Yeah - agreed - I think it works like this.
Pull him early + bullpen blows it = heavy criticism, analytics are ruining baseball
Pull him early + bullpen dominates = no discussion - no credit to analytics or the manager
Leave him in + he blows it = some criticism, but hard to rip the guy for sticking with his starter
Leave him in + he gets out of it = manager is a genius, trusts his eyes/gut, trusts his horse out there