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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    The likely 2+ win performance gap between Nimmo and the other non-Judge free agent outfield targets has me increasingly wishing for a Nimmo signing. This team is at the point where extra wins are becoming increasingly important. I have to assume that the front office would be factoring in potential extension costs for Vlad/Bo/Manoah etc. when making any more major free agent signings. I think that Barger can be a very important piece of the puzzle if he continues his offensive surge and forces his way onto the 26 man roster. His skillset sounds ready made for third base, so his continued development might allow the front office to let Chapman walk when he reaches free agency.
  2. max silver
    Pearson has shown some very tantalizing glimpses at his potential when utilized as a reliever.
  3. max silver
    I haven't heard any reports from people who saw him actually pitching live and in person, but Pearson's numbers from winter ball are very encouraging. 12 IP, 0.00 ERA, 16 k's, 5H, 4 BB all provide hope of him being able to help the 2023 IF he can finally stay healthy enough to provide some MLB innings.
  4. max silver
    I can still easily talk myself into getting on board with a Nimmo signing though as he still has plenty to offer. Early projections have him at about 4.5 wins for 2023 so he represents a likely sizeable upgrade over Teoscar in overall value. Apparently Zips likes him enough to project an above average performance in year 5 as well so it seems unlikely he's going to face a severe aging curve. Of course the elephant in the room is the past lack of durability. This should be baked directly into his expected contract with lower offers coming in compared to a player with a less checkered injury history.
  5. max silver
    These statistics are interesting, where can I find these? I'm interested to compare this against other notable relievers. Swanson appears to have pitched pretty well in the leverage situations that he did find himself utilized in. He pitched to a 0.92 FIP/2.29 xFIP in high leverage situations, with an inflated 5.20 ERA which looks to be largely influenced by a .409 BABIP.
  6. max silver
    That's exactly the type of thing I take issue with as well. What happens on the field is ultimately what matters, I just don't see how fun loving guys *gasp* enjoying each others company and having fun is worth getting so upset about. When the team was in protracted slumps and losing a lot of games in short order it was easy to see the mood on the bench souring and a lot less of the upbeat nature. I don't understand why people seem to think the players should be acting like they are a funeral when the team is behind in the score.
  7. max silver
    I'd love to see proof that how players act in the dugout has even a tiny affect on how they perform on the field.
  8. max silver
    There are also red flags in Nimmo's offensive profile. His plate discipline/walk rate numbers took a step backwards in 2022 and the ground ball rate is creeping up as well.
  9. max silver
    Further to that 2021 is the only season where there is any consensus among the publicly available defensive metrics regarding his center field play. Even in 2022 Nimmo rated below average by both DRS and UZR.
  10. max silver
    I have a hard time seeing Gurriel traded as well, given the fact that the only legitimate MLB outfielders on the roster at present are Gurriel and Springer. Having to find 3 outfielders in one offseason (the team presently doesn't have a proper 4th outfielder as well) is a pretty tall order. Gallo might be a passable 4th outfielder target if the team can find a legitimate center field option to replace/backup Springer. Gallo likely can't play a passable center field due to declining foot speed. I'm curious to see if he's helped out that much by the shift ban. He only manages to put the ball in play during less than half of his plate appearances and the k rate is approaching 40%, so the shift ban might only add a handful of extra hits for him. Ultimately I'm not sure if the team would simply be better off playing Biggio in the outfield a bit more as he has also may see a bump in his numbers from the shift ban and has a similar offensive profile to Gallo (high k/high walk, low batting average etc.).
  11. max silver
    Contreras would be signed for 2023 and beyond. Seems weird to trade a trio of good inexpensive catchers and sign an expensive free agent though.
  12. max silver
    In your scenario catching goes from arguably the team's greatest strength to a total tire fire as soon as the inevitable Jansen injury hits.
  13. max silver
    Pitching bot rates his stuff as a 55 with command at 50. Other Jays relievers for comparison include (stuff first, command second): Romano S60 C45 Bass S50 C60 Cimber S60 C50 Phelps S40 C45 Pop S60 C45 Garcia S50 C65 Mayza S60 C50 Merryweather S60 C55 Thornton S55 C55 http://pitchingapp.pitchingbot.com/
  14. max silver
    I hadn't heard if the sticky stuff crackdown was applied in the minor leagues or not.
  15. max silver
    Hopefully Palmer and especially Murray can emerge from the surgery with a bit more velocity in the tank after the extensive rehab. With a few more ticks of velo Murray becomes especially intriguing with the high spin fastball.
  16. max silver
    The Pinto return was the real key to this trade. The Jays sent something like $5 million cash to the Rockies so it was basically salary neutral.
  17. max silver
    At first blush I'm not a huge fan of this trade given how Teo was a legitimate middle of the order thumper. Swanson was a beast in 2022 so hopefully he can keep that up. Macko looks to be the key return for the Jays, his K numbers in the low minors are very impressive, hopefully he can develop into a starter moving forward, the stuff looks to be legitimately very good.
  18. max silver
    Bo's numbers were affected very strongly by a remarkably poor month of April. From beginning of May to end of August Bo and Vlad has basically the same WAR total.
  19. max silver
    He's left handed, pull heavy, hits the ball on the ground a lot, and gets shifted against over half the time. The shift ban in 2023 should help improve the batting average a bit.
  20. max silver
    The Semien situtation was different as he was only a one year "rental". The team didn't want to move Bo for good when they didn't have a long term short stop option to replace him with. Had the team been able to sign Semien for more than a single season as they had attempted I suspect things would have played out differently with Semien taking over short stop and Bo moving to accomodate.
  21. max silver
    Come on man you don't really believe that. I recall Bo reportedly offered to move off of short stop several years ago to allow for a Didi Gregorius signing, so you can rest assured he sure as well would've had no issues moving for a world class defender like Lindor.
  22. max silver
    Wait, are you actually placing more importance on minor league numbers vs major league performance? That seems backwards.
  23. max silver
    That guy has zero world championships to his name, so surely that must mean that he simply isn't a winner.
  24. max silver
    Kirk makes up for the difference in baserunning by getting on base in the first place at a dramatically higher clip than Varsho. Kirk made his way on base at a .372 OBP vs .302 for Varsho. While the difference in baserunning value for the two is rather stark, with a 10.4 run difference between the two, Kirk outproduced Varsho by 12 WRAA. The overall offensive value between the two tips slightly in favor of Kirk in this comparison.
  25. max silver
    Vlad and Teoscar made exactly the same kind of mistakes in 2021 with Semien on the roster as they did in 2022. Any changes that occur with these players with regards to on-field decision making and effort is ultimately going to have to come from within.
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