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keggy

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Everything posted by keggy

  1. keggy
    Berrios going deep is big after the bullpen destruction in New York
  2. keggy
    Cavan BiGGio
  3. keggy
    Can't hit can't tag
  4. keggy
    I'm under the impression that fitness is not an organizational priority
  5. keggy
    Okay I'll rephrase. In my opinion, TB has a world-class development team and front office. I also believe they employ an unconventional management system for making in-game decisions based on predictive modelling on aggregated historical data. There is zero reproducible evidence that Tampa's in-game system leads to more wins than conventional managing. Even if there were an effect (there isn't) that effect size would be tiny relative to other, proven factors that actually predict winning. Meanwhile, there is DECADES of evidence that a competent front office and player development pipeline contributes enormously to sustained on-field winning.
  6. keggy
    Tampa Bay is successful because they have the best player drafting and development in the league, they regularly fleece other GMs in trades despite having no financial leverage, and they transform DFA bait into all star calibre relievers making the league minimum. The weird s*** they do in-game has nothing to do with their success.
  7. keggy
    Montoyo was such an easygoing beta male that the more competitive players like Bichette hated his guts. They're both puppets, but the players seem to respect Schneider more.
  8. keggy
    Because of Covid Manoah basically went from a college draftee sitting on his ass to a full time MLB workhorse. I don't think it was the wrong move because the team fighting for a playoff spot, but I've always wondered if that had an effect on him
  9. keggy
    Not while Shapiro is here. The team has gotten worse since he's left and he's done nothing but win I'm not sure why he would even want to come back.
  10. keggy
    Kiermaier career against LHP 85 wRC+ Kiner Falefa career against LHP 86 wRC+
  11. keggy
  12. keggy
    Soto is a butcher out there
  13. keggy
    Volpe looked at 3rd, double clutched, and still got the force at 2nd.
  14. keggy
    Getting to the leverage guys is a victory in itself
  15. keggy
    His 3 mph sprint speed makes it even funnier
  16. keggy
    Vlad doesn't know how to read the room. Cadillac'ing a 330 foot bomb in a blowout doesn't display great self awareness. Same with the HR jacket and constant ice baths on veterans
  17. keggy
    Maybe he shouldn't do that every time
  18. keggy
    Guerrero showboating on a 9-3 HR is classic
  19. keggy
    Kiner Falefa for 2 IP let's go
  20. keggy
    Gutsy outing by White
  21. keggy
    Schneider gonna empty the pen down 4.
  22. keggy
    Kirk is so valuable behind the plate that he just needs to hit around league average to justify a spot. Kirk with roboumps is DFA material.
  23. keggy
    It's very possible that he was holding back to focus on length.
  24. keggy
    Because it applies mean aggregated data to a unique scenario. Using in-game data (performance, velo, whatever) correctly can allow you to outperform your expected value. Using aggregated data (lifetime performance against LHH or whatever) and ignoring in-game data would would do the exact opposite. I'm not explaining well, but it's the same reason a good poker player can make more money than the expected value dictated by his dealt cards. A poker player who follows 100% textbook strategy without using any additional information should earn his expected value over a large number of trials.
  25. keggy
    Baltimore had the best bullpen in baseball last year. They are an elite baserunning team as you mentioned. They don't micromanage SP matchups like the Rays and Blue Jays do. All of these factors contribute to outperforming your Pythagorean record.
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