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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. I can even convince myself that Brantley would be a pretty decent addition as well, although that would not help in any way in breaking up the DH logjam the club is already faced with. I would certainly prefer Conforto as a primary target with Benintendi second though.
  2. As far as I can tell the terms of the deal haven't been released yet.
  3. Aside from a Kiermaier signing there was literally nothing left in free agency to man center field with any type of chance of actually contributing value. I can only assume the team wasn't able to align in values with other clubs on a young center field trade, so aside from more bottom of the barrel replacement level or worse signings there was literally nothing else available. The next option seemed to be Whit Merrifield receiving regular playing time in center field, I'll take Kiermaier every single time if that's the alternative.
  4. For Jansen? Probably nobody to get overly excited about.
  5. Aside from Nimmo and Bellinger Kiermaier is all that was left in free agency that could man center field and provide any kind of value to the team. I never said the team is better than last season, and I'm not going to rush to judgement in this regard as the offseason is far from over. If they were to retain Stripling I think they would be close to as good as last season at the very least, and once a catcher is moved they will likely be better. It's not unreasonable to expect some level of bounceback from Berrios and Kikuchi likely isn't going to be as much of a dud as we was last year either, so there is plenty of reason to expect at least a modicum of internal improvement.
  6. They just finished a season where they won 101 games. Teams that aren't even that good don't tend to win 100+ games in baseball.
  7. It seems as though the sky is falling types want to compare KK to the likes of Zimmer and JBJ. Those guys are still out there so if this deal falls through the team can still bring those guys aboard instead so that you can have an actual reason to bitch and moan like usual.
  8. Well duh of course a 40+ year old aging slugger is a great comparable for an elite defensive center fielder in his early 30's. 2015 probably isn't a great starting point as Kiermaier doesn't quite have the defensive chops of his initial years in MLB. 2018 seems to be when he settled into his current level of overall value. For all defenders since 2018 Kiermaier ranks 8th in defensive runs saved. Change this to center fielders only and he's in second place, only a single run behind Michael A. Taylor. This is a player who has been an elite defender and provided he doesn't have severe lingering effects from his hip surgery will continue to be an elite defender.
  9. It seems like you maybe aren't aware, but the offseason isn't over yet.
  10. Go actually look at his underlying metrics before you instantly dismiss the idea. Kepler's underlying stats could very well lead to an above average WRC+ with the removal of the shift. He is shifted nearly 90% of the time. His expected stats are all very solid as the quality of contact is good. He avoids strikeouts and walks plenty, and puts the ball in play a lot. I'm not suggesting he is going to suddenly pop 30 home runs again, but the numbers under the hood suggest strong potential for an offensive resurgence. Combine that with stellar defence and you suddenly have a pretty valuable player.
  11. Wow sounds like are a soothsayer. You should share some stock tickets and lottery numbers with us if you have the ability to predict the future with such certainty
  12. The other owners can't be very happy about somebody who is willing to spend like a drunken sailor in free agency.
  13. I kind of like the idea of Max Kepler as a potential trade candidate. His underlying Statcast metrics are pretty encouraging and he's run a sizeable xWOBA/WOBA spilt the last few seasons. As a heavily shifted left handed batter he has potential to benefit quite a bit from the upcoming shift ban
  14. If Gallo doesn't bounce back platooning him with Gurriel might actually make the offence worse. Gurriel produced 119 WRC+ vs RHP in 2022 vs 100 WRC+ for Gallo.
  15. Kiermaier has only managed to exceed Tapia's 2022 playing time twice in his entire career. It seems pretty unlikely he will exceed that coming off of hip surgery.
  16. Given how much time Kiermaier tends to miss due to injury his playing time is self limiting. He's extremely unlikely to even match the amount of playing time Tapia received, but isn't a total zero defensively so can still provide plenty of playing time to the club.
  17. That's a really important point in this discussion. Murphy essentially represents a 99th percentile outcome (or maybe even higher) for Danny Jansen where he maintained his previous level of production while somehow finally managing to avoid injury for an entire season. Jansen simply hasn't shown the ability to avoid a steady stream of soft tissue injuries up to this point. Add in the extra year of control that comes along with Murphy and it's no surprise that one of these two players is a dramatically more valuable trade commodity.
  18. That's pure speculation on the part of an unnamed source. It would hard for this to be any less concrete than it is presently so this provides essentially zero proof that Helsley was ever on the table.
  19. There is plenty of doubt whether Teo is going to have his best season ever, it's pretty presumptuous of you to suggest that. On a rate basis he had his best ever season in 2020, and he's been steadily trending downwards ever since then. With better health I don't doubt he can regain a bit of the lost value in the field and on the bases, but it's pretty unrealistic to expect that he's going to suddenly reach another new level of skill at the age of 30.
  20. Kiermaier is a nice add to split time in center field with Springer. Hopefully with healthy hips he can produce up to his potential (not expecting much more than 90 WRC+). It took Chapman a while to retrain his body/swing after hip surgery, I can only hope Kiermaier doesn't face the same difficulty. I'm fully on board with a Conforto signing or trading for a younger outfielder if the right deal presents itself. It's too bad the team wasn't able to pry Nootbaar out of St. Louis but that's perfectly understandable given that he very well may be the best outfielder they have on the roster. Atkins has been suggesting he was happy with the teams outfield depth even before this signing, but if they hope to avoid running a collection of nearly replacement level players in the outfield another addition is going to be necessary
  21. You sound as though the only thing that will satisfy you is having baseball's best bullpen. The presently assembled group comes with question marks, however they were basically a middle of the pack pen to end the season and just added a reliever who produced a 1.7 win season. There are finally potential reinforcements on the way from the minor leagues so they should have some depth available. Zach Pop managed to produce 0.5 WAR in only 40 innings of work. If a team is able to run out guys like this in low leverage situations then maybe they aren't quite as bad as you think.
  22. I agree with most of this, but I don't think that the current regime inherited a team that was completely past it's prime. The current group took over after the 2015 season, and that team was one of baseball's best at that point. They took a kick at the can in 2016 without taking on any onerous long term commitments, but as early as 2017 the writing was on the wall and the time was likely right to start dismantling the team at that point. The current group has done a good job overall in developing young talent but there are some notable exceptions to this. They've done a very poor job developing home grown pitching and outfielders. Thankfully there appears to be a lot of high ceiling pitching talent in the organization both in the rotation and the bullpen, but there is still a distinct lack of impact outfield talent in the organization outside of a few players in the low minors.
  23. It would be pretty risky for the team to place all of their eggs in the Barger basket. There is a good possibility he will struggle greatly to begin him major league career both at the plate and in the field. I don't that aside from Barger that any of those players are very suited to play the left side of the infield (although with how poorly Bichette fielded in 2022 it's possible all of the previously mentioned players might not be any worse).
  24. That's apparently the goal for the organization as well. Robberse is still pretty young/slight of build and is supposed to have a lot of remaining projection physically. The team has a great player development complex and pitching lab so it feels pretty realistic that Robberse can squeeze out a few more ticks of velocity.
  25. Williams is off the board now, reportedly to start for the Nationals.
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