect value in addition to the overpaid player in order to remove him from the roster. Kiner Falefa is producing value commensurate with his salary and won't need to be dumped. He's paid relative peanuts relative to MLB salaries as well, and the team might actually want to keep him for 2025 depending on what direction they decide to take (retool vs rebuild).
  2. max silver
    You missed my key point that a huge chunk of AA's successful picks were chosen with extra supplemental picks that don't exist anymore. He was gaming the system to the degree that MLB completely overhauled the compensation system. We can definitely give AA credit for making good picks on a lot of these guys, but at the same time the organization shouldn't be receiving a lot of credit for actually developing these players as the organization was actually pretty bad at developing players during his tenure aside from a few starting pitching success stories, and the only position player the system produced that helped the team was Pillar.
  3. max silver
    IKF had multiple suitors in the offseason which drove up his eventual signing price. He's also on pace for a 3 win season at the moment. If he keeps it up he'll be a relative bargain all things considered so there should be little issue moving him in trade.
  4. max silver
    One really important key to remember was that AA was a master at gaming the free agency compensation system so he received a boatload of extra supplemental first round picks in his earlier years. I don't think it's a coincidence in the slightest that his later drafts were much worse than the earlier years once MLB reworked the compensation system. Some of the guys drafted in the earlier years of the current regime are still working their way through the minors as well. It's too early to place a final grade on some of these drafts as the book is not closed on players like Barger and Tiedemann eventually making an impact. Also of note is that there was no minor league baseball in 2020 which greatly hampered the development of a lot of these players. On top of that the 2020 draft year was only 5 rounds with teams having really limited ability to lay eyes on the eventual draftees.
  5. max silver
    It's not hard to envision a sell off starting earlier if the team completely craters during the tough schedule in June.
  6. max silver
    Perhaps Atkins could have scored some relative deals in free agency if he played a game of musical chairs and waited until spring training was nearing. By that time he had already spent his available money on players that were willing to sign for reasonable contracts and weren't holding out for much higher money and/or term. That strategy could have also failed leaving the team without players to fill the holes on the roster.
  7. max silver
    It wouldn't have likely taken $40 million over two seasons to sign Teoscar in the first place. I bet something like $35 million over two years with the second year being a player option would have gotten it done. I can't say I particularly understand why you are taking such a massive dump on Teoscar, unless it's because he wasn't signed by the Blue Jays this offseason or something. Teoscar's 127 wRC+ adds another power bat to the lineup, and would likely allow Schneider to primarily man second base. This has the effect of removing some of the weaker bats in the lineup such as Biggio and Clement and even Turner on certain days and replacing them with a middle of the order power bat. That's kind of a big deal. If you don't think that would help the team score more runs then I really don't know what to say at this point.
  8. max silver
    Just because there were only two elite bats this season that shouldn't completely excuse the failure to add more mid tier bats to the roster. There's no need to be so insulting to those that thought Teoscar was bound to rebound when he was rescued from Seattle. Or to insult those that saw the plethora of DH bats that were available and didn't want to bring in a 39 year old Justin Turner to be the primary DH. It's not hindsight when someone far preferred other players to be brought in and then saw them succeeding elsewhere.
  9. max silver
    The team has been hitting much better over the last month or so as they've produced 117 runs over their last 25 games. This is while Turner has been absolutely horrible at the plate. It doesn't take a rocket surgeon to see that a more effective DH bat would help a tremendous deal. I think Vlad is going to be good the rest of the way, Bo was hitting much better over a 3 week sample before going cold again in the Pittsburgh series, and Kirk has rebounded nicely after a really bad two week stretch to start the season. I have confidence in each of these guys to continue to hit closer to their capabilities the rest of the way, but Turner has been so awful for the last 5 weeks or so that I'm legitimately becoming a little concerned about whether he'll turn things around before he's totally relegated to the bench.
  10. max silver
    I really don't get why you keep repeating this nonsense, with an elite bat this offense would suddenly morph into something much better. The team as a whole has produced a total of 244 weighted runs created this season, with their DH bats providing 23 of those runs. Ohtani alone has produced 53 weighted runs created this season. Replacing the Jays 23 runs with Ohtani's 53 runs takes the offense to a total of 274 weighted runs created, moving them from 22nd up to 8th, and within a stones throw of the 7th place Orioles.
  11. max silver
    Projections had Teoscar signing something like a 4 year 80 million deal so I wouldn't had any serious issues with a 3 year deal.
  12. max silver
    I'm not using hindsight in the slightest. I was big on these two players in the offseason as attainable players who would have injected much needed power into the lineup. Teoscar could have been signed had the team been willing to give him a two year deal, and that most likely would have been a very prudent move as his depressed offensive output in 2023 was a direct result of playing half of his games in Seattle.
  13. max silver
    Holy s*** dude you are just irrationally angry lately. We all get that Bo, Vlad, Springer and Kirk all got off to horrible starts which is the primary reason the offense was so bad in April, but that doesn't excuse the lack of effective bats added during the offseason. For most of the offseason we heard rumors from all of the baseball writers how the team intended to be big players in free agency, so it's perfectly reasonable to be disappointed when the only bat first players made to the roster were the likes of Turner and spring training invites to the likes of Vogelbach an Votto. The every day position player side were lighter hitting defense players like Kiermaier and IKF so there the front office shouldn't get a total free pass of the roster makeup as ultimately the buck stops with them.
  14. max silver
    There were definitely moves out that there that would have helped a lot. Let's say they signed Teoscar and Hoskins for instance instead of IKF, Turner and Kiermaier. That would have made a really sizable difference to the offense, but wouldn't have left much money left over for the likes of Green and Rodriguez and the pitching depth would have been even worse than it is at present. In a perfect world Rogers would have opened the purse strings a bit more than seemed to be the case as an extra 10-15 million or so extra budget would have likely made a world of difference.
  15. max silver
    Hicks was a post trade deadline bullpen reinforcement. It remains to be seen if the team ends up acquiring a similar leverage reliever at the deadline or not.
  16. max silver
    No structural damage according to MRI though. I don't know if this precludes degenerative condition of the elbow ligaments though in that the overall structure is weakened and becoming more prone to catastrophic failure.
  17. max silver
    That's grim news. If I recall correctly Romano already had a cortisone shot in his elbow earlier this season.
  18. max silver
    At this point it would feel like a minor miracle if Ricky makes it through the rest of the season without facing further injury issues.
  19. max silver
    Barring some kind of continuous series of meltdown I see zero chance of Mayza being optioned down to Buffalo.
  20. max silver
    Perhaps the shoulder issues could be connected to elbow problems leading Alek to alter his mechanics, but that's a bit of a chicken/egg scenario that would be impossible to prove one way or the other. Hopefully Alek is one of the guys who comes back with improved stuff after Tommy John rehabilitation is complete and not one of the dudes who never regains their effectiveness. I hoped he would eventually spend an offseason at somewhere like Driveline but if he indeed needs surgery he'll be forced to go through the necessary strengthening process to get back to speed.
  21. max silver
    I would guess a best case scenario for this guy would be to provide a handful of decent innings in middle relief, sort of like Jay Jackson from last season.
  22. max silver
    I did a minor league statcast search to get a glance at his arsenal and he has a cutter that's played as an elite pitch in AAA this season. He throws the pitch 47% of the time and it's generated a 55% whiff rate, average exit velocity of 84.3 MPH and xwOBA of .175. I have no clue how this pitch would play against major league batters but he should probably get a look at some point given the struggles of the Blue Jays bullpen this season.
  23. max silver
    At least he doesn't hate Toronto as much as he hates Boston.
  24. max silver
    This front office group has been really hesitant to call up prospect starters to make spot starts in previous years and has seemingly preferred bullpen games, openers, scrap heap starters and the like.
  25. max silver
    Romano can actually benefit from a lot of relatively easier matchups pitching the 9th inning as well. Garcia does the bulk of the heavy lifting against the opposition top/middle of the order and puts out the fires when a rally is brewing, so putting him in the closer role would likely be counterproductive. I am curious to see what type of role Green is typically deployed in as he was previously an all purpose fireman similar to Garcia when he was at his best. If Romano blows a bunch of saves Green would likely be a solid candidate to take over the closer position or an all hands on deck scenario based on matchups could be employed.
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