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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. I'd say Robberse has a higher floor as a potential innings eater or better if the stuff picks up as he reportedly has a highly repeatable delivery, but Macko has a higher ceiling as he already displays excellent stuff. Macko seems pretty likely to end up as a reliever unless he can begin to harness his command a bit.
  2. Yeah I'm more or less in the same boat. Signing one of these pitchers to start, bringing in Kiermaier to split center field duties with Springer (it seems more than likely that at least one of these guys will miss significant time), and then trading for someone like Max Kepler would suit me perfectly fine. The outfield defence would be massively upgraded in that scenario with a bit of a hit to the offense. Alternatively signing both Keirmaier and Conforto to short term deals could allow the team to paper over the outfield if there are no decent trades to be worked out.
  3. I can certainly agree that Semien's bad seasons weren't as bad as Bo at his worst, but this is kind of like discussing whose fart smells worse. Each guy at his worst has pretty wretched defensive metrics. Looking at Bo's UZR it makes me wonder if the purveyors of UZR didn't over-correct when it comes to the impact of shifting on their metric. Aggressive shifting such as the Jays did with Lawrie led to the system receiving a substantial overhaul. Bo's numbers dropped far more precipitously in UZR compared to DRS and OAA from years past. He dropped by only 2 runs by OAA vs a whopping 23 runs by UZR. DRS really wasn't a fan of his defence either though as he dropped a rather sizeable 18 runs as well. It makes it hard to know which defensive system to trust, is OAA the new standard, or do you look for agreement between two of them?
  4. I think you've hit the nail on the head here. I don't think it would necessarily have been a great move if this happened however, as Semien's defensive metrics when he played short stop as a Blue Jay were actually worse on a rate basis compared to Bo. He made less errors, but simply appears to have made far fewer plays as he didn't have the tools to effectively man short stop anymore.
  5. The team ultimately made this decision for him. The thinking was that it wasn't worth moving Bo off of the position for a player that was likely to be a one year rental. If I recall correctly they said that he could only be moved off of short stop once, as sending him back to the position after moving would be incredibly hard to do. It would be far more prudent until they are completely convinced he is unable to be the long term answer at short stop. The results of the last two seasons aren't exactly encouraging, but I still think Bo has the necessary tools to man short stop effectively. What remains up in the air is whether he can ever develop the kind of consistency that is required. He has had extended stretches were he plays a really good short stop, but then he goes through even longer periods of time where he struggles to make the routine plays. Bo was reportedly willing to move off short stop years ago for the likes of Didi Gregorius to allow the team to upgrade around him, I just don't think this idea that Bo has been refusing to move from the position has any kind of proof behind and is rife with assumptions.
  6. Bloom is going to be absolutely raked over the coals for this situation, however he ultimately dodged a huge bullet handing out that type of deal to an aging middle infielder. This makes last offseason's semi-ludicrous Semien deal look like a steal in comparison.
  7. I'm fully aboard the sign Nimmo train. The team has very little outfield depth working their way up through the minor leagues, and the only high upside prospects they have are a very long ways away. Nimmo would give the team two legitimately above average outfielders for the duration of the time that the team has Vlad and Bo under control. Aside from working a trade to bring in a young outfielder I see no path forward aside from the patchwork approach in the outfield each offseason.
  8. I'd have no issue with an occasional worrisome groan, but when every single post is whinging about an offseason that has only picked up steam a few days ago that gets old really quickly.
  9. Holy christ Padres seem determined to spend money like drunken sailors. They are like last years Rangers who proudly proclaimed they intended to spend stupid money. At least the Padres have a very solid team as a starting point though.
  10. Holy f*** you're annoying.
  11. He's only logged about 77 professional innings so far. Maybe something in the range of 120 could be possible?
  12. He had a broken arm and forearm flexor strain, these both seem pretty arm related to me.
  13. Why in the world would Gurriel be playing right field? The majority of Conforto's major league innings have been played in right field, and the overwhelming majority of his outfield play since the start of 2019 has been out there as well.
  14. I wouldn't have been particularly thrilled about either of these guys accepting the Jays offer either, so nothing lost, nothing gained.
  15. Taijuan Walker just got paid $72 million in free agency. If you honestly think that a guy who had a much stronger platform season is going to sign somewhere to be a swingman then we are going to have to agree to disagree.
  16. Rockies are the first team that comes to mind.
  17. Not to mention that the guy also has a recurring heart issue. Being forced to work more quickly sounds like it could have a very dramatic effect on his effectiveness and maybe even overall health.
  18. I'd say this is why Stripling was so valuable as a swingman. Those days are over though, with the money being thrown around in free agency and stellar season he just had I just can't see any way he's going to have to settle for being a swingman type any more.
  19. Totally man, 1.7 WAR relievers are given away for free. And left handed power armed starting prospects aren't worth jack s*** either.
  20. I question whether the prospect cost would ultimately be worth it. If it's true as suggested that the Pirates would have no interest in the Jays catchers it becomes very hard to envision a deal without either including Tiedemann or involving a third team. I've seen rumblings on the internet that Tiedemann could soon be baseball's best left handed starting prospect, and if he continues to dominate the minor leagues he will be arriving very soon. This guy is a keeper in my view.
  21. I've seen article suggesting the concept of exponential offense, where essentially adding more good hitters to an already good lineup has the effect of leading to an offense that produces more than the sum of the parts suggests it should. https://tht.fangraphs.com/the-exponential-nature-of-offense/
  22. I just think the Pirates expect a return based on Reynold's 2021 numbers, and expecting him to be able to repeat that type of performance seems very unlikely.
  23. Is Reynolds really a star? He's had one season out of 4 where he managed to perform at that level.
  24. I was thinking of that as well, deGrom is so damn good that he might actually provide a little "value" without pitching that many innings. On the other hand I wouldn't be surprised for him to suffer a career altering injury and not return with the same type of ultra elite stuff that he features presently.
  25. It's said that in baseball the best predictor for future injury is prior injuries, particularly in the most recent season. So there's strike one against deGrom. He's in his mid 30's and this deal is paying an extremely injury probe pitcher until he's nearly 40. There's strike 2. When deGrom was able to remain healthy he wasn't averaging 99 MPH with his heater and featuring a 93 MPH slider. I just think there's a limit to what the human body can handle, and deGrom has likely pushed well beyond that limit in recent seasons. There's strike 3 for why I think this contract is more than likely to explode in the Rangers faces.
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