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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    I think they tried to amass some depth, it just unfortunately all ended up being s***. White got hurt and never regained his ability to retire even minor league hitters, Hutchison wasn't lighting the world on fire and then opted out, Zulueta couldn't find the strike zone, Thompson continued being awful even in AAA, Hatch was turned into a reliever, etc. I don't think there is an exact science to accumulating quality depth aside from developing it yourself, and the organization's top starting prospects are still in AA and below.
  2. max silver
    Given how bad the depth options have been and the fact Hutchison recently opted out that's a really damning indication of how the front office views White right now.
  3. max silver
    Yordan Alvarez is the kind of offensive contributor I hope Vlad eventually becomes. The raw tools are there but the consistency certainly needs work.
  4. max silver
    Yeah most likely not something worth raging about. This team is big on load management of their players so there are going to be days from time to time where a big bat is on the bench to start the day. Belt is 35 and had knee surgery in the offseason so he's not going to play every day. With Springer having a DH day and Vlad at first that leaves no room for Belt unfortunately.
  5. max silver
    If you are looking to appease the old school baseball fans then I don't think non-binary pitcher wins would be the most prudent course of action.
  6. max silver
    Belt started showing signs of life in early April. From April 11-24 he hit .333/.379/.556 160 WRC+ with a 27.6% K rate. So he was really bad at the start and end of the month and really good in the middle, leading to overall mediocre numbers for the month.
  7. max silver
    I think a shared responsibility for earned runs would ultimately be more fair and equitable to everyone involved. Something like the pitcher who starts the inning allowing a runner to reach first base and then the reliever taking over allows him to score adds 1/4 run to the original pitcher and 3/4 run to the reliever, runner reaching second base off of original pitcher is a 50/50 split etc.
  8. max silver
    The club was easing him back after offseason knee surgery so I was fine with how they eased him back into the lineup. No sense having him push too hard too soon and risking blowing out his surgically repaired knee.
  9. max silver
    Belt was only really bad for his first 6 games/25 plate appearances. His offensive numbers, although BABIP aided a bit have been superb ever since.
  10. max silver
    Varsho has been trending upwards offensively as the season has continued. There aren't a lot of data points to compare but historically he's been a better second half performer compared to first half so the best is likely yet to come. He's likely the team's center fielder past this season as well unless the team re-signs Kiermaier so he's likely only a corner outfielder for this season.
  11. max silver
    I haven't heard anything to suggest that Orelvis has been working to flatten his bat path a bit or not or whether he features an extreme line drive swing, just that the coaching staff was continuing to work on improving his swing decisions at the plate. The large increase in walk rate suggests Orelvis has been making much better swing decisions lately. His propensity for high popup rates also suggests that Orelvis has likely been swinging at a lot of pitches at the top or above the strike zone. I suspect that Orelvis may be starting to lay off higher pitches recently which would have the effect of helping some of the flyballs and popups turn into line drives instead.
  12. max silver
    So line drive rate during this period is 8/29 or 27.6%. Ground ball rate is 100 - (Flyball rate of 42.4+27.6 line drive rate) = 30%. Hot streak batted ball profile of: FB% 42.4 GB% 30.0 LD% 27.6 IFFB% 14.3 Compare this for season rates of: FB% 50.4 GB% 33.6 LD% 15.9 IFFB% 21.1 During this heater Orelvis has seen a small decrease in ground ball rate, moderate decrease in fly ball rate, large decrease in infield flies, and large increase in line drive rate. All things that would point to a sustainable increase in BABIP if he's to continue with this type of batted ball profile.
  13. max silver
    I had that thought as well. I'm inherently lazy though so that's a job for someone with more ambition.
  14. max silver
    It really felt like every time the Jays got a runner to second base the strike zone accordingly increased by several inches. The Chapman AB in the first had a pivotal strike call that really changed the inning.
  15. max silver
    Absolutely fantastic game today. Top three starters are great this year, bullpen has been top shelf lately as well. Once the lineup starts rolling a bit this club is poised to make some noise and start making up some ground.
  16. max silver
    I don't know of anywhere where minor league batted ball data is tracked in that fashion.
  17. max silver
    Berrios has been a really solid performer so far this season. He's not quite back to peak 2021 levels yet but he's not that far off.
  18. max silver
    That was a really enjoyable game to watch. It's certainly nice when the team hits some home runs so they aren't so reliant on hitting with runners in scoring position. Huge props to Bassitt pitching an absolute gem with his wife in labour.
  19. max silver
    Gruber is just as bad with his inane rantings about how Varsho is only hitting up in the lineup to appease Atkins. I'm sure Ross Atkins has bigger things to worry about then where Varsho is positioned in the lineup.
  20. max silver
    As good as Orelvis has been in May it seems like he hit god level over the last 12 days or so. It appears as though opposition pitchers have become afraid to pitch to him, and he's been perfectly willing to take the walks when they are available. His recent splits are nothing like we've seen from Orelvis up to this point and are pretty eye opening. Since May 21 he's produced the following: 28.6%BB/12.2%K/2.33BB/K .320 BABIP .343/.531/.743 1.273 OPS 229 WRC+
  21. max silver
    Uh I just looked up Kirk's numbers and he's hit .294 over the last week, but only good for a 63 WRC+.
  22. max silver
    No way man, you'd miss a gem of a pitching performance from Gausman if you did that.
  23. max silver
    A high 100's/low 200's BABIP looks to be standard for Orelvis going back to his high A debut in 2021.
  24. max silver
    It should boil down to either Orelvis or Barger unless the front office trades for a Chapman replacement.
  25. max silver
    It's really quite remarkable how different Orelivis Martinez's May results look compared to those from April. Something must have clicked for him, whether it's approach change, swing change, or simply finding his timing. First 16 games: .083/.149/.233/.383 -1 WRC+ .047 BABIP Strikeout + walk rates were reasonable 7.4% BB 23.5% K Latest 23 games .247/.376/.688/1.065 172 WRC+ .196 BABIP Small improvement in strikeout rate, huge jump in walk rate 16.1% BB 22.6% K
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